Almagro vs Atlanta Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 20, 2026 - 18:30
1.25
1.35
33% 30% 38%

Penilaian Prediksi

Prediksi yang boleh dipercayai

Kegemaran
Atlanta Perlawanan seimbang
Kebarangkalian model
37.5%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
42.1%
Perjanjian pasaran
Sederhana
Pengesahan
lulus

Ringkasan:

Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (42.1% vs model 37.5%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Sederhana
Pengesahan
lulus
Jurang terbesar
Almagro +7.1 pp
Keluasan
7/7
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.

Penilaian Pasaran

Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada Almagro.

Aktiviti pasaran sejajar dengan jurang harga terbesar pada Almagro.

  • Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
Almagro 32.85% 25.79% +7.1 pp
Seri 29.61% 32.1% -2.5 pp
Atlanta 37.54% 42.11% -4.6 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.

  • Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Atlanta lwn. odds semasa)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: Lebih 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
BTTS Ya — Nilai
EV +25%+ Model 54.5%
Menengah (nilai seimbang): Lebih 2.5 (EV +25%+) — 48.2% Model
EV yang lebih rendah daripada primer, tetapi dengan kebarangkalian model yang lebih tinggi (lebih "stabil" apabila ditunjukkan).
Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Nilai terbaik (+EV)
Lebih 2.5 48.2% · Kurang 2.5 51.8%
EV Selesai +25%+ · EV Di Bawah -26.4%
Condong nilai: Lebih 2.5
1X2 Nilai lemah
Atlanta · Kebarangkalian model 37.6%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 42.1%
EV garisan konsensus: -13.6%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: -2.8% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai +25%+ · EV Di Bawah -26.4% (5 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -27.2%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Almagro market context before kickoff

⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Almagro

Odds move
3.80 → 3.80 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
7/7
Steam score
30 (C)
Current status
1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.

Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran

  1. Prediksi Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
3.51
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

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            "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Almagro."
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            "is_hero": false,
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            "side": "draw"
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            "is_hero": false,
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            "side": "away"
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        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
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          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Atlanta, Market \u2192 Atlanta, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
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        ],
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        "steam_tier": "C"
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          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1948,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1948.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Atlanta",
      "country_code": "AR",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
      "country_name": "Argentina",
      "fixture_id": 1498344,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Argentina",
      "home_team_id": 482,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/482.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Almagro",
      "league_country": "Argentina",
      "league_id": 129,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/129.webp",
      "league_name": "Primera Nacional",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-20 18:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Jose Ingenieros",
      "venue_name": "Estadio Tres de Febrero"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4194,
            "best_odd": 2.15,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.019,
            "ev": -0.1357,
            "implied_prob": 0.4211,
            "model_prob": 0.3757,
            "p_final": 0.402
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.4329,
            "best_odd": 2.82,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.011,
            "ev": -0.1257,
            "implied_prob": 0.321,
            "model_prob": 0.2956,
            "p_final": 0.31
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2681,
            "best_odd": 3.51,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.019,
            "ev": -0.0281,
            "implied_prob": 0.2579,
            "model_prob": 0.3287,
            "p_final": 0.2769
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.6,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.38,
          "edge_no": -0.1358,
          "edge_yes": 0.1358,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.272,
          "ev_yes": 0.2971,
          "implied_no": 0.5908,
          "implied_yes": 0.4092,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.88,
          "best_under_odd": 1.42,
          "edge_over": 0.1451,
          "edge_under": -0.1451,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.3882,
          "ev_under": -0.2644,
          "implied_over": 0.3369,
          "implied_under": 0.6631,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3882,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
          "draw_prob": 0.2956,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.1
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.019,
          "ev": -0.1357,
          "implied_prob": 0.4211,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.3757,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Atlanta"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1358,
          "ev": 0.2971,
          "implied_prob": 0.4092,
          "model_prob": 0.545,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1451,
          "ev": 0.3882,
          "implied_prob": 0.3369,
          "model_prob": 0.482,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1498344,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3882,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3757,
        "draw": 0.2956,
        "home": 0.3287
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3882,
        "implied_prob": 0.3369,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.482,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.3882,
          "implied_prob": 0.3369,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.482,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "over",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Atlanta",
        "home": "Almagro"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.161919,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2971,
        "implied_prob": 0.4092,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.545,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1498344,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-15T08:26:44.697645+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

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