|
Floresta vs Figueirense
Serie C · Sun 22:30
|
Figueirense |
3.0 |
4.1
kickoff in 21h 12m
|
↑ +36.7%
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 53m
4.40 → 2.89 → 4.10
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair
|
12/12
|
Steam Score:
99
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 3% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
12/12 books synchronized on Figueirense (36.7% steam, score 99) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev
Esiliiga A · Sun 09:30
|
Tallinna Kalev |
4.2 |
3.0
since pub · 19h 55m
|
↓ -28.6%
🐢 Slow drift over 19h 55m
4.20 → 2.80 → 3.00
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
7/7
|
Steam Score:
99
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
7/7 books synchronized on Tallinna Kalev (28.6% steam, score 99) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Prospect United vs Dulwich Hill
New South Wales NPL 2 · Sun 10:00
|
Prospect United |
2.1 |
3.25
kickoff in 8h 42m
|
↑ +54.8%
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 53m
3.38 → 1.90 → 3.25
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
8/9
|
Steam Score:
96
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Largest move today |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
8/9 books synchronized on Prospect United (54.8% steam, score 96) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Lysekloster vs Notodden
2. Division - Group 1 · Sun 11:00
|
Lysekloster |
2.3 |
3.25
since pub · 16h
|
↑ +41.3%
🐢 Slow drift over 16h
3.55 → 2.30 → 3.25
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
9/10
|
Steam Score:
96
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 3% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
9/10 books synchronized on Lysekloster (41.3% steam, score 96) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Concepción
Torneo Federal A · Sun 18:00
|
Gimnasia Concepción |
5.0 |
7.0
since pub · 3h 55m
|
↑ +40.0%
📈 Active repricing over 3h 55m
7.00 → 4.90 → 7.00
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
8/9
|
Steam Score:
96
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 3% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
8/9 books synchronized on Gimnasia Concepción (40.0% steam, score 96) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Rio Branco ES vs Porto BA
Serie D · Sun 20:00
|
Porto BA |
5.5 |
7.0
since pub · 7h 55m
|
↑ +27.3%
↔ Gradual move over 7h 55m
8.05 → 5.20 → 7.00
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
7/8
|
Steam Score:
95
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
7/8 books synchronized on Porto BA (27.3% steam, score 95) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Sousa vs America-RN
Serie D · Sun 18:00
|
Sousa |
3.1 |
4.1
since pub · 7h 55m
|
↑ +32.3%
↔ Gradual move over 7h 55m
4.10 → 3.10 → 4.10
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
8/10
|
Steam Score:
93
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
8/10 books synchronized on Sousa (32.3% steam, score 93) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Jaro 2 vs JS Hercules
Kakkonen - Lohko C · Sun 13:00
|
JS Hercules |
5.5 |
7.0
kickoff in 11h 42m
|
↑ +27.3%
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 53m
7.75 → 4.60 → 7.00
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair
|
8/10
|
Steam Score:
93
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
8/10 books synchronized on JS Hercules (27.3% steam, score 93) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Acassuso
Primera Nacional · Sun 18:30
|
Acassuso |
10.0 |
8.0
kickoff in 17h 12m
|
↓ -20.0%
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 53m
10.00 → 6.38 → 8.00
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
11/13
|
Steam Score:
93
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +25/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 25% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
11/13 books synchronized on Acassuso (20.0% steam, score 93) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
South East Utd. vs Kingborough Lions
Tasmania NPL · Sun 02:00
|
South East Utd. |
12.0 |
15.0
kickoff in 42m
|
↑ +25.0%
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 53m
21.00 → 11.00 → 15.00
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
8/11
|
Steam Score:
91
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
8/11 books synchronized on South East Utd. (25.0% steam, score 91) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia
Segunda División · Sun 21:00
|
Paysandu |
3.5 |
4.33
kickoff in 19h 42m
|
↑ +23.7%
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 53m
4.33 → 3.40 → 4.33
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
8/11
|
Steam Score:
91
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
8/11 books synchronized on Paysandu (23.7% steam, score 91) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Shenzhen 2028
League Two · Sun 11:30
|
Hubei Chufeng Heli |
2.25 |
2.7
since pub · 19h 55m
|
↑ +20.0%
🐢 Slow drift over 19h 55m
2.75 → 2.20 → 2.70
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair
|
7/9
|
Steam Score:
91
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 25% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
7/9 books synchronized on Hubei Chufeng Heli (20.0% steam, score 91) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Manauara vs Sao Raimundo
Serie D · Sun 19:00
|
Sao Raimundo |
4.5 |
5.5
since pub · 7h 55m
|
↑ +22.2%
↔ Gradual move over 7h 55m
6.20 → 4.20 → 5.50
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair
|
7/10
|
Steam Score:
90
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
7/10 books synchronized on Sao Raimundo (22.2% steam, score 90) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic
USL Championship · Sun 01:00
|
Sacramento Republic |
3.0 |
3.5
since pub · 43h 53m
|
↑ +16.7%
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 53m
3.91 → 3.00 → 3.50
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle
|
11/12
|
Steam Score:
88
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 25% move |
Sharp repricing
|
P1: 3.91 · P5: 3.91 · P10: 3.91 · P30: 3.91
|
11/12 books synchronized on Sacramento Republic (16.7% steam, score 88) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
AO Itabaiana vs Ituano
Serie C · Sun 19:30
|
Ituano |
2.88 |
2.4
kickoff in 18h 12m
|
↓ -16.7%
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 53m
3.15 → 2.10 → 2.40
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair
|
11/12
|
Steam Score:
88
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 25% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
11/12 books synchronized on Ituano (16.7% steam, score 88) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising
USL Championship · Sun 01:00
|
Phoenix Rising |
3.4 |
2.88
since pub · 43h 53m
|
↓ -15.3%
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 53m
3.60 → 2.85 → 2.88
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
11/12
|
Steam Score:
85
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 25% move |
Sharp repricing
|
P1: 3.15 · P5: 3.15 · P10: 3.15 · P30: 3.15
|
11/12 books synchronized on Phoenix Rising (15.3% steam, score 85) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado
Torneo Federal A · Sun 18:00
|
Alvarado |
3.6 |
3.0
since pub · 7h 55m
|
↓ -16.7%
↔ Gradual move over 7h 55m
3.60 → 3.00 → 3.00
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
7/9
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 25% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
7/9 books synchronized on Alvarado (16.7% steam, score 84) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
VPS II vs GBK
Kakkonen - Lohko C · Sun 16:00
|
GBK |
4.5 |
3.75
kickoff in 14h 42m
|
↓ -16.7%
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 53m
5.50 → 3.75 → 3.75
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
7/10
|
Steam Score:
82
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 25% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
7/10 books synchronized on GBK (16.7% steam, score 82) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Corpus Christi vs Richmond Kickers
USL League One · Sun 00:30
|
Richmond Kickers |
3.1 |
3.6
since pub · 31h 53m
|
↑ +16.1%
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 53m
3.75 → 2.88 → 3.60
|
🔥 Strong steam
|
Bet365
|
9/12
|
Steam Score:
82
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +35/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 25% move |
Sharp repricing
|
P1: 3.68 · P5: 3.68 · P10: 3.68 · P30: 3.68
|
9/12 books synchronized on Richmond Kickers (16.1% steam, score 82) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
|
|
Shangyu Pterosaur vs Wuhan Three Towns II
League Two · Sun 11:30
|
Wuhan Three Towns II |
4.75 |
3.7
since pub · 15h 55m
|
↓ -22.1%
🐢 Slow drift over 15h 55m
5.35 → 3.60 → 3.70
|
📈 Steam
|
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair
|
6/9
|
Steam Score:
81
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
Multi-book steam on Wuhan Three Towns II (22.1%, 6/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
|
|
Cesar Vallejo vs Alianza Lima
Copa De La Liga · Sun 20:30
|
Alianza Lima |
4.33 |
5.75
kickoff in 19h 12m
|
↑ +32.8%
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 53m
8.50 → 4.33 → 5.75
|
📈 Steam
|
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair
|
5/8
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
Multi-book steam on Alianza Lima (32.8%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
|
|
Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC
Canadian Premier League · Sun 22:00
|
Pacific FC |
3.8 |
4.75
since pub · 12h
|
↑ +25.0%
🐢 Slow drift over 12h
6.10 → 3.80 → 4.75
|
📈 Steam
|
Bet365
|
7/11
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
Multi-book steam on Pacific FC (25.0%, 7/11) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
|
|
Central SC vs Laguna
Serie D · Sun 18:00
|
Laguna |
23.0 |
15.0
since pub · 7h 55m
|
↓ -34.8%
↔ Gradual move over 7h 55m
23.00 → 7.40 → 15.00
|
📈 Steam
|
Bet365
|
5/9
|
Steam Score:
78
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 3% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
Multi-book steam on Laguna (34.8%, 5/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
|
|
Germany vs Curaçao
World Cup · Sun 17:00
|
Curaçao |
41.0 |
29.0
kickoff in 15h 42m
|
↓ -29.3%
🐢 Slow drift over 208h 14m
76.00 → 29.00 → 29.00
|
📈 Steam
|
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair
|
8/14
|
Steam Score:
78
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
Multi-book steam on Curaçao (29.3%, 8/14) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
|
|
Raja Casablanca vs UTS Rabat
Botola Pro · Sun 15:00
|
UTS Rabat |
6.5 |
8.5
since pub · 19h 55m
|
↑ +30.8%
🐢 Slow drift over 19h 55m
9.00 → 6.50 → 8.50
|
📈 Steam
|
Bet365
|
6/12
|
Steam Score:
76
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
|
Top 10% move |
Sharp repricing
|
Waiting for Close
|
Multi-book steam on UTS Rabat (30.8%, 6/12) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
|
