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Market Movements - Live Market Moves

World Cup 2026 TODAY TOMORROW WEEK

Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.

Monitor bookmaker line movement, market consensus, and late odds shifts before kickoff.

Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Developing moves
Live market monitor

🔥 Top market moves

Largest steam and cross-book repricing in this window.

Match Side Move Signal Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks.
Qatar vs Switzerland Draw ↑ +8.3% 📈 Steam 12/14 Steam Score: 60 A
USA vs Paraguay Paraguay ↑ +5.0% ⚡ Sharp-led move 13/14 Steam Score: 50 B
World Cup · kickoff in 41h 30m
A 60
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

Qatar vs Switzerland
Qatar (Home)
Open 12.0 → 12.0 +0.0%
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Slow drift over 160h 1m Largest move today
Open 6.0 → 6.5 ↑ +8.3%
One-way rise
Switzerland (Away)
Open 1.22 → 1.22 +0.0%
Books 12/14 📈 Steam Sharp repricing
View market brief

Multi-book steam on Draw (8.3%, 12/14) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.

Sharp-led move: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 23h 30m
B 50
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +11/45
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

USA vs Paraguay
USA (Home)
Open 1.95 → 1.91 ↓ -2.1%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Paraguay (Away) 🐢 Slow drift over 159h 59m
Open 4.0 → 4.2 ↑ +5.0%
One-way rise
Books 13/14 ⚡ Sharp-led move Sharp repricing
View market brief

SBO led repricing on Paraguay (5.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.

Sharp-led move: SBO

Waiting for Close

Second League A - Division A Gold · kickoff in 35h 30m
C 36
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence signal — treat as tracking only.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

Kaluga vs Mashuk-KMV
Kaluga (Home) — Stable line Highest consensus move
Open 4.28 → 4.28 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Mashuk-KMV (Away)
Open 1.75 → 1.75 +0.0%
Books 3/3 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on Kaluga — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Waiting for Close

Second League A - Division A Gold · kickoff in 35h 30m
C 36
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence signal — treat as tracking only.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

Torpedo Miass vs Rodina Moskva II
Torpedo Miass (Home) — Stable line
Open 2.42 → 2.42 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.04 → 3.04 +0.0%
Rodina Moskva II (Away)
Open 2.7 → 2.7 +0.0%
Books 3/3 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on Torpedo Miass — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Waiting for Close

Second League A - Division A Gold · kickoff in 35h 30m
C 36
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence signal — treat as tracking only.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

Tekstilshchik vs Irtysh Omsk
Tekstilshchik (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.2 → 1.2 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 5.75 → 5.75 +0.0%
Irtysh Omsk (Away)
Open 10.4 → 10.4 +0.0%
Books 3/3 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on Tekstilshchik — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Waiting for Close

Second League A - Division A Gold · kickoff in 35h 30m
C 36
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence signal — treat as tracking only.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

Veles vs Leningradets
Veles (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.82 → 1.82 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.68 → 3.68 +0.0%
Leningradets (Away)
Open 3.56 → 3.56 +0.0%
Books 3/3 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on Veles — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 44h 30m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +11/45
Book synchronization: +13/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Brazil vs Morocco
Brazil (Home)
Open 1.62 → 1.67 ↑ +3.1%
One-way rise
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Slow drift over 160h 1m Largest underdog steam
Open 3.9 → 3.7 ↓ -5.1%
One-way drop
Morocco (Away)
Open 5.25 → 5.25 +0.0%
Books 6/14 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 3.90 → 3.59 → 3.70) — net 5.1% but intraday chop is elevated.

Waiting for Close

1. Liga U19 · kickoff in 37h 30m
C 27
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Slovácko U19 vs Mladá Boleslav U19
Slovácko U19 (Home) — Stable line
Open 2.37 → 2.37 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.64 → 3.64 +0.0%
Mladá Boleslav U19 (Away)
Open 2.34 → 2.34 +0.0%
Books 9/10 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Slovácko U19 (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.3% — price repriced then reverted.

Waiting for Close

Second League A - Division A Gold · kickoff in 35h 30m
C 26
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Volgar Astrakhan vs Novosibirsk
Volgar Astrakhan (Home) — Stable line
Open 3.34 → 3.34 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.38 → 3.38 +0.0%
Novosibirsk (Away)
Open 1.97 → 1.97 +0.0%
Books 3/3 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Volgar Astrakhan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.5% — price repriced then reverted.

Waiting for Close

Match(9) Side Open Current Move Signal Ref book Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Context Market state CLV Validation? Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds. Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds.
Qatar vs Switzerland World Cup · Sat 19:00 Draw 6.0 6.5
kickoff in 41h 30m 		↑ +8.3%
6.0 6.5

🐢 Slow drift over 160h 1m
7.00 → 5.10 → 6.50 		📈 Steam Bet365
Sharp-led move: SBO 		12/14
Steam Score: 60 A Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

 Largest move today Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Multi-book steam on Draw (8.3%, 12/14) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
USA vs Paraguay World Cup · Sat 01:00 Paraguay 4.0 4.2
kickoff in 23h 30m 		↑ +5.0%
4.0 4.2

🐢 Slow drift over 159h 59m
4.35 → 3.51 → 4.20 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365
Sharp-led move: SBO 		13/14
Steam Score: 50 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 — Sharp repricing Waiting for Close SBO led repricing on Paraguay (5.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Kaluga vs Mashuk-KMV Second League A - Division A Gold · Sat 13:00 Kaluga 4.28 4.28
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking 1xBet 3/3
Steam Score: 36 C Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

 Highest consensus move Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on Kaluga — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
Torpedo Miass vs Rodina Moskva II Second League A - Division A Gold · Sat 13:00 Torpedo Miass 2.42 2.42
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking 1xBet 3/3
Steam Score: 36 C Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on Torpedo Miass — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
Tekstilshchik vs Irtysh Omsk Second League A - Division A Gold · Sat 13:00 Tekstilshchik 1.2 1.2
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.25 → 1.19 → 1.20 		— Tracking 1xBet 3/3
Steam Score: 36 C Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on Tekstilshchik — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
Veles vs Leningradets Second League A - Division A Gold · Sat 13:00 Veles 1.82 1.82
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking 1xBet 3/3
Steam Score: 36 C Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on Veles — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
Brazil vs Morocco World Cup · Sat 22:00 Draw 3.9 3.7
kickoff in 44h 30m 		↓ -5.1%
3.9 3.7

🐢 Slow drift over 160h 1m
3.90 → 3.59 → 3.70 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365 6/14
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Largest underdog steam Volatile Waiting for Close Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 3.90 → 3.59 → 3.70) — net 5.1% but intraday chop is elevated.
Slovácko U19 vs Mladá Boleslav U19 1. Liga U19 · Sat 15:00 Slovácko U19 2.37 2.37
since pub · 4h 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.55 → 2.37 → 2.37 		⚠️ Volatile market Pinnacle 9/10
Steam Score: 27 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Slovácko U19 (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.3% — price repriced then reverted.
Volgar Astrakhan vs Novosibirsk Second League A - Division A Gold · Sat 13:00 Volgar Astrakhan 3.34 3.34
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
3.34 → 3.10 → 3.34 		⚠️ Volatile market 1xBet 3/3
Steam Score: 26 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Volgar Astrakhan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.5% — price repriced then reverted.