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Market Movements - Live Market Moves

Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.

Monitor bookmaker line movement, market consensus, and late odds shifts before kickoff.

Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Developing moves
S1: steam≥70, edge≥+5pp, steam & edge same direction. All moves Actionable (S1) Enhanced Market
Live market monitor

📊 Top Edge Today

Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.

Match AI Edge Market Move Edge Status
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein Azerbaijan Draw ↑ +33.3% -46.5 pp Model Breakdown Risk
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat Montserrat British Virgin Islands ↑ +41.7% -41.9 pp Model Breakdown Risk
Argentina vs Bolivia Argentina Bolivia ↑ +11.5% -38.6 pp Model Breakdown Risk
Malta vs Gibraltar Malta Gibraltar ↑ +8.3% -37.7 pp Model Breakdown Risk
Dominica vs Guyana Guyana Dominica ↑ +20.0% -36.8 pp Model Breakdown Risk
Germany vs Serbia Germany Serbia ↑ +700.0% -35.6 pp Model Breakdown Risk
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin Saint Martin US Virgin Islands ↓ -19.2% -32.3 pp Model Breakdown Risk
Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W Manchester City W Real Madrid W ↑ +5.1% -23.3 pp Strong Market Ahead

🔥 Top market moves

The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.

Match Side Move Signal Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks.
Alianza vs Platense Platense ↓ -37.6% 🔥 Strong steam 6/7 Steam Score: 95 A+
Dominica vs Guyana Dominica ↑ +20.0% 📉 Strong drift 8/8 Steam Score: 88 A+
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin US Virgin Islands ↓ -19.2% 🔥 Strong steam 5/7 Steam Score: 88 A+
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat British Virgin Islands ↑ +41.7% 📉 Strong drift 6/8 Steam Score: 82 A+
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest The Strongest ↑ +33.3% 📉 Strong drift 5/7 Steam Score: 80 A+

Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.

Match(55) Side Open Current Move Signal Ref book Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Context Market state CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance.
Alianza vs Platense Primera Division · Thu 01:00 Platense 6.25 3.9
since pub · 12h 3m 		↓ -37.6%
6.25 3.9

🐢 Slow drift over 12h 3m
6.25 → 3.90 → 3.90 		🔥 Strong steam Bet365 6/7
Steam Score: 95 A+ Strong multi-book steam

Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.

 Largest underdog steam Sharp repricing Waiting for Close 6/7 books synchronized on Platense (37.6% steam, score 95) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
Dominica vs Guyana CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 21:00 Dominica 7.5 9.0
since pub · 8h 14m 		↑ +20.0%
7.5 9.0

↔ Gradual move over 8h 14m
12.00 → 7.50 → 9.00 		📉 Strong drift Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		8/8
Steam Score: 88 A+ Strong multi-book steam

Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade).

 Top 25% move Market drift Waiting for Close 8/8 books lengthened Dominica together (20.0% drift, score 88) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip.
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 20:00 US Virgin Islands 6.5 5.25
since pub · 8h 14m 		↓ -19.2%
6.5 5.25

↔ Gradual move over 8h 14m
10.25 → 5.25 → 5.25 		🔥 Strong steam Bet365 5/7
Steam Score: 88 A+ Strong multi-book steam

Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.

 Top 25% move Sharp repricing Waiting for Close 5/7 books synchronized on US Virgin Islands (19.2% steam, score 88) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 19:00 British Virgin Islands 6.0 8.5
since pub · 4h 6m 		↑ +41.7%
6.0 8.5

↔ Gradual move over 4h 6m
13.00 → 6.00 → 8.50 		📉 Strong drift Bet365 6/8
Steam Score: 82 A+ Strong multi-book steam

Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade).

 Top 10% move Market drift Waiting for Close 6/8 books lengthened British Virgin Islands together (41.7% drift, score 82) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip.
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest Copa de la División Profesional · Thu 00:30 The Strongest 2.55 3.4
since pub · 16h 10m 		↑ +33.3%
2.55 3.4

🐢 Slow drift over 16h 10m
3.88 → 2.40 → 3.40 		📉 Strong drift Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		5/7
Steam Score: 80 A+ Strong multi-book steam

Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade).

 Top 10% move Market drift Waiting for Close 5/7 books lengthened The Strongest together (33.3% drift, score 80) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip.
Guinea vs Kenya Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Thu 16:00 Kenya 5.75 4.5
since pub · 8h 3m 		↓ -21.7%
5.75 4.5

↔ Gradual move over 8h 3m
6.00 → 4.50 → 4.50 		📈 Steam Bet365 5/8
Steam Score: 80 A+ Strong multi-book steam

Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.

 Top 25% move Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Multi-book steam on Kenya (21.7%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
Wales vs Norway UEFA Nations League · Thu 18:45 Wales 3.7 6.25
kickoff in 31h 59m 		↑ +68.9%
3.7 6.25

🐢 Slow drift over 55h 54m
6.25 → 3.30 → 6.25 		📉 Strong drift Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		9/9
Steam Score: 79 A+ Strong multi-book steam

Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade).

 Top 10% move Market drift Waiting for Close 9/9 books lengthened Wales together (68.9% drift, score 79) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip.
North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21 UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Thu 16:00 North Macedonia U21 2.3 2.7
since pub · 3h 45m 		↑ +17.4%
2.3 2.7

📈 Active repricing over 3h 45m
2.77 → 2.25 → 2.70 		📉 Strong drift Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		5/6
Steam Score: 77 A+ Strong multi-book steam

Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade).

 Fastest repricing Market drift Waiting for Close 5/6 books lengthened North Macedonia U21 together (17.4% drift, score 77) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip.
Germany vs Serbia UEFA Nations League · Thu 18:45 Serbia 1.5 12.0
kickoff in 31h 59m 		↑ +700.0%
1.5 12.0

🐢 Slow drift over 115h 47m
12.80 → 1.50 → 12.00 		📉 Strong drift Bet365 8/9
Steam Score: 71 A Strong sharp signal

Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam).

 Largest move today Market drift Waiting for Close 8/9 books lengthened Serbia together (700.0% drift, score 71) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip.
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein UEFA Nations League · Thu 16:00 Draw 6.0 8.0
kickoff in 29h 14m 		↑ +33.3%
6.0 8.0

🐢 Slow drift over 36h 1m
10.00 → 5.20 → 8.00 		↘ Drift Bet365 5/9
Steam Score: 65 A Strong sharp signal

Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam).

 Top 25% move Market drift Waiting for Close Multi-book drift on Draw (33.3%, 5/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side.
Cariari Pococi vs Santa Ana Liga de Ascenso · Thu 19:00 Cariari Pococi 2.0 2.45
kickoff in 32h 14m 		↑ +22.5%
2.0 2.45

🐢 Slow drift over 630h 33m
2.55 → 1.92 → 2.45 		📉 Strong drift Bet365 9/12
Steam Score: 62 A Strong sharp signal

Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam).

 Largest closing-window shift Market drift P1: 2.00 · P5: 2.00 · P10: 2.00 · P30: 2.00 9/12 books lengthened Cariari Pococi together (22.5% drift, score 62) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip.
Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights USL Championship · Thu 02:00 Las Vegas Lights 5.0 4.5
kickoff in 15h 14m 		↓ -10.0%
5.0 4.5

🐢 Slow drift over 49h 48m
5.59 → 4.50 → 4.50 		📈 Steam Bet365 6/8
Steam Score: 60 A Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

 — Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Multi-book steam on Las Vegas Lights (10.0%, 6/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
Greece vs Netherlands UEFA Nations League · Thu 18:45 Netherlands 1.85 2.1
kickoff in 31h 59m 		↑ +13.5%
1.85 2.1

🐢 Slow drift over 55h 54m
2.15 → 1.75 → 2.10 		↘ Drift Bet365 9/9
Steam Score: 58 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam).

 Highest consensus move Market drift Waiting for Close Multi-book drift on Netherlands (13.5%, 9/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side.
Austria Wien W vs Inter Milano W UEFA Champions League Women · Thu 16:45 Austria Wien W 4.5 4.0
kickoff in 29h 59m 		↓ -11.1%
4.5 4.0

🐢 Slow drift over 48h 59m
4.80 → 3.86 → 4.00 		📈 Steam Bet365 4/8
Steam Score: 53 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 — Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Multi-book steam on Austria Wien W (11.1%, 4/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United USL Championship · Thu 00:00 New Mexico United 3.75 3.6
kickoff in 13h 14m 		↓ -4.0%
3.75 3.6

🐢 Slow drift over 49h 48m
3.75 → 3.25 → 3.60 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		7/7
Steam Score: 50 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 — Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Betfair led repricing on New Mexico United (4.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 22:00 Trinidad and Tobago 3.6 3.9
since pub · 8h 14m 		↑ +8.3%
3.6 3.9

↔ Gradual move over 8h 14m
4.75 → 3.60 → 3.90 		↘ Drift Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		6/8
Steam Score: 49 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam).

 — Market drift Waiting for Close Multi-book drift on Trinidad and Tobago (8.3%, 6/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side.
Argentina vs Bolivia Friendlies · Thu 00:00 Bolivia 26.0 29.0
kickoff in 13h 14m 		↑ +11.5%
26.0 29.0

🐢 Slow drift over 25h 47m
38.00 → 14.44 → 29.00 		↘ Drift Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle 		6/9
Steam Score: 48 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam).

 — Market drift Waiting for Close Multi-book drift on Bolivia (11.5%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side.
FAS vs Isidro Metapán Primera Division · Thu 02:00 FAS 1.8 2.05
since pub · 16h 2m 		↑ +13.9%
1.8 2.05

🐢 Slow drift over 16h 2m
2.20 → 1.80 → 2.05 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365 2/7
Steam Score: 44 B Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

 Top 25% move Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Bet365 led repricing on FAS (13.9%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria UEFA Nations League · Thu 18:45 Rep. Of Ireland 3.2 3.5
kickoff in 31h 59m 		↑ +9.4%
3.2 3.5

🐢 Slow drift over 55h 54m
3.60 → 2.90 → 3.50 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		4/9
Steam Score: 43 B Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

 — Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Betfair led repricing on Rep. Of Ireland (9.4%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Malta vs Gibraltar UEFA Nations League · Thu 18:45 Gibraltar 12.0 13.0
kickoff in 31h 59m 		↑ +8.3%
12.0 13.0

🐢 Slow drift over 36h 1m
13.00 → 7.43 → 13.00 		↘ Drift Bet365
Sharp-led move: SBO 		6/9
Steam Score: 41 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam).

 — Market drift Waiting for Close Multi-book drift on Gibraltar (8.3%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side.
Denmark vs Portugal UEFA Nations League · Thu 18:45 Draw 3.5 3.7
kickoff in 31h 59m 		↑ +5.7%
3.5 3.7

🐢 Slow drift over 55h 54m
3.77 → 3.16 → 3.70 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365 5/9
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 — Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Bet365 led repricing on Draw (5.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Indonesia vs Bangladesh FIFA Asean Cup · Thu 11:30 Indonesia 1.04 1.04
since pub · 12h 13m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking Bet365 5/5
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on Indonesia — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
El Seka El Hadid vs El Entag EL Harby Second League · Thu 12:30 El Seka El Hadid 2.62 2.62
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.75 → 2.62 → 2.62 		— Tracking Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		6/6
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on El Seka El Hadid — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
La Viena FC vs AL Nasr SC Second League · Thu 12:30 La Viena FC 2.5 2.5
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.50 → 2.40 → 2.50 		— Tracking Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		6/6
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on La Viena FC — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
Pharco vs Tersana Second League · Thu 12:30 Pharco 2.05 2.05
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		6/6
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on Pharco — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
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