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Market Movements - Live-Market-Moves

World Cup 2026 TODAY TOMORROW WEEK

Live-Market-Moves Early-Sharp-Moves Final-Closing-Moves CLV-Performance
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🔥 Top market moves

Match Side Move Signal Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks.
Jordan vs Algeria Jordan ↑ +8.7% 📈 Steam 11/12 Steam Score: 63 A
New Zealand vs Egypt New Zealand ↓ -17.4% ⚡ Sharp-led move 5/12 Steam Score: 62 A
Jordan vs Argentina Jordan ↑ +10.0% 📈 Steam 7/11 Steam Score: 57 B
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina ↓ -9.1% 📈 Steam 7/12 Steam Score: 54 B
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast Curaçao ↓ -16.7% ⚡ Sharp-led move 3/12 Steam Score: 51 B
World Cup · kickoff in 14d
A 63
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +19/45
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

Jordan vs Algeria
Jordan (Home) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m Top 10% move
Open 5.75 → 6.25 ↑ +8.7%
One-way rise
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.8 → 4.0 ↑ +5.3%
One-way rise
Algeria (Away)
Open 1.57 → 1.5 ↓ -4.5%
One-way drop
Books 11/12 📈 Steam Sharp repricing
View market brief

Multi-book steam on Jordan (8.7%, 11/12) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 13d
A 62
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong odds adjustment magnitude
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +38/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

New Zealand vs Egypt
New Zealand (Home) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m Largest move today
Open 5.75 → 4.75 ↓ -17.4%
One-way drop
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.75 → 3.5 ↓ -6.7%
One-way drop
Egypt (Away)
Open 1.57 → 1.73 ↑ +10.2%
One-way rise
Books 5/12 ⚡ Sharp-led move Sharp repricing
View market brief

Bet365 led repricing on New Zealand (17.4%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 19d
B 57
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +22/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Jordan vs Argentina
Jordan (Home) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m Top 10% move
Open 10.0 → 11.0 ↑ +10.0%
One-way rise
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 6.5 ↑ +8.3%
One-way rise
Argentina (Away)
Open 1.22 → 1.2 ↓ -1.6%
Stable
Books 7/11 📈 Steam Sharp repricing
View market brief

Multi-book steam on Jordan (10.0%, 7/11) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 9d
B 54
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +20/45
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Switzerland (Home)
Open 1.57 → 1.62 ↑ +3.2%
One-way rise
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.0 → 3.9 ↓ -2.5%
Stable
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Away) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m Top 10% move
Open 5.5 → 5.0 ↓ -9.1%
One-way drop
Books 7/12 📈 Steam Sharp repricing
View market brief

Multi-book steam on Bosnia & Herzegovina (9.1%, 7/12) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 16d
B 51
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong odds adjustment magnitude
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +8/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
Curaçao (Home) 🐢 Slow drift over 67h 59m Top 3% move
Open 12.0 → 10.0 ↓ -16.7%
One-way drop
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 5.75 ↓ -4.2%
One-way drop
Ivory Coast (Away)
Open 1.18 → 1.2 ↑ +1.7%
Stable
Books 3/12 ⚡ Sharp-led move Sharp repricing
View market brief

Bet365 led repricing on Curaçao (16.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 18d
B 46
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +15/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

New Zealand vs Belgium
New Zealand (Home) 🐢 Slow drift over 67h 59m Top 25% move
Open 7.5 → 8.0 ↑ +6.7%
One-way rise
Draw (Draw)
Open 5.5 → 5.5 +0.0%
Belgium (Away)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Stable
Books 8/12 ⚡ Sharp-led move Sharp repricing
View market brief

Betfair led repricing on New Zealand (6.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 19d
B 45
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Croatia vs Ghana
Croatia (Home)
Open 1.67 → 1.65 ↓ -1.2%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.6 → 3.7 ↑ +2.8%
Stable
Ghana (Away) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m Top 25% move
Open 4.75 → 5.0 ↑ +5.3%
One-way rise
Books 9/12 ⚡ Sharp-led move Sharp repricing
View market brief

SBO led repricing on Ghana (5.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 18d
B 43
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +9/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia
Cape Verde Islands (Home) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
Open 2.4 → 2.5 ↑ +4.2%
One-way rise
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.3 → 3.3 +0.0%
Saudi Arabia (Away)
Open 2.8 → 2.7 ↓ -3.6%
One-way drop
Books 9/12 ⚡ Sharp-led move Sharp repricing
View market brief

Betfair led repricing on Cape Verde Islands (4.2%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 12d
C 38
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +9/45
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Ecuador vs Curaçao
Ecuador (Home)
Open 1.2 → 1.2 +0.0%
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
Open 6.0 → 6.25 ↑ +4.2%
One-way rise
Curaçao (Away)
Open 13.0 → 13.0 +0.0%
Books 7/12 ⚡ Sharp-led move Sharp repricing
View market brief

SBO led repricing on Draw (4.2%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 9d
C 36
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +5/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Czech Republic vs South Africa
Czech Republic (Home)
Open 1.95 → 1.91 ↓ -2.1%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.25 → 3.25 +0.0%
South Africa (Away) — Stable line
Open 4.1 → 4.2 ↑ +2.4%
Stable
Books 8/12 📉 Weakening Discovery
View market brief

Market fading South Africa (2.4%) — line drifting longer vs. open (8/12).

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 10d
C 33
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Canada vs Qatar
Canada (Home)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Stable
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m Top 25% move
Open 4.75 → 5.0 ↑ +5.3%
One-way rise
Qatar (Away)
Open 9.0 → 9.0 +0.0%
Books 6/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00) — net 5.3% but intraday chop is elevated.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 8d
C 31
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +14/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Austria vs Jordan
Austria (Home)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 5.5 → 5.5 +0.0%
Jordan (Away) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m Top 25% move
Open 8.0 → 8.5 ↑ +6.2%
One-way rise
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Volatile two-way pricing on Jordan (swing 10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50) — net 6.2% but intraday chop is elevated.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 6d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Sweden vs Tunisia
Sweden (Home)
Open 1.9 → 1.85 ↓ -2.6%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Tunisia (Away) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m Top 25% move
Open 4.1 → 4.33 ↑ +5.6%
One-way rise
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Volatile two-way pricing on Tunisia (swing 4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33) — net 5.6% but intraday chop is elevated.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 16d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +9/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Scotland vs Brazil
Scotland (Home) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
Open 6.25 → 6.5 ↑ +4.0%
One-way rise
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.2 → 4.33 ↑ +3.1%
One-way rise
Brazil (Away)
Open 1.48 → 1.45 ↓ -2.0%
Stable
Books 6/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Volatile two-way pricing on Scotland (swing 9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50) — net 4.0% but intraday chop is elevated.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 14d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Norway vs Senegal
Norway (Home) — Stable line
Open 2.1 → 2.1 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.3 → 3.3 +0.0%
Senegal (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Norway (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 15d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Switzerland vs Canada
Switzerland (Home) — Stable line
Open 2.05 → 2.05 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.25 → 3.25 +0.0%
Canada (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Switzerland (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 17d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Japan vs Sweden
Japan (Home) — Stable line
Open 2.05 → 2.05 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Sweden (Away)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Japan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 6d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +11/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Spain vs Cape Verde Islands
Spain (Home)
Open 1.08 → 1.09 ↑ +0.9%
Stable
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m Top 25% move
Open 10.0 → 9.5 ↓ -5.0%
One-way drop
Cape Verde Islands (Away)
Open 23.0 → 23.0 +0.0%
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50) — net 5.0% but intraday chop is elevated.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 11d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +10/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Germany vs Ivory Coast
Germany (Home)
Open 1.5 → 1.53 ↑ +2.0%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.1 → 4.0 ↓ -2.4%
Stable
Ivory Coast (Away) 🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m Top 25% move
Open 5.75 → 5.5 ↓ -4.3%
One-way drop
Books 5/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Volatile two-way pricing on Ivory Coast (swing 6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50) — net 4.3% but intraday chop is elevated.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 6d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Belgium vs Egypt
Belgium (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.65 → 1.65 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.8 → 3.8 +0.0%
Egypt (Away)
Open 5.0 → 5.0 +0.0%
Books 12/13 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Belgium (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.2% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 8d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Portugal vs Congo DR
Portugal (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.25 → 1.25 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 6.0 +0.0%
Congo DR (Away)
Open 9.5 → 9.5 +0.0%
Books 12/13 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Portugal (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 10d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

USA vs Australia
USA (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.7 → 1.7 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Australia (Away)
Open 4.75 → 4.75 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on USA (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.9% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 13d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Argentina vs Austria
Argentina (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.62 → 1.62 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.75 → 3.75 +0.0%
Austria (Away)
Open 5.25 → 5.25 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Argentina (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.1% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 14d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

France vs Iraq
France (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.11 → 1.11 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 8.5 → 8.5 +0.0%
Iraq (Away)
Open 19.0 → 19.0 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on France (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 17d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +28/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Paraguay vs Australia
Paraguay (Home) — Stable line
Open 2.15 → 2.15 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.2 → 3.2 +0.0%
Australia (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Paraguay (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.5% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Match(72) Pick Open Current Move Signal Ref book Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Context Phase CLV Validation? Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds. Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds.
Jordan vs Algeria World Cup · Tue 03:00 Jordan 5.75 6.25
kickoff in 14d 		↑ +8.7%
5.75 6.25

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
6.68 → 4.90 → 6.25 		📈 Steam Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 63 A Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

 Top 10% move Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Multi-book steam on Jordan (8.7%, 11/12) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
New Zealand vs Egypt World Cup · Mon 01:00 New Zealand 5.75 4.75
kickoff in 13d 		↓ -17.4%
5.75 4.75

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
5.75 → 4.29 → 4.75 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365 5/12
Steam Score: 62 A Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

 Largest move today Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Bet365 led repricing on New Zealand (17.4%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Jordan vs Argentina World Cup · Sun 02:00 Jordan 10.0 11.0
kickoff in 19d 		↑ +10.0%
10.0 11.0

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
15.50 → 10.00 → 11.00 		📈 Steam Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 7/11
Steam Score: 57 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Top 10% move Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Multi-book steam on Jordan (10.0%, 7/11) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup · Thu 19:00 Bosnia & Herzegovina 5.5 5.0
kickoff in 9d 		↓ -9.1%
5.5 5.0

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
6.10 → 5.00 → 5.00 		📈 Steam Bet365 7/12
Steam Score: 54 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Top 10% move Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Multi-book steam on Bosnia & Herzegovina (9.1%, 7/12) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast World Cup · Thu 20:00 Curaçao 12.0 10.0
kickoff in 16d 		↓ -16.7%
12.0 10.0

🐢 Slow drift over 67h 59m
17.00 → 7.40 → 10.00 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365 3/12
Steam Score: 51 B Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

 Top 3% move Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Bet365 led repricing on Curaçao (16.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
New Zealand vs Belgium World Cup · Sat 03:00 New Zealand 7.5 8.0
kickoff in 18d 		↑ +6.7%
7.5 8.0

🐢 Slow drift over 67h 59m
11.00 → 7.50 → 8.00 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 8/12
Steam Score: 46 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Top 25% move Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Betfair led repricing on New Zealand (6.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Croatia vs Ghana World Cup · Sat 21:00 Ghana 4.75 5.0
kickoff in 19d 		↑ +5.3%
4.75 5.0

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
5.50 → 4.50 → 5.00 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 9/12
Steam Score: 45 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Top 25% move Sharp repricing Waiting for Close SBO led repricing on Ghana (5.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia World Cup · Sat 00:00 Cape Verde Islands 2.4 2.5
kickoff in 18d 		↑ +4.2%
2.4 2.5

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
2.76 → 2.40 → 2.50 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 9/12
Steam Score: 43 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 — Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Betfair led repricing on Cape Verde Islands (4.2%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Ecuador vs Curaçao World Cup · Sun 00:00 Draw 6.0 6.25
kickoff in 12d 		↑ +4.2%
6.0 6.25

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
7.18 → 4.73 → 6.25 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 7/12
Steam Score: 38 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Sharp repricing Waiting for Close SBO led repricing on Draw (4.2%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Czech Republic vs South Africa World Cup · Thu 16:00 South Africa 4.1 4.2
kickoff in 9d 		↑ +2.4%
4.1 4.2

— Stable line
4.30 → 3.68 → 4.20 		📉 Weakening Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 8/12
Steam Score: 36 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Market fading South Africa (2.4%) — line drifting longer vs. open (8/12).
Canada vs Qatar World Cup · Thu 22:00 Draw 4.75 5.0
kickoff in 10d 		↑ +5.3%
4.75 5.0

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 6/12
Steam Score: 33 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00) — net 5.3% but intraday chop is elevated.
Austria vs Jordan World Cup · Wed 04:00 Jordan 8.0 8.5
kickoff in 8d 		↑ +6.2%
8.0 8.5

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 5/13
Steam Score: 31 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Volatile two-way pricing on Jordan (swing 10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50) — net 6.2% but intraday chop is elevated.
Sweden vs Tunisia World Cup · Mon 02:00 Tunisia 4.1 4.33
kickoff in 6d 		↑ +5.6%
4.1 4.33

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 5/13
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Volatile two-way pricing on Tunisia (swing 4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33) — net 5.6% but intraday chop is elevated.
Scotland vs Brazil World Cup · Wed 22:00 Scotland 6.25 6.5
kickoff in 16d 		↑ +4.0%
6.25 6.5

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365 6/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Volatile two-way pricing on Scotland (swing 9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50) — net 4.0% but intraday chop is elevated.
Norway vs Senegal World Cup · Tue 00:00 Norway 2.1 2.1
kickoff in 14d 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.14 → 2.00 → 2.10 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Norway (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Switzerland vs Canada World Cup · Wed 19:00 Switzerland 2.05 2.05
kickoff in 15d 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.14 → 2.00 → 2.05 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Switzerland (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Japan vs Sweden World Cup · Thu 23:00 Japan 2.05 2.05
kickoff in 17d 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.12 → 2.00 → 2.05 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Japan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands World Cup · Mon 16:00 Draw 10.0 9.5
kickoff in 6d 		↓ -5.0%
10.0 9.5

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365 5/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50) — net 5.0% but intraday chop is elevated.
Germany vs Ivory Coast World Cup · Sat 20:00 Ivory Coast 5.75 5.5
kickoff in 11d 		↓ -4.3%
5.75 5.5

🐢 Slow drift over 71h 59m
6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 5/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Volatile two-way pricing on Ivory Coast (swing 6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50) — net 4.3% but intraday chop is elevated.
Belgium vs Egypt World Cup · Mon 19:00 Belgium 1.65 1.65
kickoff in 6d 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.72 → 1.60 → 1.65 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 12/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Belgium (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.2% — price repriced then reverted.
Portugal vs Congo DR World Cup · Wed 17:00 Portugal 1.25 1.25
kickoff in 8d 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.31 → 1.23 → 1.25 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 12/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Portugal (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.
USA vs Australia World Cup · Fri 19:00 USA 1.7 1.7
kickoff in 10d 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.80 → 1.68 → 1.70 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on USA (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.9% — price repriced then reverted.
Argentina vs Austria World Cup · Mon 17:00 Argentina 1.62 1.62
kickoff in 13d 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.68 → 1.58 → 1.62 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Argentina (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.1% — price repriced then reverted.
France vs Iraq World Cup · Mon 21:00 France 1.11 1.11
kickoff in 14d 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.14 → 1.07 → 1.11 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on France (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.
Paraguay vs Australia World Cup · Fri 02:00 Paraguay 2.15 2.15
kickoff in 17d 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.23 → 2.11 → 2.15 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Paraguay (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.5% — price repriced then reverted.
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