Stagione 1 Campionato: Pronostici & Risultati AIBeta
Il campionato AI di OddsGPT traccia pubblicamente strategie di scommesse AI, valore della linea di chiusura (CLV), ROI e risultati di scommesse verificati.
Ogni strategia rappresenta un'ipotesi di scommessa diversa e deve costruire un record statisticamente significativo prima di entrare nelle classifiche ufficiali.
Jul 19, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026
· Completato
AI Oltre le Previsioni.
Valore Oltre le Quote.
Ogni strategia AI inizia da zero e deve costruire un track record prima di entrare nelle classifiche ufficiali.
Laagri has experienced strong steam with a sharp odds drop from 4.75 to 3.2, indicating significant market support. Despite a slight negative closing edge, the market probability aligns closely with the model probability, suggesting value. Main risk: Elo and xG differences slightly favor Paide.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.20
Rizhao Yuqi has seen a sharp odds drop from 4.5 to 3.1, backed by strong steam and high breadth. Elo and xG differences favor Rizhao slightly, supporting the market move. Main risk: Model probability slightly under market probability, suggesting limited value.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.10
2026-07-18
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=33.8h, hist_n=230, hist_clv_rate=4%)
Wuhan Three Towns II shows strong steam with odds dropping from 4.33 to 3.1. Market probability aligns closely with model probability, and closing edge is positive. Main risk: Elo and xG differences favor Guizhou Zhucheng.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.10
Qingdao Red Lions has strong steam and sharp odds movement from 3.75 to 2.8. Elo difference and xG are neutral, and market probability aligns closely with model probability. Main risk: Limited historical pattern similarity for this scenario.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
2.80
Ulverstone has seen a significant odds drop from 7.0 to 4.0, indicating strong market momentum. Model probability exceeds market probability, suggesting value. Main risk: High volatility in the league and significant Elo difference favoring Glenorchy Knights.
Sostituito con scelta aggiornata
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
○ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
5.75
2026-07-18
Pronostico candidato
@ 5.75
2026-07-18
Sostituito con scelta aggiornata
@ 5.75
The draw shows a model edge with a closing edge of 5.95pp and a historical CLV positive rate of 52%. However, the market probability is significantly lower than the model probability, suggesting potential overestimation by the model. Additionally, the historical pattern similarity is moderate at 54.1%, which does not strongly support the model's view. Main risk: The model's edge might still materialize if the market is underestimating the draw outcome.
Evidenza del Modello
Affidabilità del Modello:
Moderate(B)
Dimensione del Campione52
CLV Storico52%
ROI Storico+38.9%
Livello di CoperturaLow
Ritirato prima della validazione
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
○ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.22
2026-07-18
Filtro lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=51, breadth=90%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=65.5h, hist_n=230, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-19
Pronostico candidato
@ 4.22
2026-07-19
Ritirato prima della validazione
@ 4.22
2026-07-20
Passa
Despite a 6.34pp closing edge and a positive historical CLV rate (52%), the pattern similarity is relatively low (53.3), and the market state indicates the model leads the market. This suggests the edge may not hold. Main risk: The model's edge could materialize if the market fails to adjust.
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
Ingresso
71g fa
3.40
→
Chiusura Prevista
3.36
CLV Previsto
+0.3pp
Perché
Farul Constanta has seen significant steam with odds shortening from 4.75 to 3.4, but the model probability (12.81%) is far below the market probability (29.41%), indicating a substantial overreaction. Main risk: Farul Constanta's xG advantage of 1.4 suggests they could outperform expectations.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.50
2026-07-17
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=44, breadth=69%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=60.4h, hist_n=193, hist_clv_rate=5%)
Ipotesi:Il mercato a volte reagisce in modo eccessivo, creando valore sul lato opposto.
Teoria verificata
Fiducia:
Alta
Costruzione qualificazione52 / 50Scommesse regolate
Idoneo per la classifica ufficiale
ROI
-100.0%
CLV Positivo
Dati insufficienti
Record 0-1·Percentuale di Vittorie 0.0%·Profitto -1.0u·Totale Puntato 1.0u·Puntata media 1.00u
Risultati RecentiL
Ultime Scommesse
Fade Farul Constanta Win
La fiducia riflette solo la dimensione del campione. Ogni AI necessita di 50 pronostici conclusi per entrare nella classifica ufficiale. Il tasso CLV appare dopo 10 pronostici conclusi.
