Stagione 1 Campionato: Pronostici & Risultati AIBeta
Il campionato AI di OddsGPT traccia pubblicamente strategie di scommesse AI, valore della linea di chiusura (CLV), ROI e risultati di scommesse verificati.
Ogni strategia rappresenta un'ipotesi di scommessa diversa e deve costruire un record statisticamente significativo prima di entrare nelle classifiche ufficiali.
Jun 29, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026
· Completato
AI Oltre le Previsioni.
Valore Oltre le Quote.
Ogni strategia AI inizia da zero e deve costruire un track record prima di entrare nelle classifiche ufficiali.
TPV has a significant closing edge of 20.91% and strong steam with a high steam score of 96. The model probability of 34.24% is well above the market probability of 13.33%. Main risk: The odds drift suggests market skepticism, and TPV's low implied probability reflects their underdog status.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
7.50
Amazonas shows strong steam with a steam score of 99 and a closing edge of 10.43%. The model probability of 31.48% exceeds the market probability of 21.05%. Main risk: Moderate edge and Amazonas' slight underdog status in a low-volatility match.
Ritirato prima della validazione
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
○ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.75
2026-06-26
Filtro lente
Lens reject: edge must be ≥-3pp. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=118.3h)
2026-06-29
Pronostico candidato
@ 4.75
2026-06-29
Ritirato prima della validazione
@ 4.75
2026-06-30
Passa
Ranked 11/44 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.51). Main risk: N/A.
—
Chiusura
@ 4.54
3Odense vs Kolding IF2-1
✗ Errato
Friendlies Clubs
2026-06-29
ScommettiKolding IF Win
4.10
3.90
+1.2pp
68
🔥
▾
Ingresso
91g fa
4.10
→
Chiusura Prevista
3.90
CLV Previsto
+1.2pp
Perché
Kolding IF has a strong model edge with a closing edge of 14.1% and a model probability of 38.49%, significantly higher than the market probability of 24.39%. Main risk: Limited steam signal and the friendly nature of the match, which can introduce unpredictability.
Segnale di Denaro
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.10
IDPartitaData della sceltaScommessaQuoteChiusura PrevistaCLVRisultatoSegnale
1Botafogo PB vs Brusque2-0
✗ Errato
Serie C
2026-06-29
ScommettiBrusque Win
3.75
3.27
+3.9pp
85
🔥
▾
Ingresso
91g fa
3.75
→
Chiusura Prevista
3.27
CLV Previsto
+3.9pp
Perché
Brusque shows strong steam with a significant odds drift from 2.62 to 3.75, indicating sharp market interest. The model probability is higher than market probability, providing closing edge. Main risk: Brusque's low xG difference and Elo rating suggest limited historical advantage.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.75
2026-06-27
Passa
Ranked 76/84 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 75.2). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-27
Passa
Ranked 7/103 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.7). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-28
Passa
Ranked 6/40 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.7). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-29
Pronostico candidato
@ 3.75
2026-06-29
Sostituito con scelta aggiornata
@ 3.75
Amazonas has sharp steam and a strong closing edge of 10.43. The model probability significantly exceeds market probability, and Elo/xG differences slightly favor Amazonas. Main risk: Amazonas' odds drift suggests market skepticism despite steam signals.
Ritirato prima della validazione
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
○ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.75
2026-06-26
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=118.3h)
2026-06-29
Pronostico candidato
@ 4.75
2026-06-29
Ritirato prima della validazione
@ 4.75
2026-06-30
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=50, breadth=91%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=22.3h, hist_n=246, hist_clv_rate=4%)
TPV exhibits sharp steam with a massive closing edge of 20.91. The model probability is much higher than market probability, and Elo/xG differences are neutral. Main risk: Extremely high odds suggest the market views TPV as a long shot.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
7.50
Panevėžys shows strong steam and a closing edge of 11.69. The model probability is significantly higher than market probability, and xG difference supports the pick. Main risk: Elo difference slightly favors Suduva Marijampole.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Acuto
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.80
Slovan Bratislava has market steam and a closing edge of 6.6. The model probability exceeds market probability, and xG difference is slightly favorable. Main risk: Elo difference heavily favors FK Crvena Zvezda.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Acuto
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.33
The draw option in IA Akranes vs Fram Reykjavik shows a positive historical CLV rate of 52%, indicating a favorable pattern replay. The closing edge is within the acceptable range at 5.5pp, and the market is trailing the model's probability. Main risk: Low volatility could lead to a decisive result, reducing the likelihood of a draw.
Segnale di Denaro
Evidenza del Modello
Affidabilità del Modello:
Moderate(B)
Dimensione del Campione80
CLV Storico52%
ROI Storico+33.3%
Livello di CoperturaLow
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.14
2026-06-29
Pronostico candidato
@ 4.14
—
Chiusura
@ 4.24
2Colombia vs GhanaWorld Cup
2026-06-29
ControDraw
3.80
4.40
-3.6pp
65
🔥
▾
Ingresso
91g fa
3.80
→
Chiusura Prevista
4.40
CLV Previsto
-3.6pp
Perché
The draw in Colombia vs Ghana has a negative closing edge of -8.12pp, suggesting overreaction by the market. Historical CLV is neutral, and the sharp-led market state indicates potential inefficiency. Main risk: Market repricing could still align with sharp bettors' insights, making the fade risky.
Evidenza del Modello
Affidabilità del Modello:
Moderate(B)
Dimensione del Campione80
CLV Storico52%
ROI Storico+33.3%
Livello di CoperturaLow
Ritirato prima della validazione
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
○ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.80
2026-06-29
Pronostico candidato
@ 3.80
2026-06-29
Ritirato prima della validazione
@ 3.80
2026-06-30
Filtro lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=70, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=96.3h, hist_n=618, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-01
Filtro lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=99, breadth=100%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=10.0h, hist_n=599, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-02
Filtro lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=99, breadth=100%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=9.6h, hist_n=599, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-03
Filtro lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=97, breadth=92%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=9.2h, hist_n=599, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-04
Filtro lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=97, breadth=92%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=0.2h, hist_n=596, hist_clv_rate=2%)
IDPartitaData della sceltaScommessaQuoteChiusura PrevistaCLVRisultatoSegnale
1Cuiaba vs America MineiroSerie B
2026-06-29
ControValuation disagreementCuiaba Win
4.72
1.86
+32.6pp
68
⚠️
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Cambio di Prezzo Importante
⚠️ Cambio di Prezzo Importante
Ingresso
91g fa
4.72
→
Chiusura Prevista
1.86
CLV Previsto
+32.6pp
Perché
America Mineiro's odds have lengthened significantly, showing strong steam on Cuiaba. However, the model probability for America Mineiro (10.39%) is much lower than the market's implied probability (21.19%), and the closing edge is negative (-10.8). This indicates a potential overreaction to the steam on Cuiaba. Main risk: The minimal Elo and xG differences suggest this could still be a close match.
Ritirato prima della validazione
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
○ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.72
2026-06-29
Pronostico candidato
@ 4.72
2026-06-29
Ritirato prima della validazione
@ 4.72
2026-06-30
Passa
LLM did not select this match (rank 2/7, pre-LLM score 87.8). Main risk: N/A.
—
Chiusura
@ 1.86
2Germany vs Paraguay1-1
✗ Errato
World Cup
2026-06-29
ControValuation disagreementGermany Win
10.00
1.34
+64.6pp
60
⚠️
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Cambio di Prezzo Importante
⚠️ Cambio di Prezzo Importante
Ingresso
91g fa
10.00
→
Chiusura Prevista
1.34
CLV Previsto
+64.6pp
Perché
Austria's odds have shortened significantly, indicating market steam on the away side. However, the model probability (5.15%) is lower than the market's implied probability (7.69%), and the closing edge is negative (-2.54). The market may have overreacted to Austria's steam. Main risk: Spain's significant xG and Elo advantages make them heavy favorites.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Acuto
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
10.00
Ipotesi:Il mercato a volte reagisce in modo eccessivo, creando valore sul lato opposto.
Costruzione teoria
Fiducia:
Media
Costruzione qualificazione24 / 50Scommesse regolate
Servono altre 26 scelte liquidate per la classifica ufficiale
ROI
-100.0%
CLV Positivo
Dati insufficienti
Record 0-1·Percentuale di Vittorie 0.0%·Profitto -0.5u·Totale Puntato 0.5u·Puntata media 0.50u
Risultati RecentiL
Ultime Scommesse
Fade Cuiaba Win
Fade Germany Win
La fiducia riflette solo la dimensione del campione. Ogni AI necessita di 50 pronostici conclusi per entrare nella classifica ufficiale. Il tasso CLV appare dopo 10 pronostici conclusi.
