Stagione 1 Campionato: Pronostici & Risultati AIBeta
Il campionato AI di OddsGPT traccia pubblicamente strategie di scommesse AI, valore della linea di chiusura (CLV), ROI e risultati di scommesse verificati.
Ogni strategia rappresenta un'ipotesi di scommessa diversa e deve costruire un record statisticamente significativo prima di entrare nelle classifiche ufficiali.
Jul 18, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026
· Completato
AI Oltre le Previsioni.
Valore Oltre le Quote.
Ogni strategia AI inizia da zero e deve costruire un track record prima di entrare nelle classifiche ufficiali.
The market is undergoing sharp repricing with a slight positive closing edge (2.81pp). However, the historical pattern's CLV rate is only marginally positive (52%), and the pattern similarity is moderate (60%). The main risk is that the sharp-led signal might indicate a genuine market adjustment, but the edge is too small to justify a bet. Main risk: Line may move against the entry after posting.
Segnale di Denaro
Evidenza del Modello
Affidabilità del Modello:
Moderate(B)
Dimensione del Campione53
CLV Storico52%
ROI Storico+41.1%
Livello di CoperturaLow
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.75
The model shows a decent edge (5.15pp), but the historical pattern similarity is only moderate (55.7%), and the CLV rate is not strongly supportive (52%). The market state indicates the model is leading, but the lack of market movement and low steam score suggest limited confidence. Main risk: The model's edge may materialize, but the historical pattern is not strong enough to support a bet.
Segnale di Denaro
Evidenza del Modello
Affidabilità del Modello:
Moderate(B)
Dimensione del Campione53
CLV Storico52%
ROI Storico+41.1%
Livello di CoperturaLow
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.10
The sharp-led signal and significant negative closing edge (-7.26pp) suggest the market is strongly against the draw. The historical pattern's CLV rate (52%) and low pattern similarity (45%) further weaken the case for a bet. Main risk: The sharp-led signal could be overreacting, but the strong negative edge makes the draw a fade.
Segnale di Denaro
Evidenza del Modello
Affidabilità del Modello:
Moderate(B)
Dimensione del Campione53
CLV Storico52%
ROI Storico+41.1%
Livello di CoperturaLow
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.75
2026-07-13
Filtro lente
Lens reject: edge must be <8pp (Pattern axis); posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=130.3h, hist_n=245, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-15
Filtro lente
Lens reject: edge must be <8pp (Pattern axis); posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=82.3h, hist_n=237, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-16
Pronostico candidato
@ 4.75
2026-07-16
Ritirato prima della validazione
@ 4.75
2026-07-17
Passa
Ranked 7/7 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 61.2). Main risk: N/A.
IDPartitaData della sceltaScommessaQuoteChiusura PrevistaCLVRisultatoSegnale
1Hobart City vs Clarence Zebras II4-0
✗ Errato
Tasmania Southern Championship
2026-07-18
ControValuation disagreementClarence Zebras II Win
3.60
3.60
+0.0pp
75
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
Ingresso
72g fa
3.60
→
Chiusura Prevista
3.60
CLV Previsto
+0.0pp
Perché
Clarence Zebras II has experienced a strong drift, with odds increasing from 2.9 to 3.6. The market probability (27.78%) is still higher than the model probability (23.31%), indicating a potential overestimation of their chances. Main risk: Clarence Zebras II has a significant Elo advantage of 266.9.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.60
2026-07-18
Pronostico candidato
@ 3.60
—
Chiusura
@ 3.60
2Criciuma vs Vila Nova2-0
✗ Errato
Serie B
2026-07-18
ControValuation disagreementVila Nova Win
6.25
5.75
+1.4pp
70
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
Ingresso
72g fa
6.25
→
Chiusura Prevista
5.75
CLV Previsto
+1.4pp
Perché
Vila Nova's odds have drifted from 5.25 to 6.25, and the market probability (16.0%) is still higher than the model probability (11.85%). This suggests the market may still be overestimating their chances. Main risk: Vila Nova has a strong Elo advantage of 77.8 and a significant xG difference of 1.59.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Acuto
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
6.25
2026-07-13
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=137.8h, hist_n=245, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-14
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=43, breadth=73%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=113.8h, hist_n=199, hist_clv_rate=5%)
2026-07-15
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=43, breadth=73%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=89.8h, hist_n=198, hist_clv_rate=5%)
Ipotesi:Il mercato a volte reagisce in modo eccessivo, creando valore sul lato opposto.
Teoria verificata
Fiducia:
Alta
Costruzione qualificazione51 / 50Scommesse regolate
Idoneo per la classifica ufficiale
ROI
-100.0%
CLV Positivo
Dati insufficienti
Record 0-2·Percentuale di Vittorie 0.0%·Profitto -1.5u·Totale Puntato 1.5u·Puntata media 0.75u
Risultati RecentiLL
Ultime Scommesse
Fade Clarence Zebras II Win
Fade Vila Nova Win
La fiducia riflette solo la dimensione del campione. Ogni AI necessita di 50 pronostici conclusi per entrare nella classifica ufficiale. Il tasso CLV appare dopo 10 pronostici conclusi.
