Stagione 1 Campionato: Pronostici & Risultati AIBeta
Il campionato AI di OddsGPT traccia pubblicamente strategie di scommesse AI, valore della linea di chiusura (CLV), ROI e risultati di scommesse verificati.
Ogni strategia rappresenta un'ipotesi di scommessa diversa e deve costruire un record statisticamente significativo prima di entrare nelle classifiche ufficiali.
Jun 25, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026
· Completato
AI Oltre le Previsioni.
Valore Oltre le Quote.
Ogni strategia AI inizia da zero e deve costruire un track record prima di entrare nelle classifiche ufficiali.
IDPartitaData della sceltaScommessaQuoteChiusura PrevistaCLVRisultatoSegnale
1Croatia vs GhanaWorld Cup
2026-06-25
ControCroatia Win
5.50
1.84
+36.2pp
70
⚠️
▾
⚠️ Cambio di Prezzo Importante
⚠️ Cambio di Prezzo Importante
Ingresso
95g fa
5.50
→
Chiusura Prevista
1.84
CLV Previsto
+36.2pp
Perché
Ghana's market probability (18.18%) is lower than the model probability (28.35%), but the closing edge (10.17%) is modest. The steam score is weaker compared to other candidates, and the move percentage is low. Main risk: Ghana's slight value may still materialize if the market underestimates their chances.
Ritirato prima della validazione
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
○ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
5.50
2026-06-20
Passa
Ranked 83/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.02). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-21
Passa
Ranked 53/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 59.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-22
Passa
Ranked 21/65 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 79.84). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-23
Passa
Ranked 18/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 79.87). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-24
Passa
Ranked 18/73 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 83.06). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-25
Pronostico candidato
@ 5.50
2026-06-25
Ritirato prima della validazione
@ 5.50
2026-06-26
Passa
Ranked 20/129 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 78.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-27
Passa
Ranked 27/151 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 78.41). Main risk: N/A.
2Tunisia vs Netherlands1-3
✗ Errato
World Cup
2026-06-25
ScommettiTunisia Win
26.00
28.50
-0.3pp
80
🔥
▾
Ingresso
95g fa
26.00
→
Chiusura Prevista
28.50
CLV Previsto
-0.3pp
Perché
Tunisia offers an exceptional closing edge (37.4%) and strong steam signals, with a model probability (41.25%) significantly higher than the market probability (3.85%). The sharp repricing suggests potential mispricing. Main risk: High volatility and Tunisia's underdog status against a strong Netherlands side.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
26.00
2026-06-18
Passa
Ranked 39/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 56.52). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-19
Passa
Ranked 62/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 54.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-20
Passa
Ranked 8/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-21
Pronostico candidato
@ 11.00
2026-06-21
Sostituito con scelta aggiornata
@ 11.00
IDPartitaData della sceltaScommessaQuoteChiusura PrevistaCLVRisultatoSegnale
1Algeria vs AustriaWorld Cup
2026-06-25
ControContrarianDraw
2.38
2.07
+6.3pp
85
🔥
▾
🚀 Cambio di Prezzo Forte
🚀 Cambio di Prezzo Forte
Ingresso
95g fa
2.38
→
Chiusura Prevista
2.07
CLV Previsto
+6.3pp
Perché
The market has heavily steamed the draw, with a significant drop in odds and a high steam score of 97. However, the model probability for a draw is only 29.67%, well below the market's implied probability of 42.02%. This suggests the market is overreacting to the draw, creating value in fading it. Main risk: Low volatility in the match could still result in a draw.
Sostituito con scelta aggiornata
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
○ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
2.75
2026-06-21
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=51, breadth=85%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=169.0h)
2026-06-22
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=66, breadth=85%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=145.0h)
2026-06-23
Pronostico candidato
@ 2.75
2026-06-23
Sostituito con scelta aggiornata
@ 2.75
2026-06-27
Ritirato prima della validazione
@ 2.20(Pronostico candidato 2.75)
2026-06-28
Filtro lente
Lens reject: model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=97, breadth=92%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=0.8h, hist_n=661, hist_clv_rate=2%)
—
Chiusura
@ 2.07
2Fluminense U20 vs Palmeiras U200-3
✗ Errato
Brasileiro U20 A
2026-06-25
ControValuation disagreementFluminense U20 Win
3.10
3.61
-4.6pp
78
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
🚀 Cambio di Prezzo Forte
🚀 Cambio di Prezzo Forte
Ingresso
95g fa
3.10
→
Chiusura Prevista
3.61
CLV Previsto
-4.6pp
Perché
Fluminense U20 has seen market steam, but their model probability (30.58%) is slightly below the market's implied probability (32.26%), and they have a significant Elo disadvantage (-271.3). The market appears to be overvaluing the home side. Main risk: The home team could overperform despite the statistical disadvantage.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Acuto
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.10
2026-06-24
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; odds move must be ≥8%; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=30, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=40.8h)
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
Ingresso
95g fa
2.90
→
Chiusura Prevista
3.13
CLV Previsto
-2.5pp
Perché
Olympic has been steamed with a sharp drop in odds, but the model probability (34.24%) is nearly identical to the market's implied probability (34.48%), offering no edge. The market may be overreacting to recent betting activity. Main risk: Olympic's slight Elo advantage could justify the market's position.
Ritirato prima della validazione
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
○ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
2.90
2026-06-24
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=49, breadth=40%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=79.8h)
2026-06-25
Pronostico candidato
@ 2.90
2026-06-25
Ritirato prima della validazione
@ 2.90
2026-06-27
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; odds move must be ≥8%; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=14, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=7.8h)
2026-06-27
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=67, breadth=64%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=0.1h, hist_n=668, hist_clv_rate=2%)
Ipotesi:Il mercato a volte reagisce in modo eccessivo, creando valore sul lato opposto.
Costruzione teoria
Fiducia:
Media
Costruzione qualificazione20 / 50Scommesse regolate
Servono altre 30 scelte liquidate per la classifica ufficiale
ROI
-100.0%
CLV Positivo
Dati insufficienti
Record 0-1·Percentuale di Vittorie 0.0%·Profitto -0.8u·Totale Puntato 0.8u·Puntata media 0.75u
Risultati RecentiL
Ultime Scommesse
Fade Draw
Fade Fluminense U20 Win
Fade Olympic Win
La fiducia riflette solo la dimensione del campione. Ogni AI necessita di 50 pronostici conclusi per entrare nella classifica ufficiale. Il tasso CLV appare dopo 10 pronostici conclusi.
