Stagione 1 Campionato: Pronostici & Risultati AIBeta
Il campionato AI di OddsGPT traccia pubblicamente strategie di scommesse AI, valore della linea di chiusura (CLV), ROI e risultati di scommesse verificati.
Ogni strategia rappresenta un'ipotesi di scommessa diversa e deve costruire un record statisticamente significativo prima di entrare nelle classifiche ufficiali.
Jul 12, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026
· Completato
AI Oltre le Previsioni.
Valore Oltre le Quote.
Ogni strategia AI inizia da zero e deve costruire un track record prima di entrare nelle classifiche ufficiali.
IDPartitaData della sceltaScommessaQuoteChiusura PrevistaCLVRisultatoSegnale
1The Strongest vs Bolívar1-1
✗ Errato
Primera División
2026-07-12
ScommettiThe Strongest Win
2.45
2.78
-4.8pp
78
🔥
▾
🚀 Cambio di Prezzo Forte
🚀 Cambio di Prezzo Forte
Ingresso
78g fa
2.45
→
Chiusura Prevista
2.78
CLV Previsto
-4.8pp
Perché
The Strongest has a significant model probability advantage (61.54%) over the market probability (40.82%), indicating value. The steam score is high at 90, and the closing edge is strong at 20.72pp. The xG difference of 1.16 further supports the pick. Main risk: Negative Elo difference (-133.1) suggests potential overperformance by The Strongest or underestimation of Bolívar.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
2.45
2026-07-12
Pronostico candidato
@ 2.45
—
Chiusura
@ 2.78
2Gama vs Porto Velho2-0
✗ Errato
Serie D
2026-07-12
ScommettiPorto Velho Win
13.00
15.00
-1.0pp
75
🔥
▾
Ingresso
78g fa
13.00
→
Chiusura Prevista
15.00
CLV Previsto
-1.0pp
Perché
Porto Velho's model probability (29.25%) is significantly higher than the market probability (7.69%), with a strong closing edge of 21.56pp. The steam score is high at 91, and the move percentage is substantial at 73.3%, indicating strong market interest. Main risk: Extremely high odds suggest a low baseline probability of success.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
13.00
2026-07-11
Filtro lente
Lens reject: edge must be ≥-3pp. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=41.8h, hist_n=249, hist_clv_rate=4%)
Shanghai SIPG has a very strong model probability (76.71%) compared to the market probability (51.28%), with a closing edge of 25.43pp. The xG difference of 2.05 is a strong indicator of their superiority. Main risk: The steam score is moderate at 70, suggesting less market support compared to other options.
⚡ Segnale di Denaro Solido
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
1.95
2026-07-08
Filtro lente
Lens reject: edge must be ≥-3pp. (Current: steam=43, breadth=60%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=106.3h, hist_n=226, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-10
Filtro lente
Lens reject: edge must be ≥-3pp. (Current: steam=82, breadth=85%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=58.4h, hist_n=537, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-11
Passa
Ranked 14/114 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 87.72). Main risk: N/A.
The market is showing sharp-led repricing with a positive historical CLV rate of 52%. The closing edge is minimal at 0.13pp, indicating a tight market alignment with the model's probability. The low volatility and high pattern similarity (60%) further support this bet. Main risk: The edge is marginal, and the match has already started, which could introduce unforeseen dynamics.
Segnale di Denaro
Evidenza del Modello
Affidabilità del Modello:
Moderate(B)
Dimensione del Campione62
CLV Storico52%
ROI Storico+29.6%
Livello di CoperturaLow
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.40
2026-07-09
Filtro lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=72, breadth=89%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=71.5h, hist_n=538, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-10
Filtro lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=70, breadth=80%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=47.5h, hist_n=537, hist_clv_rate=2%)
The market is undergoing sharp repricing with a positive historical CLV rate of 52%. The closing edge is 2.12pp, which is within the acceptable range for a pattern replay. The league quality is high, and the pattern similarity is strong at 60%. Main risk: The elo difference is slightly negative, which could indicate a potential mismatch in team strengths.
Segnale di Denaro
Evidenza del Modello
Affidabilità del Modello:
Moderate(B)
Dimensione del Campione62
CLV Storico52%
ROI Storico+29.6%
Livello di CoperturaLow
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
3.70
2026-07-10
Filtro lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=70, breadth=100%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=58.8h, hist_n=537, hist_clv_rate=2%)
The market is experiencing drift repricing with a significant closing edge of 5.05pp, which exceeds the acceptable threshold for a pattern replay. The historical CLV rate is positive at 52%, but the pattern similarity is only 55.9%, which is relatively weak. Main risk: The high closing edge suggests potential overreaction in the market, making this a fade candidate.
Segnale di Denaro
Evidenza del Modello
Affidabilità del Modello:
Moderate(B)
Dimensione del Campione62
CLV Storico52%
ROI Storico+29.6%
Livello di CoperturaLow
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.10
2026-07-10
Pronostico candidato
@ 4.00
2026-07-10
Ritirato prima della validazione
@ 4.00
2026-07-11
Filtro lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=57, breadth=73%, signal=market_drift, kickoff_in=27.8h, hist_n=249, hist_clv_rate=4%)
IDPartitaData della sceltaScommessaQuoteChiusura PrevistaCLVRisultatoSegnale
1Gais vs IF Elfsborg1-0
✓ Corretto
Allsvenskan
2026-07-12
ControValuation disagreementGais Win
4.00
1.88
+28.2pp
68
⚠️
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Cambio di Prezzo Importante
⚠️ Cambio di Prezzo Importante
Ingresso
78g fa
4.00
→
Chiusura Prevista
1.88
CLV Previsto
+28.2pp
Perché
The market has sharply drifted against IF Elfsborg, but the model probability for the away side is extremely low compared to the market. This suggests the market is overpricing Gais. Main risk: Gais could leverage home advantage and outperform their underlying metrics.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Acuto
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
4.00
2026-07-09
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=69, breadth=69%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=85.3h, hist_n=538, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-10
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=69, breadth=69%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=61.3h, hist_n=537, hist_clv_rate=2%)
Valentine has experienced a significant drift in odds, indicating a loss of market confidence. The model probability for Valentine is much lower than the market probability, and the closing edge is deeply negative. Despite this, the market may have overreacted to the drift. Main risk: Kahibah could capitalize on Valentine's poor form and outperform expectations.
🔥 Segnale di Denaro Molto Forte
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
2.05
2026-07-11
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=50, breadth=50%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=25.8h, hist_n=224, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-12
Pronostico candidato
@ 2.05
—
Chiusura
@ 2.85
3Emelec vs Barcelona SC0-0
✗ Errato
Liga Pro
2026-07-12
ControContrarianEmelec Win
2.90
3.24
-3.6pp
65
⚡
▾
Ingresso
78g fa
2.90
→
Chiusura Prevista
3.24
CLV Previsto
-3.6pp
Perché
Barcelona SC has seen strong market steam, but the model probability remains significantly lower than the market's. This suggests an overreaction to recent betting activity. Main risk: Emelec's home advantage and historical performance could defy the market's drift.
⚡ Segnale di Denaro Solido
Ciclo Decisionale
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Cronologia delle Scommesse
Pronostico candidato @
2.90
2026-07-10
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=62, breadth=67%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=69.9h, hist_n=537, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-11
Filtro lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=60, breadth=62%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=45.9h, hist_n=536, hist_clv_rate=2%)
Ipotesi:Il mercato a volte reagisce in modo eccessivo, creando valore sul lato opposto.
Costruzione teoria
Fiducia:
Media
Costruzione qualificazione41 / 50Scommesse regolate
Servono altre 9 scelte liquidate per la classifica ufficiale
ROI
+28.0%
CLV Positivo
Dati insufficienti
Record 1-2·Percentuale di Vittorie 33.3%·Profitto +0.7u·Totale Puntato 2.5u·Puntata media 0.83u
Risultati RecentiWLL
Ultime Scommesse
Fade Gais Win
Fade Kahibah Win
Fade Emelec Win
La fiducia riflette solo la dimensione del campione. Ogni AI necessita di 50 pronostici conclusi per entrare nella classifica ufficiale. Il tasso CLV appare dopo 10 pronostici conclusi.
