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Market Movement - France - Ligue 1

Predictions

Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.

Last updated: Live Next refresh: Time window: today Total fixtures: 5

Today's Summary

5 Significant Movements
Avg Move 11.7%

Today's Market Analysis

  • 5 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 11.7% move).
  • Strongest steam: Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans (17.4%, 10 books).
  • 3 fixtures showed broad consensus.
  • No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.

Today's Market Health

★★★★ ☆
Healthy market

High liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history

Market Metrics

  • Steam Activity 2 moves > threshold
    Moderate
  • Bookmaker Consensus 3 broad repricing events
    Low
  • Market Trend 20% shortening · 80% lengthening
    Low
  • CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV data
    Pending

Top Movers

  1. 1
    Lorient vs Paris FC
    ↑ +20.0%
  2. 2
    Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans
    ↓ -17.4%
  3. 3
    Lille vs Le Havre
    ↑ +9.7%

Biggest Steam

  1. Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans ↓ -17.4% Steam 86
  2. 2
    Lorient vs Paris FC ↑ +20.0% Steam 68
  3. 3
    Monaco vs Toulouse ↑ +6.5% Steam 46

Highest Breadth

  1. 1
    Lorient vs Paris FC ↑ +20.0% 10/10
  2. 2
    Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans ↓ -17.4% 8/10
  3. 3
    Monaco vs Toulouse ↑ +6.5% 7/10

Most Books Agree

  1. 1
    Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans ↓ -17.4%
  2. 2
    Lorient vs Paris FC ↑ +20.0%
  3. 3
    Monaco vs Toulouse ↑ +6.5%

Fastest Odds Change

  1. 1
    Lorient vs Paris FC ↑ +20.0%
  2. 2
    Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans ↓ -17.4%
  3. 3
    Lille vs Le Havre ↑ +9.7%
Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Final Closing Moves Move Review
Live lines updated since the last baseline refresh. All moves Actionable (S1) Enhanced Market Showing 5 enhanced of 5 moves.
Live market monitor

🔥 Top market moves

The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.

Match Side Move Signal Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks.
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Le Mans ↓ -17.4% 🔥 Strong steam 8/10 Steam Score: 86 A+
Lorient vs Paris FC Lorient ↑ +20.0% 📉 Strong drift 10/10 Steam Score: 68 A
Monaco vs Toulouse Monaco ↑ +6.5% ⚡ Sharp-led move 7/10 Steam Score: 46 B
Lille vs Le Havre Draw ↑ +9.7% ⚡ Sharp-led move 4/10 Steam Score: 42 B

Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.

Match(5) Side Open Current Move Signal Ref book Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Context Market state CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance.
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Ligue 1 · Sat 18:45 Le Mans 23.0 19.0
kickoff in 3h 55m 		↓ -17.4%
23.0 19.0

🐢 Slow drift over 125h 35m
34.00 → 14.92 → 19.00 		🔥 Strong steam Bet365 8/10
Steam Score: 86 A+ Strong multi-book steam

Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.

 Largest underdog steam Sharp repricing Waiting for Close 8/10 books synchronized on Le Mans (17.4% steam, score 86) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.
Lorient vs Paris FC Ligue 1 · Sat 18:45 Lorient 3.0 3.6
kickoff in 3h 55m 		↑ +20.0%
3.0 3.6

🐢 Slow drift over 125h 35m
3.90 → 2.82 → 3.60 		📉 Strong drift Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		10/10
Steam Score: 68 A Strong sharp signal

Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam).

 Largest move today Market drift Waiting for Close 10/10 books lengthened Lorient together (20.0% drift, score 68) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip.
Monaco vs Toulouse Ligue 1 · Sat 18:45 Monaco 1.55 1.65
kickoff in 3h 55m 		↑ +6.5%
1.55 1.65

🐢 Slow drift over 125h 35m
1.70 → 1.54 → 1.65 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365 7/10
Steam Score: 46 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 — Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Bet365 led repricing on Monaco (6.5%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Lille vs Le Havre Ligue 1 · Sat 15:15 Draw 4.33 4.75
kickoff in 25m 		↑ +9.7%
4.33 4.75

🐢 Slow drift over 125h 35m
5.00 → 4.22 → 4.75 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365 4/10
Steam Score: 42 B Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

 — Sharp repricing Waiting for Close Bet365 led repricing on Draw (9.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers Ligue 1 · Sat 18:45 Stade Brestois 29 1.91 2.0
kickoff in 3h 55m 		↑ +4.7%
1.91 2.0

🐢 Slow drift over 125h 35m
2.04 → 1.91 → 2.00 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365 3/10
Steam Score: 21 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Volatile two-way pricing on Stade Brestois 29 (swing 2.04 → 1.91 → 2.00) — net 4.7% but intraday chop is elevated.