Market Movement - France - Ligue 1
Near kickoff: publish line vs. current sharp price — pseudo-CLV and whether the market followed or faded your signal.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Lille vs Le Havre (21.4%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Low consensus · Reliable closing data · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 0 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 100% shortening · 0% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV dataActive
League Intelligence (30 days)
Ligue 1 (France) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 61.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 30% breadth, with 1 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, France - Ligue 1 has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 61.0. Typical line moves averaged 21.4% and the largest swing reached 21.4%. Historical closing-line validation has skewed positive (100% CLV rate). Home-side steam represented 0.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille vs Le Havre Ligue 1 · Sat 15:15 | Le Havre | 7.0 |
5.5
since pub · 131h 25m |
↓ -21.4%
7.0
5.5
🐢 Slow drift over 131h 25m 7.50 → 5.50 → 5.50 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
3/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -21.4%
1xBet
↓ -17.8%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -8.6%
|
Steam Score:
61
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +9/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | P20: 5.50 · P10: 5.50 · P5: 5.50 · P1: 5.50 | Bet365 led repricing on Le Havre (21.4%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |