Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Market Movement - England - Premier League

Predictions

Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.

Last updated: Live Next refresh: Time window: today Total fixtures: 5

Today's Summary

4 Significant Movements
Avg Move 6.8%

Today's Market Analysis

  • 4 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 6.8% move).
  • Strongest steam: Chelsea vs Bournemouth (6.5%, 10 books).
  • 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
  • 1 finished matches already carry closing-line validation.

Today's Market Health

★★★★ ☆
Healthy market

High liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data

Market Metrics

  • Steam Activity 2 moves > threshold
    Moderate
  • Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing events
    Low
  • Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengthening
    Low
  • CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV data
    Active

Top Movers

  1. 1
    Ipswich vs Fulham
    ↑ +14.8%
  2. 2
    Arsenal vs Leeds
    ↑ +6.7%
  3. 3
    Chelsea vs Bournemouth
    ↑ +6.5%

Biggest Steam

  1. Chelsea vs Bournemouth ↑ +6.5% Steam 52
  2. 2
    Ipswich vs Fulham ↑ +14.8% Steam 51
  3. 3
    Arsenal vs Leeds ↑ +6.7% Steam 36

Highest Breadth

  1. 1
    Ipswich vs Fulham ↑ +14.8% 10/10
  2. 2
    Chelsea vs Bournemouth ↑ +6.5% 9/10
  3. 3
    Arsenal vs Leeds ↑ +6.7% 5/10

Most CLV Edge

  1. 1
    Chelsea vs Bournemouth -6.1%

Most Books Agree

  1. 1
    Chelsea vs Bournemouth ↑ +6.5%
  2. 2
    Arsenal vs Leeds ↑ +6.7%
  3. 3
    Ipswich vs Fulham ↑ +14.8%

Fastest Odds Change

  1. 1
    Ipswich vs Fulham ↑ +14.8%
  2. 2
    Arsenal vs Leeds ↑ +6.7%
  3. 3
    Chelsea vs Bournemouth ↑ +6.5%

League Intelligence (30 days)

1 Matches Tracked
38.0 Avg Steam
7.7% Avg Move
7.7% Biggest Move

Premier League (England) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 38.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 50% breadth.

Over the past 30 days, England - Premier League has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 38.0. Typical line moves averaged 7.7% and the largest swing reached 7.7%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (0% positive). Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.

Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Final Closing Moves Move Review
Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.

Market Reality Check

Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.

Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.

1
Matches reviewed
0.0%
Largest move held to close
40.0%
Tracked side won
0.0%
Held & won
-12.0%
Replay ROI
This scope All markets today: 62 matches · 37.1% held · Replay ROI -4.3%

Large market moves are common, but most do not survive to the closing line and have not been profitable in this sample.

Historical pattern performance

Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 57%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Market move replay
Match(5) Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Opening Closing CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Held to close Outcome Score Market depth
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Premier League · Sat 14:00 Chelsea 1.7 1.81 -6.1% ✗ Reversed W 5-1
Steam Score 52 B
Market Breadth 9/10
Sharp-led move Betfair
P5: 1.81
Arsenal vs Leeds Premier League · Sat 11:30 Leeds 7.5 — — ? No close data L 2-1
Steam Score 36 C
Market Breadth 5/10
Sharp-led move Betfair
Ipswich vs Fulham Premier League · Sat 14:00 Ipswich 2.7 — — ? No close data W 2-1
Steam Score 51 B
Market Breadth 10/10
Sharp-led move Betfair
Sunderland vs Brighton Premier League · Sat 14:00 Sunderland 2.88 — — ? No close data L 0-2
Steam Score 30 C
Market Breadth 5/10
Sharp-led move SBO
Aston Villa vs Brentford Premier League · Sat 14:00 Brentford 2.5 — — ? No close data L 2-2
Steam Score 20 C
Market Breadth 4/10
Sharp-led move SBO