Chelsea Predictions & Analysis

Market Movements

England Founded: 1905 CHE

High BTTS Home Fortress

Primary Market Signals

Home Win (67%)

AI Betting Profile

Chelsea are a side that relies heavily on home form. The strongest recent signal is Home Win (67%).

Key Betting Angles

Home Win — 67% win rate at home in recent sample

Explore Chelsea's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

D L W W L

Win Rate

50%

Record (Last 10)

5W 2D 3L

Upcoming Predictions (20)

Upcoming Chelsea Matches

England. Premier League (20)

Oct 31

12:30

Chelsea

38% 29% 33% PREDICTION

Manchester United

1.43 : 1.33

xG:

1.43 : 1.33

Nov 08

14:00

Sunderland

- - -

Chelsea

N/A

xG: N/A

Nov 21

15:00

Chelsea

- - -

Leeds

N/A

xG: N/A

Nov 27

20:00

Nottingham Forest

- - -

Chelsea

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 02

20:00

Chelsea

- - -

Crystal Palace

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 05

15:00

Chelsea

- - -

Liverpool

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 12

15:00

Manchester City

- - -

Chelsea

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 19

15:00

Chelsea

- - -

Aston Villa

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 27

14:00

Coventry

- - -

Chelsea

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 30

20:15

Ipswich

- - -

Chelsea

N/A

xG: N/A

Jan 03

14:00

Chelsea

- - -

Newcastle

N/A

xG: N/A

Jan 06

19:30

Crystal Palace

- - -

Chelsea

N/A

xG: N/A

Jan 16

15:00

Chelsea

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Jan 23

15:00

Leeds

- - -

Chelsea

N/A

xG: N/A

Jan 30

15:00

Chelsea

- - -

Nottingham Forest

N/A

xG: N/A

Feb 06

15:00

Manchester United

- - -

Chelsea

N/A

xG: N/A

Feb 10

20:00

Newcastle

- - -

Chelsea

N/A

xG: N/A

Feb 20

15:00

Chelsea

- - -

Ipswich

N/A

xG: N/A

Feb 27

15:00

Aston Villa

- - -

Chelsea

N/A

xG: N/A

Mar 03

20:00

Chelsea

- - -

Coventry

N/A

xG: N/A

Recent Results & Statistics for Chelsea (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Chelsea Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 23

Goals Conceded 17

Avg. Goals Scored 2.3

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.7

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 5

Draws 2

Losses 3

Win Rate 50%

Home (6) 4W 1D 1L

Away (4) 1W 1D 2L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 60%

Under 2.5 Rate 40%

BTTS Rate 60%

Avg. Total Goals 4.0

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Reliable Model correctly called 5/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Model has tracked this team well in recent fixtures.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (5/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 60%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 60%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 20%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 5 out of 10 recent Chelsea matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. The model shows consistent accuracy across both home and away fixtures (50%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%

Home Accuracy 50%

Away Accuracy 50%

Attacking Trends

Chelsea average 2.3 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 14.2 shots per game with 5.6 on target (39.4% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 1.42 against 2.3 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. Their 49% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 2.3

Avg. Shots 14.2

Shot Accuracy 39.4%

Avg. xG 1.42

Possession 49%

Home vs Away Performance

Chelsea show a strong home advantage In their last 6 home and 4 away matches, they have a 67% home win rate (4W) vs 25% away (1W). At home, they score 3.2 goals/game and concede 1.8, while away they score 1.0 and concede 1.5. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 67%

Away Win Rate 25%

Home Goals/Game 3.2

Away Goals/Game 1.0

Goal Distribution

Chelsea's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 33% coming before half-time and 67% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 33% of goals. Notably, 33% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

16%

0-15'

16-30'

13%

31-45'

20%

46-60'

15%

61-75'

33%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 33%

2nd Half Goals 67%

Peak Period 76-90 min (33%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Chelsea's last 10 matches, 6 games (60%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 4 (40%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 4.0 (scored 2.3 + conceded 1.7). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 60% of matches.

Over 2.5 60%

Under 2.5 40%

Avg. Total Goals 4.0

BTTS Rate 60%