Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
7.7%
Market Movement - England - Premier League
Near kickoff: publish line vs. current sharp price — pseudo-CLV and whether the market followed or faded your signal.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Manchester United vs Tottenham (7.7%).
Today's Market Health
★★★★
☆
Healthy market
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 0 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV dataActive
League Intelligence (30 days)
1
Matches Tracked
38.0
Avg Steam
7.7%
Avg Move
7.7%
Biggest Move
Premier League (England) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 38.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 50% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, England - Premier League has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 38.0. Typical line moves averaged 7.7% and the largest swing reached 7.7%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (0% positive). Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United vs Tottenham Premier League · Sat 16:30 | Draw | 3.9 |
4.2
since pub · 132h 47m |
↑ +7.7%
3.9
4.2
🐢 Slow drift over 132h 47m 4.40 → 3.77 → 4.20 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
5/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +7.7%
SBO Sharp
↑ +6.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +4.8%
Betano
↑ +2.5%
BetVictor
↑ +2.4%
|
Steam Score:
38
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +17/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Volatile | P20: 4.10 · P10: 4.10 · P5: 4.10 · P1: 4.10 | Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 4.40 → 3.77 → 4.20) — net 7.7% but intraday chop is elevated. |
