Sunderland Predictions & Analysis

England Founded: 1879 SUN

Underperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

Sunderland's recent results have underperformed their underlying chance creation. The team averages 1.68 xG but scores only 1.1 goals per game, suggesting inefficient finishing in recent fixtures (0.58 goals below expected per match). Home form has been stronger (40% home win rate vs 20% away), scoring 0.8 goals per game at home. Across the last 10 matches, a 30% win rate underscores the gap between results and chance creation.

Performance Insights

Finishing Gap — 1.68 xG vs 1.1 goals/game (-0.58 below expected)
Home Strength — 40% home win rate, scoring 0.8 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 40% Over / 60% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Sunderland's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

W L L W D

Win Rate

30%

Record (Last 10)

3W 2D 5L

Upcoming Predictions (20)

Upcoming Sunderland Matches

England. Premier League (20)

Nov 21

15:00

Aston Villa

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Nov 29

14:05

Sunderland

- - -

Tottenham

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 02

20:00

Liverpool

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 05

15:00

Newcastle

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 12

15:00

Sunderland

- - -

Nottingham Forest

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 19

15:00

Sunderland

- - -

Crystal Palace

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 26

15:00

Everton

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Dec 30

19:30

Manchester United

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Jan 02

15:00

Sunderland

- - -

Hull City

N/A

xG: N/A

Jan 05

20:15

Sunderland

- - -

Liverpool

N/A

xG: N/A

Jan 16

15:00

Chelsea

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Jan 23

15:00

Sunderland

- - -

Coventry

N/A

xG: N/A

Jan 30

15:00

Tottenham

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Feb 06

15:00

Sunderland

- - -

Aston Villa

N/A

xG: N/A

Feb 10

20:00

Hull City

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Feb 20

15:00

Sunderland

- - -

Everton

N/A

xG: N/A

Feb 27

15:00

Crystal Palace

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Mar 03

20:00

Sunderland

- - -

Manchester United

N/A

xG: N/A

Mar 13

15:00

Sunderland

- - -

Brentford

N/A

xG: N/A

Mar 20

15:00

Arsenal

- - -

Sunderland

N/A

xG: N/A

Recent Results & Statistics for Sunderland (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Sunderland Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 11

Goals Conceded 18

Avg. Goals Scored 1.1

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.8

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 3

Draws 2

Losses 5

Win Rate 30%

Home (5) 2W 1D 2L

Away (5) 1W 1D 3L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 40%

Under 2.5 Rate 60%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.9

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 5/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (5/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 50%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 30%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 5 out of 10 recent Sunderland matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. Interestingly, the model achieves higher accuracy on away games (80%) than home matches (20%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%

Home Accuracy 20%

Away Accuracy 80%

Attacking Trends

Sunderland average 1.1 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 14.4 shots per game with 5.2 on target (36.1% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.68 exceeds their actual 1.1 goals, suggesting some wasteful finishing. Their 49% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.1

Avg. Shots 14.4

Shot Accuracy 36.1%

Avg. xG 1.68

Possession 49%

Home vs Away Performance

Sunderland display a moderate home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 40% home win rate (2W) vs 20% away (1W). At home, they score 0.8 goals/game and concede 1.2, while away they score 1.4 and concede 2.4. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 40%

Away Win Rate 20%

Home Goals/Game 0.8

Away Goals/Game 1.4

Goal Distribution

Sunderland's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 44% coming before half-time and 56% after. Their most dangerous period is the 31-45 minute window, accounting for 24% of goals.

0-15'

12%

16-30'

24%

31-45'

18%

46-60'

24%

61-75'

15%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 44%

2nd Half Goals 56%

Peak Period 31-45 min (24%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Sunderland's last 10 matches, 4 games (40%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 6 (60%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.9 (scored 1.1 + conceded 1.8). The trend clearly favors Under 2.5, indicating typically low-scoring affairs. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 40%

Under 2.5 60%

Avg. Total Goals 2.9

BTTS Rate 50%