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Market Movement - Spain - La Liga

Predictions

Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.

Last updated: Live Next refresh: Time window: today Total fixtures: 1

Today's Summary

1 Significant Movements
Avg Move 2.8%

Today's Market Analysis

  • Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Alaves vs Atletico Madrid (2.8%).

Today's Market Health

★★★ ☆☆
Mixed signals

Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data · Volatile repricing

Market Metrics

  • Steam Activity 0 moves > threshold
    Low
  • Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing events
    Low
  • Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengthening
    Low
  • CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV data
    Active

League Intelligence (30 days)

3 Matches Tracked
53.3 Avg Steam
19.2% Avg Move
44.1% Biggest Move
0.0% Home Steam %
0.0% Fav Steam %

La Liga (Spain) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 53.3 while bookmaker consensus averaged 56% breadth, with 1 steam-backed repricing events.

Over the past 30 days, Spain - La Liga has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 53.3. Typical line moves averaged 19.2% and the largest swing reached 44.1%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (50% positive). Home-side steam represented 0.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.

Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Final Closing Moves Move Review
Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.

Market Reality Check

Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.

Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.

1
Matches reviewed
0.0%
Largest move held to close
0.0%
Tracked side won
0.0%
Held & won
-100.0%
Replay ROI
This scope All markets today: 62 matches · 37.1% held · Replay ROI -3.7%

Large market moves are common, but most do not survive to the closing line and have not been profitable in this sample.

Historical pattern performance

Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 57%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Market move replay
Match(1) Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Opening Closing CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Held to close Outcome Score Market depth
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid La Liga · Sat 14:15 Draw 3.6 3.7 -2.7% ✗ Reversed L 1-2
Steam Score 29 C
Market Breadth 6/10
Sharp-led move Bet365
P10: 3.70 · P5: 3.70 · P1: 3.70