Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
14.3%
Market Movement - Spain - La Liga
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Real Madrid vs Villarreal (14.3%).
Today's Market Health
★★
☆☆☆
Thin / volatile
Low liquidity · Mixed consensus · Weak CLV history · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 0 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
3
Matches Tracked
53.3
Avg Steam
19.2%
Avg Move
44.1%
Biggest Move
0.0%
Home Steam %
0.0%
Fav Steam %
La Liga (Spain) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 53.3 while bookmaker consensus averaged 56% breadth, with 1 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, Spain - La Liga has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 53.3. Typical line moves averaged 19.2% and the largest swing reached 44.1%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (50% positive). Home-side steam represented 0.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid vs Villarreal La Liga · Sat 19:00 | Draw | 5.25 |
6.0
kickoff in 111m |
↑ +14.3%
5.25
6.0
🐢 Slow drift over 132h 47m 6.60 → 5.00 → 6.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +11.5%
BetVictor
↑ +4.5%
|
Steam Score:
52
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Draw (14.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
