Inter Turku vs SJK Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

Jun 23, 2026 - 16:00
2.71
1.98
53% 19% 27%

Evaluación de predicción

Predicción confiable

Favorito
Inter Turku Ligeramente favorito
Probabilidad del modelo
53.2%
Probabilidad de mercado
57.2%
Acuerdo de mercado
Moderado
Validación
Aprobar

Resumen:

El modelo se inclina hacia el {equipo}, con una modesta separación de otros resultados. Monitoree el movimiento del mercado antes del inicio.

Auditoría de Mercado

Acuerdo de mercado
Moderado
Validación
Aprobar
Mayor brecha
SJK +8.2 pp
Amplitud
2/2
Actividad actual del mercado
Aún no hay ningún movimiento direccional significativo.

La estimación justa y el precio de mercado difieren modestamente. Monitorear antes del inicio.

Evaluación de mercado

La estimación justa muestra una modesta ventaja sobre el precio actual de mercado en SJK.

Sin embargo, Inter Turku ha visto una desviación: las probabilidades aumentaron con 0.0%, lo que sugiere un debilitamiento del soporte.

La actividad del mercado se concentra actualmente en Inter Turku.

  • Monitorear el movimiento de la línea antes del inicio: no es una recomendación para apostar.
Resultado Justo Mercado Borde
Inter Turku 53.2% 57.22% -4.0 pp
Empate 19.34% 23.47% -4.1 pp
SJK 27.46% 19.31% +8.2 pp

Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.

Veredicto final de apuestas

Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.

  • Sin valor en 1X2 ({lado} frente a las probabilidades actuales)
  • Valor posible: Más de 2.5 (+25%+ EV con las mejores probabilidades)
  • Valor posible: BTTS Sí (+25%+ EV con las mejores probabilidades)
Casa de apuestas premium 1xBet: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promocional 1x_3342271. Registrarse
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Más de 2.5 — Valor
vehículo eléctrico +25%+ Modelo 84.7%
Secundaria (valor equilibrado): BTTS Sí (vehículo eléctrico +25%+) — 81.1% Modelo
EV más bajo que el primario, pero con mayor probabilidad de modelo (más “estable” cuando se muestra).
Ambos Equipos Marcarán Mejor valor (+EV)
81.1% · No 18.9%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí +25%+ · EV No -60.3%
Lectura de valor: BTTS Sí
1X2 Poco valor
Inter Turku · Probabilidad del modelo 53.2%
Consenso de mercado (3 vías) 57.2%
EV línea de consenso: -11.5%
Mejor línea disponible (casa de apuestas): -1.1% vehículo eléctrico
Algunas cuotas outlier de casas de apuestas pueden seguir mostrando un pequeño valor teórico frente a la línea de consenso anterior.
Perspectivas de marcador exacto Fuera / diversión
Más probable
2-1
Probabilidad 6.7%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
Fuerza de la decisión: 7.5 / 10
  • Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
  • EV principal por encima del 10 % (+1,0)
  • Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5: EV terminado +25%+ · EV inferior -67.0% (1 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí +25%+ · EV No -60.3%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Ciclo de vida de decisión

Etapa actual: Monitoreo del mercado

  1. Predicción generada
  2. Mercado comparado
  3. Validación aprobada
  4. Cierre grabado
  5. CLV evaluado
Entrada
4.77
Cierre
Pendiente
CLV
Pendiente

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

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        },
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        "divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
        "divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
        "divergence_tier": "moderate",
        "edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
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          "forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
          "headline": "Slight edge match",
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          "market_prob_pct": 57.2,
          "model_prob_pct": 53.2,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Reliable prediction",
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          "reliability_tier": "reliable",
          "summary": "The model leans Inter Turku, with modest separation from other outcomes. Monitor market movement before kickoff.",
          "tier": "slight_edge",
          "title": "Prediction Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pass"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 8.15,
        "hero_label": "SJK",
        "hero_side": "away",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "moderate",
        "market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
          ],
          "follow_up": "However, Inter Turku has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
          "gap_tier": "mild",
          "lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on SJK.",
          "note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Inter Turku.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on SJK.",
            "However, Inter Turku has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Market activity is currently concentrated on Inter Turku."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on SJK.",
            "At the same time, Inter Turku has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (2/2) supports the current market view on Inter Turku."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 8.15,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
          "status": "pass"
        },
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        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
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          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 25.7,
          "max_prob_pct": 53.2,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "rows": [
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            "edge_pp": -4.02,
            "fair_prob_pct": 53.2,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Inter Turku",
            "market_prob_pct": 57.22,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -4.13,
            "fair_prob_pct": 19.34,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 23.47,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 8.15,
            "fair_prob_pct": 27.46,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "SJK",
            "market_prob_pct": 19.31,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
        "steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Inter Turku.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": false,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Inter Turku (57.2%).",
          "The model leans Inter Turku, with modest separation from other outcomes. Monitor market movement before kickoff."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": null,
        "closing_odds": null,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "market_monitoring",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Market monitoring",
        "entry_implied_pct": 20.96,
        "entry_odds": 4.77,
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "model_validation_status": "pass",
        "stages": [
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            "id": "forecast_generated",
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            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
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          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "2/2",
        "current_odds": 1.61,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 1.61,
        "pick_team": "Inter Turku",
        "steam_score": 34,
        "steam_team_name": "Inter Turku",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 8.2,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
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          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 689,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/689.webp",
      "away_team_name": "SJK",
      "country_code": "FI",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/fi.svg",
      "country_name": "Finland",
      "fixture_id": 1495712,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Finland",
      "home_team_id": 1164,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1164.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Inter Turku",
      "league_country": "Finland",
      "league_id": 244,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/244.webp",
      "league_name": "Veikkausliiga",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-23 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Turku",
      "venue_name": "Veritas Stadion"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_few_books_ou",
          "pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1755,
            "best_odd": 4.77,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0143,
            "ev": -0.0105,
            "implied_prob": 0.1931,
            "model_prob": 0.2747,
            "p_final": 0.2074
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2814,
            "best_odd": 3.925,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0116,
            "ev": -0.1244,
            "implied_prob": 0.2347,
            "model_prob": 0.1934,
            "p_final": 0.2231
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5637,
            "best_odd": 1.61,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0227,
            "ev": -0.1154,
            "implied_prob": 0.5722,
            "model_prob": 0.5319,
            "p_final": 0.5495
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.1,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.63,
          "edge_no": -0.248,
          "edge_yes": 0.248,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.6031,
          "ev_yes": 0.3219,
          "implied_no": 0.437,
          "implied_yes": 0.563,
          "n_bookmakers": 1,
          "reliability": "low"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.61,
          "best_under_odd": 2.16,
          "edge_over": 0.2741,
          "edge_under": -0.2741,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.3637,
          "ev_under": -0.6695,
          "implied_over": 0.5729,
          "implied_under": 0.4271,
          "n_bookmakers": 1,
          "reliability": "low"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 4.69,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3637,
      "confidence": 7.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.811,
          "draw_prob": 0.1934,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.5319,
          "over_prob": 0.847,
          "total_xg": 4.69,
          "under_prob": 0.153,
          "xg_diff": 0.73
        },
        "type": "high_scoring",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0227,
          "ev": -0.1154,
          "implied_prob": 0.5722,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.5319,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Inter Turku"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.248,
          "ev": 0.3219,
          "implied_prob": 0.563,
          "model_prob": 0.811,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2741,
          "ev": 0.3637,
          "implied_prob": 0.5729,
          "model_prob": 0.847,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1495712,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3637,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2747,
        "draw": 0.1934,
        "home": 0.5319
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3219,
        "implied_prob": 0.563,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.811,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.3219,
          "implied_prob": 0.563,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.811,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "yes",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "SJK",
        "home": "Inter Turku"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.292651,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3637,
        "implied_prob": 0.5729,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.847,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1495712,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T09:12:20.863950+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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