Derby Predictions & Analysis

England Founded: 1884 DER

High BTTS

Primary Market Signals

BTTS Yes (70%)

AI Betting Profile

Derby are a side with a distinct recent betting profile. BTTS Yes has hit 70% of recent matches - one of the clearest historical edges for this team.

Key Betting Angles

BTTS Yes — 70% of matches saw both teams score
Avoid outright 1X2 — 10% win rate, limited cutting edge

Explore Derby's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

W L L D L

Win Rate

10%

Record (Last 10)

1W 3D 6L

Upcoming Predictions (0)

Upcoming Derby Matches

No upcoming match predictions available

Recent Results & Statistics for Derby (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Derby Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 9

Goals Conceded 20

Avg. Goals Scored 0.9

Avg. Goals Conceded 2.0

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 1

Draws 3

Losses 6

Win Rate 10%

Home (6) 1W 1D 4L

Away (4) 0W 2D 2L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%

Under 2.5 Rate 50%

BTTS Rate 70%

Avg. Total Goals 2.9

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 5/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with team traits and market signals above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (5/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 40%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 70%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 60%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 5 out of 10 recent Derby matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. The model shows consistent accuracy across both home and away fixtures (50%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%

Home Accuracy 50%

Away Accuracy 50%

Attacking Trends

Derby average 0.9 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 12.9 shots per game with 4.1 on target (31.8% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.09 closely matches their output, indicating consistent finishing. Their 49% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 0.9

Avg. Shots 12.9

Shot Accuracy 31.8%

Avg. xG 1.09

Possession 49%

Home vs Away Performance

Derby display a moderate home advantage In their last 6 home and 4 away matches, they have a 17% home win rate (1W) vs 0% away (0W). At home, they score 0.8 goals/game and concede 1.7, while away they score 1.0 and concede 2.5. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 17%

Away Win Rate 0%

Home Goals/Game 0.8

Away Goals/Game 1.0

Goal Distribution

Derby's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 55% coming before half-time and 45% after. Their most dangerous period is the 0-15 minute window, accounting for 18% of goals.

18%

0-15'

18%

16-30'

18%

31-45'

18%

46-60'

61-75'

18%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 55%

2nd Half Goals 45%

Peak Period 0-15 min (18%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Derby's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.9 (scored 0.9 + conceded 2.0). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 70% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.9

BTTS Rate 70%