Derby Match Predictions, Stats & AI Betting Insights

England Founded: 1884 DER

Explore Derby's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Derby have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals per game. Defensively, they concede 1.2 goals per match on average. Recent form shows a L-W-L-W-L pattern, indicating inconsistent performances. They perform similarly at home (43% win rate) and away (43%). Their matches show a balanced goal output with 50% finishing Over 2.5 goals.

Current Form

L W L W L

Win Rate

50%

Record (Last 10)

5W 0D 5L

Prediction Accuracy

70%

Upcoming Predictions (0)

Upcoming Derby Matches

No upcoming match predictions available

Recent Results & Statistics for Derby (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Derby Stats & Trends

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 13

Goals Conceded 12

Avg. Goals Scored 1.3

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.2

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 5

Draws 0

Losses 5

Win Rate 50%

Prediction Accuracy 70% (7/10)

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 7 out of 10 recent Derby matches, achieving a 70% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (75% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (67%). This strong accuracy suggests the model has a solid grasp of this team's playing patterns.

Overall Accuracy 70%

Home Accuracy 75%

Away Accuracy 67%

Attacking Trends

Derby average 1.3 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 13.3 shots per game with 3.9 on target (29.3% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.41 closely matches their output, indicating consistent finishing. Their 48% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.3

Avg. Shots 13.3

Shot Accuracy 29.3%

Avg. xG 1.41

Possession 48%

Home vs Away Performance

Derby show little home advantage with a 43% home win rate (10W in 23 games) vs 43% on the road (10W in 23 games). At home, they score 1.3 goals/game and concede 1.2, while away they score 1.6 and concede 1.4. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 43%

Away Win Rate 43%

Home Goals/Game 1.3

Away Goals/Game 1.6

Goal Distribution

Derby's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 55% coming before half-time and 45% after. Their most dangerous period is the 31-45 minute window, accounting for 25% of goals. Notably, 25% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

15%

0-15'

15%

16-30'

25%

31-45'

15%

46-60'

61-75'

25%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 55%

2nd Half Goals 45%

Peak Period 31-45 min (25%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Derby's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.5 (scored 1.3 + conceded 1.2). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.5

BTTS Rate 50%