Today's Summary
6
Significant Movements
Avg Move
26.6%
Market Movement - Spain - Segunda División RFEF Group 2
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 6 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 26.6% move).
- Strongest steam: Utebo vs Reddis (23.8%, 8 books).
- 6 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★★
☆
Healthy market
High liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 6 moves > thresholdHigh
-
Bookmaker Consensus 6 broad repricing eventsModerate
-
Market Trend 50% shortening · 50% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +47.6%
- 2 ↑ +37.1%
- 3 ↓ -23.8%
Biggest Steam
-
Utebo vs Reddis ↓ -23.8% Steam 80
-
2
Espanyol II vs Arnedo ↓ -22.7% Steam 80
-
3
Náxara vs Barbastro ↑ +47.6% Steam 75
Highest Breadth
-
1
Náxara vs Barbastro ↑ +47.6% 6/7
-
2
Calamocha vs Tudelano ↑ +37.1% 6/7
-
3
Girona II vs Osasuna II ↑ +16.7% 6/8
Most Books Agree
-
1
Utebo vs Reddis ↓ -23.8%
-
2
Espanyol II vs Arnedo ↓ -22.7%
-
3
Girona II vs Osasuna II ↑ +16.7%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Náxara vs Barbastro ↑ +47.6%
-
2
Calamocha vs Tudelano ↑ +37.1%
-
3
Utebo vs Reddis ↓ -23.8%
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol II vs Arnedo | Espanyol II | Arnedo ↓ -22.7% | -37.7 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| SD Logroñés vs Olot | Olot | Olot ↓ -11.8% | +9.0 pp | Mild Value |
| Náxara vs Barbastro | Barbastro | Náxara ↑ +47.6% | -7.8 pp | Market Ahead |
| Utebo vs Reddis | Utebo | Reddis ↓ -23.8% | -5.1 pp | Market Ahead |
| Calamocha vs Tudelano | Tudelano | Calamocha ↑ +37.1% | -2.8 pp | Market Efficient |
| Girona II vs Osasuna II | Osasuna II | Girona II ↑ +16.7% | +2.1 pp | Market Efficient |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náxara vs Barbastro | Náxara | ↑ +47.6% | 📉 Strong drift | 6/7 | Steam Score: 75 A+ |
| Calamocha vs Tudelano | Calamocha | ↑ +37.1% | 📉 Strong drift | 6/7 | Steam Score: 75 A+ |
| Girona II vs Osasuna II | Girona II | ↑ +16.7% | 📉 Strong drift | 6/8 | Steam Score: 63 A |
| Utebo vs Reddis | Reddis | ↓ -23.8% | 📈 Steam | 5/8 | Steam Score: 80 A+ |
| Espanyol II vs Arnedo | Arnedo | ↓ -22.7% | 📈 Steam | 5/8 | Steam Score: 80 A+ |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
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| Match(6) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utebo vs Reddis Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Sun 16:00 | Reddis | 4.2 |
3.2
kickoff in 9h 2m |
↓ -23.8%
4.2
3.2
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 45m 5.13 → 2.90 → 3.20 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -38.0%
1xBet
↓ -36.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -27.5%
Betano
↓ -24.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -23.8%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest underdog steam | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Reddis (23.8%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Espanyol II vs Arnedo Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Sun 15:00 | Arnedo | 11.0 |
8.5
kickoff in 8h 2m |
↓ -22.7%
11.0
8.5
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 45m 18.75 → 8.00 → 8.50 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↓ -41.3%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -38.2%
1xBet
↓ -37.3%
Betano
↓ -33.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -22.7%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Arnedo (22.7%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Náxara vs Barbastro Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Sun 15:00 | Náxara | 2.1 |
3.1
kickoff in 8h 2m |
↑ +47.6%
2.1
3.1
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 45m 3.21 → 2.05 → 3.10 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
6/7
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +50.9%
1xBet
↑ +50.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +48.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +47.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +46.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.2%
|
Steam Score:
75
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 6/7 books lengthened Náxara together (47.6% drift, score 75) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Calamocha vs Tudelano Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Sun 15:00 | Calamocha | 2.1 |
2.88
kickoff in 8h 2m |
↑ +37.1%
2.1
2.88
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 45m 3.15 → 2.05 → 2.88 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/7
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +48.6%
1xBet
↑ +43.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +41.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +41.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +37.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +4.5%
|
Steam Score:
75
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 6/7 books lengthened Calamocha together (37.1% drift, score 75) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Girona II vs Osasuna II Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Sun 15:00 | Girona II | 2.1 |
2.45
kickoff in 8h 2m |
↑ +16.7%
2.1
2.45
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 45m 2.62 → 2.05 → 2.45 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +17.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +16.7%
Betano
↑ +14.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.5%
1xBet
↑ +11.4%
BetVictor
↑ +4.7%
|
Steam Score:
63
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 6/8 books lengthened Girona II together (16.7% drift, score 63) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| SD Logroñés vs Olot Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Sun 15:00 | Olot | 3.4 |
3.0
kickoff in 8h 2m |
↓ -11.8%
3.4
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 45m 3.50 → 2.80 → 3.00 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Betano
↓ -12.9%
1xBet
↓ -12.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -12.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -11.8%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -9.1%
|
Steam Score:
61
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +26/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Olot (11.8%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
