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Market Movement - Spain - Segunda División

Predictions

Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.

Last updated: Live Next refresh: Time window: today Total fixtures: 3

Today's Summary

2 Significant Movements
Avg Move 19.3%

Today's Market Analysis

  • 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 19.3% move).
  • Strongest steam: Mallorca vs Las Palmas (47.4%, 10 books).
  • 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
  • 2 finished matches already carry closing-line validation.

Today's Market Health

★★★★ ☆
Healthy market

Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data

Market Metrics

  • Steam Activity 1 moves > threshold
    Low
  • Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing events
    Low
  • Market Trend 67% shortening · 33% lengthening
    Low
  • CLV Context 2 fixtures with CLV data
    Active

Top Movers

  1. 1
    Mallorca vs Las Palmas
    ↑ +47.4%
  2. 2
    Almeria vs Leganes
    ↓ -7.7%

Biggest Steam

  1. Mallorca vs Las Palmas ↑ +47.4% Steam 66
  2. 2
    Almeria vs Leganes ↓ -7.7% Steam 33

Highest Breadth

  1. 1
    Mallorca vs Las Palmas ↑ +47.4% 9/10
  2. 2
    Almeria vs Leganes ↓ -7.7% 4/10

Most CLV Edge

  1. 1
    Mallorca vs Las Palmas -32.1%
  2. 2
    Almeria vs Leganes +8.3%

Most Books Agree

  1. 1
    Almeria vs Leganes ↓ -7.7%
  2. 2
    Mallorca vs Las Palmas ↑ +47.4%

Fastest Odds Change

  1. 1
    Mallorca vs Las Palmas ↑ +47.4%
  2. 2
    Almeria vs Leganes ↓ -7.7%
Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Final Closing Moves Move Review
Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.

Market Reality Check

Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.

Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.

2
Matches reviewed
50.0%
Largest move held to close
0.0%
Tracked side won
0.0%
Held & won
-100.0%
Replay ROI
This scope All markets today: 75 matches · 26.7% held · Replay ROI -25.7%

Large market moves are common, but most do not survive to the closing line and have not been profitable in this sample.

Historical pattern performance

Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 57%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Market move replay
Match(3) Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Opening Closing CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Held to close Outcome Score Market depth
Almeria vs Leganes Segunda División · Sun 14:15 Draw 3.9 3.6 +8.3% ✓ Held L 3-0
Steam Score 33 C
Market Breadth 4/10
Sharp-led move Bet365
P10: 3.50 · P5: 3.60 · P1: 3.60
Mallorca vs Las Palmas Segunda División · Sun 16:30 Las Palmas 4.75 7.0 -32.1% ✗ Reversed L 3-1
Steam Score 66 A
Market Breadth 9/10
Sharp-led move Bet365
P20: 7.00 · P10: 7.00
FC Andorra vs Castellón Segunda División · Sun 12:00 Draw 3.4 — — ? No close data L 1-0
Steam Score 27 C
Market Breadth 5/10
Sharp-led move Betfair