Market Movement - Spain - Segunda División
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 13.0% move).
- Strongest steam: Eldense vs Cordoba (14.5%, 10 books).
- 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense vs Cordoba Segunda División · Sat 16:30 | Cordoba | 2.62 |
3.0
kickoff in 7m |
↑ +14.5%
2.62
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 117h 52m 3.20 → 2.45 → 3.00 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +15.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +14.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +13.8%
BetVictor
↑ +13.7%
Betano
↑ +13.0%
SBO Sharp
↑ +11.6%
1xBet
↑ +11.3%
William Hill
↑ +10.7%
Dafabet
↑ +5.3%
|
Steam Score:
55
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Cordoba (14.5%, 10/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II Segunda División · Sat 19:00 | Celta de Vigo II | 2.35 |
2.62
kickoff in 2h 37m |
↑ +11.5%
2.35
2.62
🐢 Slow drift over 117h 52m 2.64 → 2.14 → 2.62 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +16.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +13.6%
Betano
↑ +12.1%
1xBet
↑ +11.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.5%
BetVictor
↑ +11.4%
Dafabet
↑ +11.4%
William Hill
↑ +11.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +10.7%
|
Steam Score:
48
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +25/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Celta de Vigo II (11.5%, 10/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |