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Market Movement - Spain - Segunda División

Predictions

Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.

Last updated: Live Next refresh: Time window: today Total fixtures: 3

Today's Summary

2 Significant Movements
Avg Move 19.3%

Today's Market Analysis

  • 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 19.3% move).
  • Strongest steam: Mallorca vs Las Palmas (47.4%, 10 books).
  • 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
  • 2 finished matches already carry closing-line validation.

Today's Market Health

★★★★ ☆
Healthy market

Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data · Volatile repricing

Market Metrics

  • Steam Activity 1 moves > threshold
    Low
  • Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing events
    Low
  • Market Trend 67% shortening · 33% lengthening
    Low
  • CLV Context 2 fixtures with CLV data
    Active

Top Movers

  1. 1
    Mallorca vs Las Palmas
    ↑ +47.4%
  2. 2
    Almeria vs Leganes
    ↓ -7.7%

Biggest Steam

  1. Mallorca vs Las Palmas ↑ +47.4% Steam 66
  2. 2
    Almeria vs Leganes ↓ -7.7% Steam 33

Highest Breadth

  1. 1
    Mallorca vs Las Palmas ↑ +47.4% 9/10
  2. 2
    Almeria vs Leganes ↓ -7.7% 4/10

Most CLV Edge

  1. 1
    Mallorca vs Las Palmas -32.1%
  2. 2
    Almeria vs Leganes +8.3%

Most Books Agree

  1. 1
    Almeria vs Leganes ↓ -7.7%
  2. 2
    Mallorca vs Las Palmas ↑ +47.4%

Fastest Odds Change

  1. 1
    Mallorca vs Las Palmas ↑ +47.4%
  2. 2
    Almeria vs Leganes ↓ -7.7%

League Intelligence (30 days)

1 Matches Tracked
69.0 Avg Steam
48.1% Avg Move
48.1% Biggest Move
0.0% Home Steam %
0.0% Fav Steam %

Segunda División (Spain) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 69.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 100% breadth, with 1 steam-backed repricing events.

Over the past 30 days, Spain - Segunda División has produced strong steam activity with an average Steam Score of 69.0. Typical line moves averaged 48.1% and the largest swing reached 48.1%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (0% positive). Home-side steam represented 0.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.

Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Final Closing Moves Move Review
Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.

Market Reality Check

Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.

Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.

2
Matches reviewed
50.0%
Largest move held to close
0.0%
Tracked side won
0.0%
Held & won
-100.0%
Replay ROI
This scope All markets today: 78 matches · 26.9% held · Replay ROI -27.2%

Large market moves are common, but most do not survive to the closing line and have not been profitable in this sample.

Historical pattern performance

Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 57%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Market move replay
Match(3) Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Opening Closing CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Held to close Outcome Score Market depth
Almeria vs Leganes Segunda División · Sun 14:15 Draw 3.9 3.6 +8.3% ✓ Held L 3-0
Steam Score 33 C
Market Breadth 4/10
Sharp-led move Bet365
P10: 3.50 · P5: 3.60 · P1: 3.60
Mallorca vs Las Palmas Segunda División · Sun 16:30 Las Palmas 4.75 7.0 -32.1% ✗ Reversed L 3-1
Steam Score 66 A
Market Breadth 9/10
Sharp-led move Bet365
P20: 7.00 · P10: 7.00
FC Andorra vs Castellón Segunda División · Sun 12:00 Draw 3.4 — — ? No close data L 1-0
Steam Score 27 C
Market Breadth 5/10
Sharp-led move Betfair