Market Movement - Spain - Segunda División
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 14.7% move).
- Strongest steam: Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II (14.9%, 10 books).
- 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 2 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
Segunda División (Spain) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 50.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 100% breadth, with 1 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, Spain - Segunda División has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 50.0. Typical line moves averaged 14.5% and the largest swing reached 14.5%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented 0.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II Segunda División · Sat 19:00 | Celta de Vigo II | 2.35 |
2.7
kickoff in 113m |
↑ +14.9%
2.35
2.7
🐢 Slow drift over 121h 43m 2.71 → 2.14 → 2.70 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +19.4%
BetVictor
↑ +15.9%
SBO Sharp
↑ +15.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.9%
Betano
↑ +14.2%
1xBet
↑ +14.0%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +14.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +14.0%
William Hill
↑ +13.6%
Dafabet
↑ +11.4%
|
Steam Score:
51
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +33/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Celta de Vigo II (14.9%, 10/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Eldense vs Cordoba Segunda División · Sat 16:30 | Cordoba | 2.62 |
3.0
since pub · 121h 43m |
↑ +14.5%
2.62
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 121h 43m 3.16 → 2.45 → 3.00 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +22.4%
Marathonbet
↑ +16.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.5%
1xBet
↑ +14.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +14.1%
BetVictor
↑ +13.7%
Betano
↑ +13.0%
SBO Sharp
↑ +12.0%
William Hill
↑ +10.7%
Dafabet
↑ +5.3%
|
Steam Score:
50
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Cordoba (14.5%, 10/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |