Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
5.7%
Market Movement - World - Friendlies
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Brazil U20 vs United States U20 (5.7%).
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Solid CLV history · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 100% shortening · 0% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
5
Matches Tracked
58.2
Avg Steam
27.2%
Avg Move
66.7%
Biggest Move
50.0%
Home Steam %
0.0%
Fav Steam %
Friendlies (World) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Friendlies and exhibition matches usually produce more volatile pricing than domestic league games because squad rotation and unknown lineups create uncertainty. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 58.2 while bookmaker consensus averaged 62% breadth, with 2 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, World - Friendlies has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 58.2. Typical line moves averaged 27.2% and the largest swing reached 66.7%. Historical closing-line validation has skewed positive (75% CLV rate). Home-side steam represented 50.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil U20 vs United States U20 Friendlies · Thu 16:00 | United States U20 | 3.5 |
3.3
since pub · 23h 50m |
↓ -5.7%
3.5
3.3
🐢 Slow drift over 23h 50m 3.78 → 2.90 → 3.30 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/8
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↓ -14.7%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -9.7%
Marathonbet
↓ -7.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -6.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -5.7%
1xBet
↓ -5.3%
|
Steam Score:
46
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on United States U20 (5.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
