Market Movements - Final Closing Moves
Near kickoff: publish line vs. current sharp price — pseudo-CLV and whether the market followed or faded your signal.
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 華雷斯女足 vs 瓜達拉哈拉女足 墨西哥女子足球甲級聯賽 · Wed 03:00 | 瓜達拉哈拉女足 | 2.7 |
3.4
since pub · 20h 11m |
↑ +25.9%
2.7
3.4
🐢 Slow drift over 20h 11m 3.80 → 2.59 → 3.40 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +40.7%
BetVictor
↑ +39.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +38.5%
1xBet
↑ +31.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +30.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.9%
Betano
↑ +23.2%
Dafabet
↑ +20.0%
William Hill
↑ +19.2%
|
Steam Score:
91
A+
Strong multi-book steam
廣泛的多家博彩公司漂移 — 賠率在各大博彩公司中拉長（市場衰退）。 Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Highest consensus move | 市場波動 | P10: 3.30 · P5: 3.30 | 9/9 books lengthened 瓜達拉哈拉女足 together (25.9% drift, score 91) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| 南蘇丹U23 vs 塞內加爾U23 非洲U-23國家盃 · Wed 13:00 | 南蘇丹U23 | 14.5 |
14.5
kickoff in 9h 14m |
+0.0%
— Stable line |
◆ Efficient market | 1xBet |
1/1
Books moving same direction
1xBet
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
9
C
Limited conviction
No steam signal confirmed — market remains efficient after 24h+ with no meaningful repricing. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityEfficient market — no new consensus formed after extended observation.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Efficient market adjustment: -25
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 流動性不足 | P5: 14.50 | Market remains efficient on 南蘇丹U23 — no meaningful repricing after 24h+ (0.0% net). |
