Market Movements - Did the move survive to close?
Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.
Descriptive market replay only — not AI picks, steam signals, or a betting strategy. Replay ROI assumes 1 unit flat on that side at the opening line.
Market Reality Check
Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.
Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.
Large market moves are common, but most do not survive to the closing line and have not been profitable in this sample.
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Historical pattern performance
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| Match(4) | Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. | Opening | Closing | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | Held to close | Outcome | Score | Market depth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 翁塞卡爾達斯 vs 阿特萊蒂科·納西奧納爾 哥倫比亞盃 · Wed 01:30 | 阿特萊蒂科·納西奧納爾 | 2.55 | 2.9 | -12.1% | ✗ Reversed | L | 1-1 |
Steam Score
57
B
Market Breadth
8/10
Sharp-led move
Betfair
P20: 2.90 · P10: 2.90 · P5: 2.90
|
| 蒙得維的亞利物浦 vs 青年隊 烏拉圭盃 · Wed 00:00 | 青年隊 | 2.8 | — | — | ? No close data | L | 1-1 |
Steam Score
58
B
Market Breadth
8/9
Sharp-led move
Betfair
|
| 普馬斯UNAM女足 vs 提格雷斯UANL女足 墨西哥女子足球甲級聯賽 · Wed 01:00 | 普馬斯UNAM女足 | 4.0 | — | — | ? No close data | L | 2-3 |
Steam Score
98
A+
Market Breadth
9/9
Sharp-led move
Bet365
|
| 伊西德羅·梅塔潘 vs 普拉滕塞 薩爾瓦多甲級聯賽 · Wed 01:00 | 普拉滕塞 | 5.0 | — | — | ? No close data | L | 2-1 |
Steam Score
76
A+
Market Breadth
6/9
Sharp-led move
Bet365
|