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Market Movements - Did the move survive to close?

Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.

Descriptive market replay only — not AI picks, steam signals, or a betting strategy. Replay ROI assumes 1 unit flat on that side at the opening line.

Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.

Market Reality Check

Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.

Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.

1
Matches reviewed
0.0%
Largest move held to close
0.0%
Tracked side won
0.0%
Held & won
-100.0%
Replay ROI

Large market moves are common, but most do not survive to the closing line and have not been profitable in this sample.

Historical pattern performance

Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 46%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Market move replay
Match(4) Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Opening Closing CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Held to close Outcome Score Market depth
翁塞卡爾達斯 vs 阿特萊蒂科·納西奧納爾 哥倫比亞盃 · Wed 01:30 阿特萊蒂科·納西奧納爾 2.55 2.9 -12.1% ✗ Reversed L 1-1
Steam Score 57 B
Market Breadth 8/10
Sharp-led move Betfair
P20: 2.90 · P10: 2.90 · P5: 2.90
蒙得維的亞利物浦 vs 青年隊 烏拉圭盃 · Wed 00:00 青年隊 2.8 — — ? No close data L 1-1
Steam Score 58 B
Market Breadth 8/9
Sharp-led move Betfair
普馬斯UNAM女足 vs 提格雷斯UANL女足 墨西哥女子足球甲級聯賽 · Wed 01:00 普馬斯UNAM女足 4.0 — — ? No close data L 2-3
Steam Score 98 A+
Market Breadth 9/9
Sharp-led move Bet365
伊西德羅·梅塔潘 vs 普拉滕塞 薩爾瓦多甲級聯賽 · Wed 01:00 普拉滕塞 5.0 — — ? No close data L 2-1
Steam Score 76 A+
Market Breadth 6/9
Sharp-led move Bet365