Market Movements - Early Sharp Moves
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
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| Match(89) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAR 拉巴特 女足 vs 勒基女足 非洲足協女子冠軍聯賽 · Wed 12:00 | 勒基女足 | 4.75 |
6.0
since pub · 12h 30m |
↑ +26.3%
4.75
6.0
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 30m 6.50 → 4.75 → 6.00 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
4/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +26.3%
BetVictor
↑ +23.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +17.3%
Dafabet
↑ +11.5%
|
Steam Score:
68
A
Strong sharp signal
明顯的漂移 — 賠率拉長並獲得多家博彩公司確認（非急升）。 Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Top 10% move | 市場波動 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on 勒基女足 (26.3%, 4/7) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| OH魯汶女足 vs 科厄 女子歐洲冠軍聯賽 · Wed 17:45 | OH魯汶女足 | 4.0 |
5.0
kickoff in 13h 59m |
↑ +25.0%
4.0
5.0
🐢 Slow drift over 96h 53m 5.00 → 4.00 → 5.00 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +15.5%
Dafabet
↑ +7.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.6%
Betano
↑ +4.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.8%
|
Steam Score:
58
B
Moderate sharp signal
明顯的漂移 — 賠率拉長並獲得多家博彩公司確認（非急升）。 Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Top 25% move | 市場波動 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on OH魯汶女足 (25.0%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| 肯亞U23 vs Côte d'Ivoire U23 非洲U-23國家盃 · Wed 12:00 | 肯亞U23 | 5.25 |
4.2
since pub · 12h 26m |
↓ -20.0%
5.25
4.2
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 26m 5.25 → 4.20 → 4.20 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
3/6
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -20.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -3.3%
1xBet
↓ -3.2%
|
Steam Score:
71
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Top 25% move | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on 肯亞U23 (20.0%, 3/6) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| 義大利 U19 vs 羅馬尼亞U19 U19 歐洲青年錦標賽 - 資格賽 · Wed 14:30 | 羅馬尼亞U19 | 6.0 |
7.0
since pub · 11h 51m |
↑ +16.7%
6.0
7.0
↔ Gradual move over 11h 51m 8.60 → 6.00 → 7.00 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +22.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +16.7%
William Hill
↑ +8.3%
1xBet
↑ +6.8%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.5%
|
Steam Score:
61
A
Strong sharp signal
明顯的漂移 — 賠率拉長並獲得多家博彩公司確認（非急升）。 Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Top 25% move | 市場波動 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on 羅馬尼亞U19 (16.7%, 5/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| 班菲爾德預備隊 vs 拉辛（預備隊） 預備隊聯賽 (Reserve League) · Wed 18:00 | 班菲爾德預備隊 | 2.9 |
3.3
since pub · 3h 45m |
↑ +13.8%
2.9
3.3
📈 Active repricing over 3h 45m 3.62 → 2.90 → 3.30 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
4/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +13.8%
BetVictor
↑ +12.1%
Betano
↑ +3.2%
Dafabet
↑ +3.2%
|
Steam Score:
54
B
Moderate sharp signal
明顯的漂移 — 賠率拉長並獲得多家博彩公司確認（非急升）。 Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +30/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Fastest repricing | 市場波動 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on 班菲爾德預備隊 (13.8%, 4/7) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| 烏克蘭U19 vs 以色列 U19 U19 歐洲青年錦標賽 - 資格賽 · Wed 11:00 | 以色列 U19 | 2.25 |
2.55
since pub · 11h 51m |
↑ +13.3%
2.25
2.55
↔ Gradual move over 11h 51m 2.93 → 2.25 → 2.55 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +13.3%
BetVictor
↑ +12.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +12.3%
1xBet
↑ +7.9%
Dafabet
↑ +3.8%
|
Steam Score:
54
B
Moderate sharp signal
明顯的漂移 — 賠率拉長並獲得多家博彩公司確認（非急升）。 Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +29/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 市場波動 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on 以色列 U19 (13.3%, 5/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| 印度 vs 馬爾地夫 南亞足球錦標賽 · Wed 09:30 | Draw | 7.5 |
6.5
since pub · 12h 33m |
↓ -13.3%
7.5
6.5
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 33m 7.50 → 5.50 → 6.50 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -13.3%
1xBet
↓ -11.5%
Betano
↓ -6.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -5.7%
William Hill
↓ -5.2%
BetVictor
↓ -4.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -3.1%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +29/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Draw (13.3%, 7/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| 巴恩斯利 vs 奧爾德姆 英格蘭EFL錦標賽（EFL Trophy） · Wed 19:00 | 奧爾德姆 | 2.88 |
3.2
kickoff in 15h 14m |
↑ +11.1%
2.88
3.2
🐢 Slow drift over 47h 39m 3.80 → 2.88 → 3.20 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +26.7%
William Hill
↑ +17.2%
1xBet
↑ +15.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +15.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +14.2%
BetVictor
↑ +11.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.1%
Betano
↑ +9.7%
Dafabet
↑ +9.4%
|
Steam Score:
54
B
Moderate sharp signal
明顯的漂移 — 賠率拉長並獲得多家博彩公司確認（非急升）。 Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 市場波動 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on 奧爾德姆 (11.1%, 9/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| 弗勒里91女足 vs 圖盧茲女足 法國女子甲級聯賽 · Wed 16:00 | Draw | 3.6 |
4.0
since pub · 12h 1m |
↑ +11.1%
3.6
4.0
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 1m 4.40 → 3.60 → 4.00 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.1%
William Hill
↑ +8.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +7.3%
Betano
↑ +5.3%
Dafabet
↑ +5.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.9%
1xBet
↑ +3.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +3.1%
|
Steam Score:
59
B
Moderate sharp signal
明顯的漂移 — 賠率拉長並獲得多家博彩公司確認（非急升）。 Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 市場波動 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Draw (11.1%, 8/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| 富特聖弗朗西斯科 vs 阿里安薩 薩爾瓦多甲級聯賽 · Wed 21:30 | 富特聖弗朗西斯科 | 4.1 |
3.7
since pub · 20h 9m |
↓ -9.8%
4.1
3.7
🐢 Slow drift over 20h 9m 4.10 → 3.70 → 3.70 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -9.8%
William Hill
↓ -5.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -4.1%
Marathonbet
↓ -2.6%
1xBet
↓ -2.5%
|
Steam Score:
56
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +22/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on 富特聖弗朗西斯科 (9.8%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| 本菲卡 vs 奧地利維也納女足 女子歐洲冠軍聯賽 · Wed 20:00 | 奧地利維也納女足 | 5.25 |
4.75
kickoff in 16h 14m |
↓ -9.5%
5.25
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 95h 33m 6.70 → 4.40 → 4.75 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -11.9%
Dafabet
↓ -11.1%
Marathonbet
↓ -11.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -9.5%
William Hill
↓ -8.3%
Betano
↓ -7.5%
|
Steam Score:
57
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +21/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on 奧地利維也納女足 (9.5%, 6/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| 印第彭蒂恩特 Res. vs 蘭奴斯 預備隊 預備隊聯賽 (Reserve League) · Wed 18:00 | 蘭奴斯 預備隊 | 3.2 |
2.9
since pub · 3h 45m |
↓ -9.4%
3.2
2.9
📈 Active repricing over 3h 45m 3.30 → 2.90 → 2.90 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
4/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -9.4%
Marathonbet
↓ -7.5%
1xBet
↓ -7.3%
Betano
↓ -3.2%
|
Steam Score:
50
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +21/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on 蘭奴斯 預備隊 (9.4%, 4/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| 利謝尼 vs 雅布洛內茨 捷克盃 · Wed 17:00 | 利謝尼 | 3.4 |
3.7
since pub · 12h 4m |
↑ +8.8%
3.4
3.7
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 4m 4.15 → 3.40 → 3.70 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +15.3%
BetVictor
↑ +14.7%
1xBet
↑ +13.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +13.0%
William Hill
↑ +11.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +8.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +8.6%
Dafabet
↑ +8.5%
|
Steam Score:
54
B
Moderate sharp signal
明顯的漂移 — 賠率拉長並獲得多家博彩公司確認（非急升）。 Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +19/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 市場波動 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on 利謝尼 (8.8%, 8/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| 馬梅洛迪太陽女足 vs 卡韋姆佩穆斯林女足 非洲足協女子冠軍聯賽 · Wed 15:00 | 卡韋姆佩穆斯林女足 | 5.75 |
5.25
since pub · 12h 30m |
↓ -8.7%
5.75
5.25
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 30m 7.29 → 5.00 → 5.25 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
4/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -8.7%
BetVictor
↓ -7.7%
Dafabet
↓ -6.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -2.6%
|
Steam Score:
50
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +19/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on 卡韋姆佩穆斯林女足 (8.7%, 4/7) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| 葡萄牙U19 vs 立陶宛 U19 U19 歐洲青年錦標賽 - 資格賽 · Wed 17:00 | 立陶宛 U19 | 19.0 |
29.0
since pub · 8h |
↑ +52.6%
19.0
29.0
↔ Gradual move over 8h 46.00 → 17.00 → 29.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
3/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +52.6%
Dafabet
↑ +3.8%
1xBet
↑ +3.3%
|
Steam Score:
63
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +11/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Top 10% move | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on 立陶宛 U19 (52.6%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 安道爾U19 vs 波蘭U19 U19 歐洲青年錦標賽 - 資格賽 · Wed 11:00 | 安道爾U19 | 23.0 |
29.0
since pub · 11h 51m |
↑ +26.1%
23.0
29.0
↔ Gradual move over 11h 51m 40.00 → 17.00 → 29.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
3/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +73.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +26.1%
William Hill
↑ +13.0%
|
Steam Score:
62
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +10/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Top 10% move | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on 安道爾U19 (26.1%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 福查蘇捷斯卡 vs 萊奧塔爾 波斯尼亞甲級聯賽 - RS · Wed 12:00 | 福查蘇捷斯卡 | 3.6 |
4.5
since pub · 14h 56m |
↑ +25.0%
3.6
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 14h 56m 4.50 → 3.60 → 4.50 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
2/2
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
1xBet
↑ +22.0%
|
Steam Score:
80
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Top 25% move | 流動性不足 | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on 福查蘇捷斯卡 (25.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 愛爾蘭U19 vs 希臘U19 U19 歐洲青年錦標賽 - 資格賽 · Wed 14:00 | 希臘U19 | 2.8 |
3.3
since pub · 11h 51m |
↑ +17.9%
2.8
3.3
↔ Gradual move over 11h 51m 3.60 → 2.80 → 3.30 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
2/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +17.9%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.9%
|
Steam Score:
51
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +39/45
Book synchronization: +7/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Top 25% move | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on 希臘U19 (17.9%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 捷克U19 vs 荷蘭U19 U19 歐洲青年錦標賽 - 資格賽 · Wed 13:00 | 捷克U19 | 4.2 |
3.5
since pub · 11h 51m |
↓ -16.7%
4.2
3.5
↔ Gradual move over 11h 51m 4.20 → 3.50 → 3.50 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
2/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -16.7%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -4.8%
|
Steam Score:
48
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +7/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Top 25% move | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on 捷克U19 (16.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 北馬其頓U19 vs 北愛爾蘭U19 U19 歐洲青年錦標賽 - 資格賽 · Wed 12:00 | 北馬其頓U19 | 2.62 |
3.0
since pub · 15h 45m |
↑ +14.5%
2.62
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 15h 45m 3.21 → 2.62 → 3.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
1/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.5%
|
Steam Score:
39
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +4/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
Top 25% move | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on 北馬其頓U19 (14.5%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 塞爾維亞U19 vs 法羅群島U19 U19 歐洲青年錦標賽 - 資格賽 · Wed 16:00 | 法羅群島U19 | 15.0 |
13.0
since pub · 11h 51m |
↓ -13.3%
15.0
13.0
↔ Gradual move over 11h 51m 20.00 → 12.00 → 13.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
4/9
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↓ -29.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -13.3%
Dafabet
↓ -12.5%
1xBet
↓ -8.1%
|
Steam Score:
52
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +29/45
Book synchronization: +13/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on 法羅群島U19 (13.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 越南 vs 中華台北 國際友誼賽 · Wed 12:00 | 中華台北 | 15.0 |
17.0
since pub · 19h 10m |
↑ +13.3%
15.0
17.0
🐢 Slow drift over 19h 10m 40.00 → 9.45 → 17.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
2/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +13.3%
1xBet
↑ +7.4%
|
Steam Score:
41
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +29/45
Book synchronization: +7/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on 中華台北 (13.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 卡斯特利奧嫩塞 vs 拉努西亞 西班牙RFEF乙級聯賽 - 第3組 · Wed 17:45 | Draw | 3.0 |
3.3
kickoff in 13h 59m |
↑ +10.0%
3.0
3.3
🐢 Slow drift over 637h 59m 3.30 → 2.70 → 3.30 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
4/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +10.0%
Dafabet
↑ +8.6%
William Hill
↑ +6.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +4.9%
|
Steam Score:
44
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +22/45
Book synchronization: +13/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Draw (10.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 普拉滕塞（預備隊） vs 德波蒂沃 里斯特拉（預備隊） 預備隊聯賽 (Reserve League) · Wed 18:00 | 德波蒂沃 里斯特拉（預備隊） | 1.91 |
2.1
since pub · 3h 45m |
↑ +9.9%
1.91
2.1
📈 Active repricing over 3h 45m 2.17 → 1.91 → 2.10 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
2/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +9.9%
BetVictor
↑ +6.7%
|
Steam Score:
34
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +22/45
Book synchronization: +8/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on 德波蒂沃 里斯特拉（預備隊） (9.9%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| 亞塞拜然U19 vs 黑山 U19 U19 歐洲青年錦標賽 - 資格賽 · Wed 10:00 | 亞塞拜然U19 | 3.6 |
3.9
since pub · 11h 51m |
↑ +8.3%
3.6
3.9
↔ Gradual move over 11h 51m 5.10 → 3.60 → 3.90 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
3/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +13.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +8.3%
William Hill
↑ +5.0%
|
Steam Score:
35
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +10/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
登入以查看完整投注結論 免費登入以解鎖最終投注結論——哪些市場通過，哪裡可能存在正期望值（+EV），以及快速變動警告。 |
— | 精明重新定價 | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on 亞塞拜然U19 (8.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
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