Atletico Madrid Predictions & Analysis

Spain Founded: 1903 MAD

Over Team High BTTS

Primary Market Signals

Over 2.5 Goals (90%)
BTTS Yes (70%)
Home Win (67%)

AI Betting Profile

Atletico Madrid are a high-scoring, open side that frequently sees both teams score. 90% finished Over 2.5 goals, averaging 3.4 total goals per game. Over 2.5 Goals has hit 90% of recent matches - totals markets carry more weight than outright winner bets.

Key Betting Angles

Over 2.5 Goals — 90% hit rate in last 10 matches
BTTS Yes — 70% of matches saw both teams score
Home Win — 67% win rate at home in recent sample

Explore Atletico Madrid's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

W L L W D

Win Rate

50%

Record (Last 10)

5W 1D 4L

Upcoming Predictions (2)

Upcoming Atletico Madrid Matches

Spain. La Liga (2)

Sep 16

17:00

Atletico Madrid

18% 26% 56% PREDICTION

Osasuna

0.91 : 1.75

xG:

0.91 : 1.75

Sep 20

14:15

Atletico Madrid

15% 24% 61% PREDICTION

Real Madrid

0.86 : 1.92

xG:

0.86 : 1.92

Recent Results & Statistics for Atletico Madrid (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 19

Goals Conceded 15

Avg. Goals Scored 1.9

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.5

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 5

Draws 1

Losses 4

Win Rate 50%

Home (3) 2W 1D 0L

Away (7) 3W 0D 4L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 90%

Under 2.5 Rate 10%

BTTS Rate 70%

Avg. Total Goals 3.4

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Reliable Model correctly called 5/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Model has tracked this team well in recent fixtures.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (5/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 50%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 80%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 30%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 5 out of 10 recent Atletico Madrid matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (67% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (43%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%

Home Accuracy 67%

Away Accuracy 43%

Attacking Trends

Atletico Madrid average 1.9 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 13.8 shots per game with 4.8 on target (34.8% shot accuracy). Their 54% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.9

Avg. Shots 13.8

Shot Accuracy 34.8%

Possession 54%

Home vs Away Performance

Atletico Madrid show a strong home advantage In their last 3 home and 7 away matches, they have a 67% home win rate (2W) vs 43% away (3W). At home, they score 2.7 goals/game and concede 1.0, while away they score 1.6 and concede 1.7. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 67%

Away Win Rate 43%

Home Goals/Game 2.7

Away Goals/Game 1.6

Goal Distribution

Atletico Madrid's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 50% coming before half-time and 50% after. Their most dangerous period is the 31-45 minute window, accounting for 26% of goals. Notably, 26% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

15%

0-15'

16-30'

26%

31-45'

12%

46-60'

12%

61-75'

26%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 50%

2nd Half Goals 50%

Peak Period 31-45 min (26%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Atletico Madrid's last 10 matches, 9 games (90%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 1 (10%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 3.4 (scored 1.9 + conceded 1.5). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 70% of matches.

Over 2.5 90%

Under 2.5 10%

Avg. Total Goals 3.4

BTTS Rate 70%