Atletico-MG Predictions & Analysis

Brazil Founded: 1908 ATL

Home Fortress

AI Betting Profile

Atletico-MG show no single dominant betting pattern in recent matches - performance drivers matter more than historical market trends. Home form has been stronger (80% home win rate vs 20% away), scoring 2.4 goals per game at home.

Performance Insights

Home Strength — 80% home win rate, scoring 2.4 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 50% Over / 50% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches
Shot Quality — 13.0 shots/game, 5.0 on target (38.5% accuracy)

Explore Atletico-MG's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

W L L W W

Win Rate

50%

Record (Last 10)

5W 3D 2L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Atletico-MG Matches

Brazil. Serie A (1)

19:00

Atletico-MG

46% 29% 25% PREDICTION

Chapecoense-sc

1.47 : 1.02

xG:

1.47 : 1.02

Recent Results & Statistics for Atletico-MG (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Atletico-MG Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 14

Goals Conceded 10

Avg. Goals Scored 1.4

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.0

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 5

Draws 3

Losses 2

Win Rate 50%

Home (5) 4W 1D 0L

Away (5) 1W 2D 2L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%

Under 2.5 Rate 50%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.4

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 4/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 40% (4/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 40%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 50%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 4 out of 10 recent Atletico-MG matches, achieving a 40% accuracy rate. The model shows consistent accuracy across both home and away fixtures (40%). The lower accuracy indicates this team's results are particularly difficult to forecast.

Overall Accuracy 40%

Home Accuracy 40%

Away Accuracy 40%

Attacking Trends

Atletico-MG average 1.4 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 13.0 shots per game with 5.0 on target (38.5% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.38 closely matches their output, indicating consistent finishing. Their 50% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.4

Avg. Shots 13.0

Shot Accuracy 38.5%

Avg. xG 1.38

Possession 50%

Home vs Away Performance

Atletico-MG show a strong home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 80% home win rate (4W) vs 20% away (1W). At home, they score 2.4 goals/game and concede 1.0, while away they score 0.4 and concede 1.0.

Home Win Rate 80%

Away Win Rate 20%

Home Goals/Game 2.4

Away Goals/Game 0.4

Goal Distribution

Atletico-MG's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 25% coming before half-time and 75% after. Their most dangerous period is the 61-75 minute window, accounting for 35% of goals. Notably, 30% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

0-15'

10%

16-30'

15%

31-45'

10%

46-60'

35%

61-75'

30%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 25%

2nd Half Goals 75%

Peak Period 61-75 min (35%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Atletico-MG's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.4 (scored 1.4 + conceded 1.0). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.4

BTTS Rate 50%