Market Movement - Austria - Bundesliga
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 8.3% move).
- Strongest steam: Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg (12.5%, 9 books).
- 3 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- 2 finished matches already carry closing-line validation.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 2 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 3 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 33% shortening · 67% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 2 fixtures with CLV dataActive
Top Movers
- 1 ↓ -12.5%
- 2 ↑ +8.3%
- 3 ↑ +4.1%
Biggest Steam
-
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg ↓ -12.5% Steam 74
-
2
WSG Wattens vs Ried ↑ +4.1% Steam 50
-
3
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz ↑ +8.3% Steam 33
Highest Breadth
-
1
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg ↓ -12.5% 9/9
-
2
WSG Wattens vs Ried ↑ +4.1% 10/10
-
3
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz ↑ +8.3% 9/10
Most Books Agree
-
1
WSG Wattens vs Ried ↑ +4.1%
-
2
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz ↑ +8.3%
-
3
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg ↓ -12.5%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg ↓ -12.5%
-
2
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz ↑ +8.3%
-
3
WSG Wattens vs Ried ↑ +4.1%
League Intelligence (30 days)
Bundesliga (Austria) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 62.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 100% breadth, with 2 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, Austria - Bundesliga has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 62.0. Typical line moves averaged 8.3% and the largest swing reached 12.5%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (50% positive). Home-side steam represented 50.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | Austria Vienna ↑ +8.3% | -7.1 pp | Market Ahead |
| WSG Wattens vs Ried | Ried | Ried ↑ +4.1% | -2.1 pp | Aligned |
| Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg | Red Bull Salzburg | Grazer AK ↓ -12.5% | +1.5 pp | Market Efficient |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg | Grazer AK | ↓ -12.5% | 📈 Steam | 9/9 | Steam Score: 74 A |
| WSG Wattens vs Ried | Ried | ↑ +4.1% | ⚡ Sharp-led move | 10/10 | Steam Score: 50 B |
| Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz | Austria Vienna | ↑ +8.3% | ↘ Drift | 9/10 | Steam Score: 33 C |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Login to filter market moves
Sign in free to filter by steam score, move size, kickoff window, and signal type.
No matches for this filter.
Type at least 2 characters
No matching teams
No results under current filters — try All
| Match(3) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg Bundesliga · Sat 15:00 | Grazer AK | 6.0 |
5.25
since pub · 132h 13m |
↓ -12.5%
6.0
5.25
🐢 Slow drift over 132h 13m 6.00 → 4.66 → 5.25 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -17.6%
Betano
↓ -17.5%
Dafabet
↓ -13.8%
Marathonbet
↓ -12.9%
William Hill
↓ -12.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -12.5%
BetVictor
↓ -8.7%
SBO Sharp
↓ -7.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -6.9%
|
Steam Score:
74
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Sharp repricing | P10: 5.25 · P5: 5.25 · P1: 5.25 | Multi-book steam on Grazer AK (12.5%, 9/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| WSG Wattens vs Ried Bundesliga · Sat 15:00 | Ried | 2.45 |
2.55
since pub · 132h 12m |
↑ +4.1%
2.45
2.55
🐢 Slow drift over 132h 12m 2.74 → 2.37 → 2.55 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +14.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +9.3%
BetVictor
↑ +7.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +6.3%
Dafabet
↑ +6.0%
1xBet
↑ +4.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.5%
William Hill
↑ +4.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +4.1%
Betano
↑ +3.2%
|
Steam Score:
50
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +9/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | P10: 2.55 · P5: 2.55 · P1: 2.55 | Betfair led repricing on Ried (4.1%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz Bundesliga · Sat 17:30 | Austria Vienna | 3.0 |
3.25
kickoff in 65m |
↑ +8.3%
3.0
3.25
🐢 Slow drift over 128h 36m 3.36 → 2.90 → 3.25 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +8.3%
Betano
↑ +8.3%
BetVictor
↑ +6.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +6.7%
William Hill
↑ +6.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +5.9%
1xBet
↑ +5.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +3.4%
SBO Sharp
↑ +3.4%
|
Steam Score:
33
C
Limited conviction
Modest lengthening — treat as drift tracking rather than steam. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Austria Vienna (8.3%, 9/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |