Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Market Movement - Austria - Bundesliga

Predictions

Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.

Last updated: Live Next refresh: Time window: today Total fixtures: 2

Today's Summary

2 Significant Movements
Avg Move 8.3%

Today's Market Analysis

  • 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 8.3% move).
  • Strongest steam: Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg (12.5%, 10 books).
  • 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
  • 2 finished matches already carry closing-line validation.

Today's Market Health

★★★★ ☆
Healthy market

Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data

Market Metrics

  • Steam Activity 2 moves > threshold
    Moderate
  • Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing events
    Low
  • Market Trend 50% shortening · 50% lengthening
    Low
  • CLV Context 2 fixtures with CLV data
    Active
Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Final Closing Moves Move Review
Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.

Market Reality Check

Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.

Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.

2
Matches reviewed
50.0%
Largest move held to close
50.0%
Tracked side won
0.0%
Held & won
+22.5%
Replay ROI
This scope All markets today: 62 matches · 37.1% held · Replay ROI -3.7%

In this sample, largest moves held to close more often and replay ROI was positive — but the sample is limited; context only, not a strategy signal.

Historical pattern performance

Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 57%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Market move replay
Match(2) Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Opening Closing CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Held to close Outcome Score Market depth
Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg Bundesliga · Sat 15:00 Grazer AK 6.0 5.25 +14.3% ✓ Held L 0-0
Steam Score 70 A
Market Breadth 9/10
Sharp-led move Bet365
P10: 5.25 · P5: 5.25 · P1: 5.25
WSG Wattens vs Ried Bundesliga · Sat 15:00 Ried 2.45 2.55 -3.9% ✗ Reversed W 1-2
Steam Score 50 B
Market Breadth 10/10
Sharp-led move Betfair
P10: 2.55 · P5: 2.55 · P1: 2.55