Market Movement - USA - USL Championship
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 11.1% move).
- Strongest steam: Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven (16.9%, 8 books).
- 3 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Solid CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 3 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 3 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 67% shortening · 33% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↓ -16.9%
- 2 ↓ -9.7%
- 3 ↑ +6.7%
Biggest Steam
-
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven ↓ -16.9% Steam 84
-
2
Brooklyn vs Detroit City ↓ -9.7% Steam 56
-
3
Miami FC vs Sporting JAX ↑ +6.7% Steam 52
Highest Breadth
-
1
Miami FC vs Sporting JAX ↑ +6.7% 7/8
-
2
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven ↓ -16.9% 6/8
-
3
Brooklyn vs Detroit City ↓ -9.7% 5/8
Most Books Agree
-
1
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven ↓ -16.9%
-
2
Brooklyn vs Detroit City ↓ -9.7%
-
3
Miami FC vs Sporting JAX ↑ +6.7%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven ↓ -16.9%
-
2
Brooklyn vs Detroit City ↓ -9.7%
-
3
Miami FC vs Sporting JAX ↑ +6.7%
League Intelligence (30 days)
USL Championship (USA) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 27 while bookmaker consensus averaged 42% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, USA - USL Championship has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 27. Typical line moves averaged 4% and the largest swing reached 4%. Historical closing-line validation has skewed positive (100% CLV rate). Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami FC vs Sporting JAX | Miami FC | Draw ↑ +6.7% | -21.1 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven | Rhode Island | Indy Eleven ↓ -16.9% | -10.3 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Brooklyn vs Detroit City | Detroit City | Brooklyn ↓ -9.7% | -10.0 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven | Indy Eleven | ↓ -16.9% | 🔥 Strong steam | 6/8 | Steam Score: 84 A+ |
| Brooklyn vs Detroit City | Brooklyn | ↓ -9.7% | 📈 Steam | 5/8 | Steam Score: 56 B |
| Miami FC vs Sporting JAX | Draw | ↑ +6.7% | ⚡ Sharp-led move | 7/8 | Steam Score: 52 B |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Login to filter market moves
Sign in free to filter by steam score, move size, kickoff window, and signal type.
No matches for this filter.
Type at least 2 characters
No matching teams
No results under current filters — try All
| Match(3) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven USL Championship · Wed 23:30 | Indy Eleven | 4.33 |
3.6
kickoff in 12h 35m |
↓ -16.9%
4.33
3.6
🐢 Slow drift over 51h 56m 4.70 → 3.40 → 3.60 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
6/8
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -20.9%
Betano
↓ -19.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -17.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -16.9%
1xBet
↓ -12.3%
BetVictor
↓ -5.6%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 6/8 books synchronized on Indy Eleven (16.9% steam, score 84) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Brooklyn vs Detroit City USL Championship · Wed 23:00 | Brooklyn | 3.6 |
3.25
kickoff in 12h 5m |
↓ -9.7%
3.6
3.25
🐢 Slow drift over 53h 30m 4.20 → 3.15 → 3.25 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Betano
↓ -16.0%
William Hill
↓ -13.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -11.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -9.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -9.7%
|
Steam Score:
56
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +21/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Brooklyn (9.7%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Miami FC vs Sporting JAX USL Championship · Wed 23:00 | Draw | 3.75 |
4.0
kickoff in 12h 5m |
↑ +6.7%
3.75
4.0
🐢 Slow drift over 49h 59m 4.79 → 3.42 → 4.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
7/8
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +40.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +8.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +6.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +6.4%
William Hill
↑ +5.3%
Betano
↑ +4.1%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.6%
|
Steam Score:
52
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +15/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Pinnacle led repricing on Draw (6.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |