Market Movement - USA - Major League Soccer
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City (18.1%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
Major League Soccer (USA) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 69.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 55% breadth, with 1 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, USA - Major League Soccer has produced strong steam activity with an average Steam Score of 69.0. Typical line moves averaged 16.7% and the largest swing reached 16.7%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented 0.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City Major League Soccer · Wed 23:30 | New York Red Bulls | 2.88 |
3.4
kickoff in 11h 45m |
↑ +18.1%
2.88
3.4
🐢 Slow drift over 217h 16m 3.45 → 2.75 → 3.40 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/8
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↑ +21.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +18.1%
William Hill
↑ +17.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +17.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +17.4%
SBO Sharp
↑ +10.5%
Betano
↑ +10.2%
|
Steam Score:
64
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +40/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened New York Red Bulls together (18.1% drift, score 64) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |