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Market Movement - Bulgaria - First League

Predictions

Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.

Last updated: Live Next refresh: Time window: today Total fixtures: 2

Today's Summary

2 Significant Movements
Avg Move 22.8%

Today's Market Analysis

  • 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 22.8% move).
  • Strongest steam: Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna (23.7%, 10 books).
  • 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
  • No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.

Today's Market Health

★★★ ☆☆
Mixed signals

Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history · Volatile repricing

Market Metrics

  • Steam Activity 2 moves > threshold
    Moderate
  • Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing events
    Low
  • Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengthening
    Low
  • CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV data
    Pending

League Intelligence (30 days)

2 Matches Tracked
63.5 Avg Steam
20.1% Avg Move
32.8% Biggest Move
50.0% Home Steam %
50.0% Fav Steam %

First League (Bulgaria) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 63.5 while bookmaker consensus averaged 100% breadth, with 2 steam-backed repricing events.

Over the past 30 days, Bulgaria - First League has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 63.5. Typical line moves averaged 20.1% and the largest swing reached 32.8%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented 50.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 50.0% of steam-backed moves.

Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Final Closing Moves Move Review
Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.

Historical pattern performance

Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 57%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Market move replay
Match(2) Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Opening Closing CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Held to close Outcome Score Market depth
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna First League · Sat 12:00 Spartak Varna 3.5 — — ? No close data W 0-1
Steam Score 69 A
Market Breadth 10/10
Sharp-led move Bet365
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv First League · Sat 14:30 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3.2 — — ? No close data L 1-1
Steam Score 62 A
Market Breadth 7/9
Sharp-led move Bet365