Market Movement - Bulgaria - First League
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia (32.8%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
First League (Bulgaria) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 63.5 while bookmaker consensus averaged 100% breadth, with 2 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, Bulgaria - First League has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 63.5. Typical line moves averaged 20.1% and the largest swing reached 32.8%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented 50.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 50.0% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia First League · Sat 17:00 | Slavia Sofia | 4.33 |
5.75
since pub · 130h 24m |
↑ +32.8%
4.33
5.75
🐢 Slow drift over 130h 24m 6.19 → 4.13 → 5.75 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +32.8%
Betano
↑ +31.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +27.4%
BetVictor
↑ +25.0%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +25.0%
William Hill
↑ +25.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +23.1%
1xBet
↑ +19.9%
Dafabet
↑ +19.1%
SBO Sharp
↑ +11.9%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Slavia Sofia together (32.8% drift, score 69) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |