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Market Movement - Hong Kong - League Cup

Predictions

Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.

Last updated: Live Next refresh: Time window: today Total fixtures: 2

Today's Summary

2 Significant Movements
Avg Move 12.1%

Today's Market Analysis

  • 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 12.1% move).
  • Strongest steam: Shatin vs Hong Kong FC (13.8%, 8 books).
  • 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
  • 2 finished matches already carry closing-line validation.

Today's Market Health

★★★★ ☆
Healthy market

Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data

Market Metrics

  • Steam Activity 1 moves > threshold
    Low
  • Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing events
    Low
  • Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengthening
    Low
  • CLV Context 2 fixtures with CLV data
    Active
Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Final Closing Moves Move Review
Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.

Market Reality Check

Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.

Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.

2
Matches reviewed
0.0%
Largest move held to close
0.0%
Tracked side won
0.0%
Held & won
-100.0%
Replay ROI
This scope All markets today: 58 matches · 32.8% held · Replay ROI -63.2%

Large market moves are common, but most do not survive to the closing line and have not been profitable in this sample.

Historical pattern performance

Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 22%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Market move replay
Match(2) Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Opening Closing CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Held to close Outcome Score Market depth
North District vs Southern District League Cup · Thu 08:00 Southern District 3.0 3.31 -9.4% ✗ Reversed L 2-1
Steam Score 47 B
Market Breadth 5/7
Sharp-led move Bet365
P1: 3.31 · P5: 3.31 · P10: 3.31 · P30: 3.31
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC League Cup · Thu 11:00 Hong Kong FC 2.6 2.96 -12.2% ✗ Reversed L 2-2
Steam Score 52 B
Market Breadth 5/8
Sharp-led move Bet365
P1: 2.96 · P5: 2.96 · P10: 2.96 · P30: 2.96