Market Movement - Hong Kong - League Cup
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 0.0% move).
- Strongest steam: Shatin vs Hong Kong FC (0.0%, 6 books).
- 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 0% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin vs Hong Kong FC League Cup · Thu 11:00 | Shatin | 2.1 |
2.1
since pub · 20h 22m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.25 → 2.10 → 2.10 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/6
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↑ +0.5%
1xBet
↑ +0.4%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Shatin (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.9% — price repriced then reverted. |
| North District vs Southern District League Cup · Thu 08:00 | North District | 1.91 |
1.91
since pub · 20h 22m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.96 → 1.76 → 1.91 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
15
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on North District (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 10.8% — price repriced then reverted. |