Market Movement - Norway - NM Cupen
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 57.2% move).
- Strongest steam: Madla vs Viking (72.7%, 8 books).
- 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 2 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningModerate
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madla vs Viking NM Cupen · Thu 16:00 | Madla | 11.0 |
19.0
since pub · 17h 12m |
↑ +72.7%
11.0
19.0
🐢 Slow drift over 17h 12m 26.00 → 11.00 → 19.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/8
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↑ +73.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +72.7%
BetVictor
↑ +69.2%
1xBet
↑ +60.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +60.0%
Betano
↑ +37.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +7.1%
|
Steam Score:
89
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened Madla together (72.7% drift, score 89) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Bærum vs Lillestrom NM Cupen · Thu 16:00 | Bærum | 12.0 |
17.0
since pub · 17h 12m |
↑ +41.7%
12.0
17.0
🐢 Slow drift over 17h 12m 18.00 → 11.35 → 17.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +41.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +38.5%
BetVictor
↑ +30.8%
1xBet
↑ +16.1%
William Hill
↑ +15.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +14.6%
Betano
↑ +12.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +7.1%
|
Steam Score:
89
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened Bærum together (41.7% drift, score 89) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |