Market Movement - Norway - NM Cupen
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (30.8%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Low consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 0 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningModerate
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF NM Cupen · Wed 14:00 | Follo | 13.0 |
17.0
since pub · 13h 23m |
↑ +30.8%
13.0
17.0
🐢 Slow drift over 13h 23m 29.00 → 10.80 → 17.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
1/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +30.8%
|
Steam Score:
52
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +4/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Follo (30.8%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |