Today's Summary
2
Significant Movements
Avg Move
4.0%
Market Movement - Uruguay - Segunda División
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 4.0% move).
- Strongest steam: Cerrito vs Tacuarembo (9.3%, 9 books).
- 4 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 4 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 25% shortening · 25% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↓ -9.3%
- 2 ↑ +6.5%
Biggest Steam
-
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo ↓ -9.3% Steam 66
-
2
Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón ↑ +6.5% Steam 45
Highest Breadth
-
1
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo ↓ -9.3% 9/9
-
2
Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón ↑ +6.5% 6/9
Most Books Agree
-
1
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo ↓ -9.3%
-
2
Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón ↑ +6.5%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo ↓ -9.3%
-
2
Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón ↑ +6.5%
League Intelligence (30 days)
1
Matches Tracked
30.0
Avg Steam
Not enough completed fixtures with meaningful repricing in the last 30 days.
Segunda División (Uruguay) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 30.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 100% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, Uruguay - Segunda División has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 30.0. Typical line moves averaged —% and the largest swing reached —%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerrito vs Tacuarembo | Cerrito | Tacuarembo ↓ -9.3% | -13.6 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón | Draw | Uruguay Montevideo ↑ +6.5% | -1.4 pp | Aligned |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerrito vs Tacuarembo | Tacuarembo | ↓ -9.3% | 📈 Steam | 9/9 | Steam Score: 66 A |
| Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón | Uruguay Montevideo | ↑ +6.5% | ⚡ Sharp-led move | 6/9 | Steam Score: 45 B |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(4) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerrito vs Tacuarembo Segunda División · Sat 19:00 | Tacuarembo | 3.75 |
3.4
kickoff in 4h 8m |
↓ -9.3%
3.75
3.4
🐢 Slow drift over 56h 27m 3.97 → 3.25 → 3.40 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -16.9%
William Hill
↓ -13.2%
Betano
↓ -9.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -9.3%
Dafabet
↓ -8.3%
BetVictor
↓ -8.1%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -5.6%
1xBet
↓ -5.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -5.2%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +20/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Tacuarembo (9.3%, 9/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón Segunda División · Sat 16:00 | Uruguay Montevideo | 3.1 |
3.3
kickoff in 68m |
↑ +6.5%
3.1
3.3
🐢 Slow drift over 56h 27m 3.70 → 2.85 → 3.30 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↑ +27.6%
Betano
↑ +22.8%
1xBet
↑ +14.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +14.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +12.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +6.5%
|
Steam Score:
45
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +14/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Uruguay Montevideo (6.5%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| CA River Plate vs Oriental Segunda División · Sat 13:00 | CA River Plate | 1.91 |
1.91
since pub · <1m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.05 → 1.91 → 1.91 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
Dafabet
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on CA River Plate (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.1% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Paysandu vs Rentistas Segunda División · Sat 22:00 | Paysandu | 3.3 |
3.3
since pub · 16h 15m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 3.55 → 3.24 → 3.30 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
6/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
20
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Paysandu (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 9.1% — price repriced then reverted. |
