Market Movement - Uruguay - Copa Uruguay
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Cerro Largo vs Rentistas (17.1%).
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 50% shortening · 0% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo vs Rentistas Copa Uruguay · Wed 19:00 | Draw | 4.1 |
3.4
kickoff in 16h 20m |
↓ -17.1%
4.1
3.4
🐢 Slow drift over 44h 15m 4.20 → 3.10 → 3.40 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
5/7
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↓ -18.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -17.1%
Betano
↓ -13.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -12.5%
1xBet
↓ -10.0%
|
Steam Score:
83
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +38/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 5/7 books synchronized on Draw (17.1% steam, score 83) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia Copa Uruguay · Wed 19:00 | Defensor Sporting | 1.67 |
1.67
kickoff in 16h 20m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.75 → 1.62 → 1.67 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
4/7
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↑ +1.2%
1xBet
↑ +0.6%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
15
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Defensor Sporting (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.7% — price repriced then reverted. |