Market Movements - Live Market Moves
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Monitor bookmaker line movement, market consensus, and late odds shifts before kickoff.
📊 Miglior Vantaggio Oggi
I maggiori divari fair-vs-mercato prima del calcio d'inizio — lato valore AI vs dove fluiscono i soldi.
| Match | Vantaggio AI | Movimento di mercato | Vantaggio | Stato |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavernes vs Valencia | Tavernes | Tavernes ↑ +9.4% | -119.9 pp | Revisione Integrità Dati Necessaria |
| Anaitasuna vs Deportivo Alavés | Deportivo Alavés | Anaitasuna ↓ -36.6% | -51.0 pp | Revisione Integrità Dati Necessaria |
| Trival Valderas vs Leganés | Leganés | Trival Valderas ↑ +76.9% | -48.4 pp | Rischio di Rottura del Modello |
| Pamplona vs Eibar | Eibar | Pamplona ↓ -36.8% | -39.5 pp | Rischio di Rottura del Modello |
| Oxford United vs Cheltenham Town | Oxford United | Cheltenham Town ↑ +35.7% | -36.5 pp | Rischio di Rottura del Modello |
| Roma Femminile vs Servette Chênois Femminile | Roma Femminile | Roma Femminile ↑ +5.8% | -36.0 pp | Rischio di Rottura del Modello |
| Qatar U23 vs Singapore Under 23 | Qatar U23 | Draw ↑ +10.0% | -33.7 pp | Rischio di Rottura del Modello |
| Salisbury vs Braintree Town | Salisbury | Braintree Town ↑ +18.2% | -32.3 pp | Rischio di Rottura del Modello |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo | Cúcuta Deportivo | ↓ -20.8% | 🔥 Strong steam | 10/10 | Steam Score: 100 A+ |
| Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto | Universitario de Vinto | ↓ -47.5% | 🔥 Strong steam | 6/8 | Steam Score: 94 A+ |
| Häcken vs Chelsea W | Häcken | ↓ -23.1% | 🔥 Strong steam | 7/9 | Steam Score: 92 A+ |
| Deren vs Ulaanbaatar | Draw | ↑ +26.3% | 📉 Strong drift | 3/4 | Steam Score: 78 A+ |
| Oxford United vs Cheltenham Town | Cheltenham Town | ↑ +35.7% | 📉 Strong drift | 9/10 | Steam Score: 76 A+ |
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| Match(86) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo Primera A Colombia · Tue 00:00 | Cúcuta Deportivo | 6.0 |
4.75
since pub · 91h 52m |
↓ -20.8%
6.0
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 91h 52m 6.05 → 4.20 → 4.75 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -26.3%
BetVictor
↓ -23.6%
1xBet
↓ -23.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -20.8%
William Hill
↓ -20.0%
Betano
↓ -17.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -17.3%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -14.5%
Dafabet
↓ -13.5%
SBO Sharp
↓ -12.8%
|
Steam Score:
100
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Highest consensus move | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | P5: 4.75 | 10/10 books synchronized on Cúcuta Deportivo (20.8% steam, score 100) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto Primera División Bolivia · Tue 00:30 | Universitario de Vinto | 8.0 |
4.2
since pub · 141h 51m |
↓ -47.5%
8.0
4.2
🐢 Slow drift over 141h 51m 8.20 → 3.27 → 4.20 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
6/8
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↓ -54.3%
Betano
↓ -52.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -51.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -47.5%
1xBet
↓ -44.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -30.0%
|
Steam Score:
94
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Largest underdog steam | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | P10: 4.20 | 6/8 books synchronized on Universitario de Vinto (47.5% steam, score 94) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Häcken vs Chelsea W UEFA Champions League Femminile · Tue 17:45 | Häcken | 13.0 |
10.0
kickoff in 16h 25m |
↓ -23.1%
13.0
10.0
🐢 Slow drift over 68h 58m 14.34 → 9.50 → 10.00 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↓ -26.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -23.1%
Dafabet
↓ -23.1%
William Hill
↓ -23.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -22.7%
Betano
↓ -22.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -19.6%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books synchronized on Häcken (23.1% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Anaitasuna vs Deportivo Alavés Coppa del Re · Tue 18:00 | Anaitasuna | 41.0 |
26.0
kickoff in 16h 40m |
↓ -36.6%
41.0
26.0
🐢 Slow drift over 323h 38m 91.00 → 26.00 → 26.00 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/8
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -67.8%
William Hill
↓ -49.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -36.6%
BetVictor
↓ -17.1%
Marathonbet
↓ -9.4%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 10% move | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | P5: 41.00 · P1: 41.00 | Multi-book steam on Anaitasuna (36.6%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Pamplona vs Eibar Coppa del Re · Tue 18:00 | Pamplona | 19.0 |
12.0
kickoff in 16h 40m |
↓ -36.8%
19.0
12.0
🐢 Slow drift over 323h 38m 23.00 → 10.29 → 12.00 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -36.8%
Dafabet
↓ -34.8%
William Hill
↓ -11.8%
1xBet
↓ -9.1%
Betano
↓ -3.8%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 10% move | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | P5: 12.00 | Multi-book steam on Pamplona (36.8%, 5/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Deren vs Ulaanbaatar Premier League Mongolia · Tue 08:00 | Draw | 4.75 |
6.0
since pub · 7h 46m |
↑ +26.3%
4.75
6.0
↔ Gradual move over 7h 46m 6.30 → 4.60 → 6.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
3/4
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +28.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +26.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +17.4%
|
Steam Score:
78
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Deriva ampia multi-book — quote allungate su più bookmaker (fade di mercato). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 10% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 3/4 books lengthened Draw together (26.3% drift, score 78) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Oxford United vs Cheltenham Town EFL Trophy · Tue 19:00 | Cheltenham Town | 7.0 |
9.5
kickoff in 17h 40m |
↑ +35.7%
7.0
9.5
🐢 Slow drift over 48h 33m 13.00 → 6.76 → 9.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +85.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +44.7%
1xBet
↑ +44.3%
William Hill
↑ +42.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +35.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +29.0%
BetVictor
↑ +22.5%
Dafabet
↑ +22.0%
Betano
↑ +20.0%
|
Steam Score:
76
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Deriva ampia multi-book — quote allungate su più bookmaker (fade di mercato). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 10% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 9/10 books lengthened Cheltenham Town together (35.7% drift, score 76) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Sholing vs Chippenham Town Non League Premier - Southern South · Tue 19:45 | Chippenham Town | 3.2 |
3.7
kickoff in 18h 25m |
↑ +15.6%
3.2
3.7
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 44m 4.10 → 3.20 → 3.70 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
6/6
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +23.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.6%
Betano
↑ +13.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +9.1%
BetVictor
↑ +7.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +7.5%
|
Steam Score:
73
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 6/6 books lengthened Chippenham Town together (15.6% drift, score 73) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Salisbury vs Braintree Town National League - Sud · Tue 19:45 | Braintree Town | 5.5 |
6.5
kickoff in 18h 25m |
↑ +18.2%
5.5
6.5
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 41m 7.23 → 5.50 → 6.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +22.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +22.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +18.2%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +18.2%
Betano
↑ +14.5%
BetVictor
↑ +9.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +6.7%
|
Steam Score:
72
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +40/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Braintree Town together (18.2% drift, score 72) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Stevenage vs Fulham U21 EFL Trophy · Tue 19:00 | Fulham U21 | 5.0 |
6.0
kickoff in 17h 40m |
↑ +20.0%
5.0
6.0
🐢 Slow drift over 48h 33m 6.80 → 5.00 → 6.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +26.0%
Dafabet
↑ +25.9%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +23.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +6.7%
1xBet
↑ +5.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.3%
|
Steam Score:
71
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Fulham U21 together (20.0% drift, score 71) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Stockport County vs Tranmere Rovers EFL Trophy · Tue 19:00 | Tranmere Rovers | 4.75 |
6.25
kickoff in 17h 40m |
↑ +31.6%
4.75
6.25
🐢 Slow drift over 48h 21m 7.60 → 3.60 → 6.25 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/10
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↑ +111.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +31.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +25.0%
Betano
↑ +16.9%
William Hill
↑ +8.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.1%
1xBet
↑ +3.0%
|
Steam Score:
70
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 10% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 7/10 books lengthened Tranmere Rovers together (31.6% drift, score 70) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Bradford City vs York City EFL Trophy · Tue 19:30 | York City | 3.0 |
3.7
kickoff in 18h 10m |
↑ +23.3%
3.0
3.7
🐢 Slow drift over 48h 47m 4.00 → 3.00 → 3.70 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +23.3%
Dafabet
↑ +18.2%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +17.6%
Betano
↑ +13.8%
William Hill
↑ +5.9%
BetVictor
↑ +3.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +3.5%
|
Steam Score:
70
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 7/10 books lengthened York City together (23.3% drift, score 70) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Trival Valderas vs Leganés Coppa del Re · Tue 19:00 | Trival Valderas | 13.0 |
23.0
kickoff in 17h 40m |
↑ +76.9%
13.0
23.0
🐢 Slow drift over 306h 51m 25.00 → 8.66 → 23.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +127.7%
William Hill
↑ +109.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +108.7%
Dafabet
↑ +92.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +76.9%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +64.3%
1xBet
↑ +59.3%
BetVictor
↑ +46.2%
Betano
↑ +37.0%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Largest move today | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened Trival Valderas together (76.9% drift, score 69) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| MO Béjaïa vs IRB Nezla Ligue 2 Algeria · Tue 14:00 | IRB Nezla | 5.0 |
6.25
kickoff in 12h 40m |
↑ +25.0%
5.0
6.25
🐢 Slow drift over 923h 6m 6.99 → 4.20 → 6.25 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +47.8%
1xBet
↑ +41.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +40.4%
Betano
↑ +35.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +13.8%
BetVictor
↑ +13.1%
|
Steam Score:
65
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 10% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 7/8 books lengthened IRB Nezla together (25.0% drift, score 65) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés Coppa del Re · Tue 19:00 | UD Logroñés | 1.73 |
2.05
kickoff in 17h 40m |
↑ +18.5%
1.73
2.05
🐢 Slow drift over 319h 6m 2.30 → 1.73 → 2.05 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +31.4%
1xBet
↑ +25.4%
BetVictor
↑ +22.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +20.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Betano
↑ +19.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +18.5%
Dafabet
↑ +17.9%
William Hill
↑ +16.7%
|
Steam Score:
65
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +41/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened UD Logroñés together (18.5% drift, score 65) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Bristol Rovers vs Reading EFL Trophy · Tue 19:00 | Bristol Rovers | 3.6 |
3.3
kickoff in 17h 40m |
↓ -8.3%
3.6
3.3
🐢 Slow drift over 48h 33m 4.04 → 3.14 → 3.30 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -14.6%
William Hill
↓ -14.5%
Betano
↓ -11.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -11.2%
1xBet
↓ -11.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -10.3%
Dafabet
↓ -8.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -8.3%
BetVictor
↓ -5.1%
|
Steam Score:
61
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Bristol Rovers (8.3%, 9/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Inter Women vs Manchester City Women UEFA Champions League Femminile · Tue 20:00 | Draw | 4.5 |
5.5
kickoff in 18h 40m |
↑ +22.2%
4.5
5.5
🐢 Slow drift over 70h 48m 6.20 → 4.50 → 5.50 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +24.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +22.2%
BetVictor
↑ +8.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.1%
Betano
↑ +2.0%
|
Steam Score:
60
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Draw (22.2%, 5/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Qatar U23 vs Singapore Under 23 Amichevoli · Tue 08:00 | Draw | 5.0 |
5.5
since pub · 11h 50m |
↑ +10.0%
5.0
5.5
↔ Gradual move over 11h 50m 6.00 → 4.00 → 5.50 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +30.4%
Dafabet
↑ +30.4%
William Hill
↑ +25.0%
1xBet
↑ +18.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +18.9%
Betano
↑ +13.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +10.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +7.3%
BetVictor
↑ +2.0%
|
Steam Score:
60
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +22/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Draw (10.0%, 9/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Colchester United U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 Professional Development League · Tue 14:00 | Colchester United U21 | 2.2 |
2.4
since pub · 7h 48m |
↑ +9.1%
2.2
2.4
↔ Gradual move over 7h 48m 3.25 → 2.20 → 2.40 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +41.3%
1xBet
↑ +16.1%
Betano
↑ +14.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +12.8%
Dafabet
↑ +12.2%
William Hill
↑ +12.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +9.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +8.3%
|
Steam Score:
58
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +20/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Colchester United U21 (9.1%, 8/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Crawley Town vs Brentford U21 EFL Trophy · Tue 19:30 | Draw | 4.5 |
4.75
kickoff in 18h 10m |
↑ +5.6%
4.5
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 47h 23m 5.40 → 4.00 → 4.75 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Betano
↑ +6.5%
Dafabet
↑ +6.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +5.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.6%
William Hill
↑ +5.0%
1xBet
↑ +4.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.5%
|
Steam Score:
50
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Draw (5.6%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Leicester City vs Walsall EFL Trophy · Tue 19:00 | Walsall | 6.5 |
7.0
kickoff in 17h 40m |
↑ +7.7%
6.5
7.0
🐢 Slow drift over 48h 33m 9.00 → 5.61 → 7.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +38.5%
William Hill
↑ +25.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +17.6%
1xBet
↑ +17.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +14.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +7.7%
SBO Sharp
↑ +3.4%
|
Steam Score:
49
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +17/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Walsall (7.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Tavernes vs Valencia Coppa del Re · Tue 20:00 | Tavernes | 32.0 |
35.0
since pub · 12h 12m |
↑ +9.4%
32.0
35.0
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 12m 35.00 → 32.00 → 35.00 |
📉 Weakening | Betano |
1/1
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +9.4%
|
Steam Score:
48
C
Limited conviction
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +21/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Illiquido | Waiting for Close | Market fading Tavernes (9.4%) — line drifting longer vs. open (1/1). |
| Roma Femminile vs Servette Chênois Femminile UEFA Champions League Femminile · Tue 20:00 | Roma Femminile | 1.2 |
1.27
kickoff in 18h 40m |
↑ +5.8%
1.2
1.27
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 26m 1.27 → 1.12 → 1.27 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +8.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +5.8%
BetVictor
↑ +3.4%
Marathonbet
↑ +2.7%
Betano
↑ +2.5%
Dafabet
↑ +2.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.5%
|
Steam Score:
47
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +13/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Roma Femminile (5.8%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Barnet vs Leyton Orient EFL Trophy · Tue 19:00 | Draw | 3.6 |
3.8
kickoff in 17h 40m |
↑ +5.6%
3.6
3.8
🐢 Slow drift over 48h 21m 4.10 → 3.10 → 3.80 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +20.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +7.3%
William Hill
↑ +6.5%
Betano
↑ +5.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +5.6%
1xBet
↑ +4.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.7%
Dafabet
↑ +4.1%
|
Steam Score:
47
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Draw (5.6%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Paris Saint-Germain Femminile vs Bayern Monaco W UEFA Champions League Femminile · Tue 20:00 | Paris Saint-Germain Femminile | 3.9 |
4.33
kickoff in 18h 40m |
↑ +11.0%
3.9
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 70h 48m 4.33 → 3.40 → 4.33 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.0%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +7.9%
Dafabet
↑ +7.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +5.6%
Betano
↑ +5.2%
1xBet
↑ +3.2%
William Hill
↑ +2.9%
|
Steam Score:
46
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Paris Saint-Germain Femminile (11.0%, 7/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
