Market Movements - Early Sharp Moves
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
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| Match(227) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr Pro League Arabia Saudita · Fri 14:55 | Draw | 7.27 |
3.91
kickoff in 4h 24m |
↓ -46.2%
7.27
3.91
🐢 Slow drift over 148h 56m 7.27 → 1.18 → 3.91 |
📈 Steam |
Pinnacle
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -83.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -46.2%
William Hill
↓ -16.7%
Betano
↓ -12.3%
1xBet
↓ -3.1%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Largest underdog steam | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Draw (46.2%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Everton vs Coventry City Premier League · Fri 20:00 | Coventry City | 5.75 |
4.75
kickoff in 9h 29m |
↓ -17.4%
5.75
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 270h 25m 5.75 → 4.19 → 4.75 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -17.4%
1xBet
↓ -6.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -5.8%
Betano
↓ -3.9%
William Hill
↓ -3.2%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +38/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Coventry City (17.4%, 5/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam Eerste Divisie · Fri 19:00 | FC Volendam | 2.1 |
2.45
kickoff in 8h 29m |
↑ +16.7%
2.1
2.45
🐢 Slow drift over 87h 1m 2.50 → 2.10 → 2.45 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
5/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +16.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +5.0%
Dafabet
↑ +3.4%
SBO Sharp
↑ +2.7%
Betano
↑ +2.1%
|
Steam Score:
45
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on FC Volendam (16.7%, 5/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| City vs Forte Virtus Prima Divisione degli Emirati Arabi Uniti · Fri 12:50 | City | 4.33 |
5.0
since pub · 13h 22m |
↑ +15.5%
4.33
5.0
🐢 Slow drift over 13h 22m 5.76 → 4.33 → 5.00 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
4/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.5%
BetVictor
↑ +6.7%
Betano
↑ +4.2%
Dafabet
↑ +3.8%
|
Steam Score:
55
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on City (15.5%, 4/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Barracas Central vs Racing Club Liga Professionale Argentina · Fri 18:00 | Racing Club | 2.62 |
3.0
kickoff in 7h 29m |
↑ +14.5%
2.62
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 103h 4m 3.50 → 2.62 → 3.00 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.5%
Dafabet
↑ +12.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +10.2%
1xBet
↑ +8.2%
William Hill
↑ +3.4%
Betano
↑ +3.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +2.8%
|
Steam Score:
49
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Racing Club (14.5%, 8/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo Primera División Bolivia · Fri 23:00 | Real Tomayapo | 5.25 |
4.5
kickoff in 12h 29m |
↓ -14.3%
5.25
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 79h 4m 5.50 → 3.81 → 4.50 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Betano
↓ -25.5%
BetVictor
↓ -21.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -19.4%
1xBet
↓ -19.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -14.3%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Real Tomayapo (14.3%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Holywell vs Airbus UK Premier League Galles · Fri 19:45 | Holywell | 5.25 |
6.0
kickoff in 9h 14m |
↑ +14.3%
5.25
6.0
🐢 Slow drift over 41h 30m 6.32 → 4.60 → 6.00 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +26.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +24.7%
Dafabet
↑ +19.2%
BetVictor
↑ +17.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.3%
Betano
↑ +14.0%
|
Steam Score:
54
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Holywell (14.3%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Union Brescia vs Arzignano Valchiampo Serie C - Girone A · Fri 19:30 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 5.25 |
6.0
kickoff in 8h 59m |
↑ +14.3%
5.25
6.0
🐢 Slow drift over 49h 18m 7.00 → 5.00 → 6.00 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +40.0%
1xBet
↑ +14.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.6%
Betano
↑ +11.5%
Dafabet
↑ +7.1%
|
Steam Score:
50
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Arzignano Valchiampo (14.3%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Chico FC vs La Equidad Primera A Colombia · Fri 23:00 | Chico FC | 2.55 |
2.9
kickoff in 12h 29m |
↑ +13.7%
2.55
2.9
🐢 Slow drift over 82h 6m 2.95 → 2.37 → 2.90 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +22.9%
1xBet
↑ +17.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +14.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +13.7%
William Hill
↑ +12.0%
BetVictor
↑ +6.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.1%
Betano
↑ +3.8%
SBO Sharp
↑ +2.1%
Dafabet
↑ +2.0%
|
Steam Score:
53
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +30/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Chico FC (13.7%, 10/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC FAW Championship · Fri 19:45 | Ruthin Town | 5.5 |
4.75
kickoff in 9h 14m |
↓ -13.6%
5.5
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 40h 48m 6.50 → 4.75 → 4.75 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -15.4%
Betano
↓ -14.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -13.6%
Dafabet
↓ -9.7%
1xBet
↓ -6.9%
Marathonbet
↓ -6.6%
|
Steam Score:
68
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +30/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Ruthin Town (13.6%, 6/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Os Belenenses vs Lusitano Évora 1911 Liga 3 Portogallo · Fri 20:00 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 5.5 |
4.75
since pub · 9h 17m |
↓ -13.6%
5.5
4.75
↔ Gradual move over 9h 17m 5.97 → 4.50 → 4.75 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -13.6%
Betano
↓ -13.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -13.4%
Marathonbet
↓ -11.8%
Dafabet
↓ -8.2%
|
Steam Score:
67
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +30/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Lusitano Évora 1911 (13.6%, 5/7) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC Bundesliga Austriaca · Fri 18:30 | Wolfsberger AC | 11.0 |
9.5
kickoff in 7h 59m |
↓ -13.6%
11.0
9.5
🐢 Slow drift over 151h 19m 13.00 → 7.43 → 9.50 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
7/10
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↓ -30.8%
Marathonbet
↓ -25.4%
Dafabet
↓ -21.7%
Betano
↓ -20.9%
BetVictor
↓ -19.2%
1xBet
↓ -16.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -13.6%
|
Steam Score:
67
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +30/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Wolfsberger AC (13.6%, 7/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Chertanovo U20 vs Rostov U19 Campionato Giovanile Russia · Fri 10:00 | Chertanovo U20 | 2.31 |
2.62
since pub · 22h 13m |
↑ +13.4%
2.31
2.62
🐢 Slow drift over 22h 13m 2.62 → 2.31 → 2.62 |
↘ Drift | 1xBet |
3/3
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +13.4%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.8%
Dafabet
↑ +2.9%
|
Steam Score:
64
A
Strong sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +30/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Chertanovo U20 (13.4%, 3/3) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| VVV-Venlo vs Jong PSV Eerste Divisie · Fri 19:00 | Draw | 4.2 |
4.75
kickoff in 8h 29m |
↑ +13.1%
4.2
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 79h 2m 4.80 → 4.00 → 4.75 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +13.1%
1xBet
↑ +8.3%
Dafabet
↑ +6.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +6.7%
SBO Sharp
↑ +6.7%
William Hill
↑ +5.0%
BetVictor
↑ +4.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.5%
Betano
↑ +3.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +3.1%
|
Steam Score:
52
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +29/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Draw (13.1%, 10/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prima Lega Bulgaria · Fri 15:00 | Septemvri Sofia | 3.1 |
3.5
kickoff in 4h 29m |
↑ +12.9%
3.1
3.5
🐢 Slow drift over 89h 56m 3.70 → 2.90 → 3.50 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +23.3%
1xBet
↑ +21.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.9%
Dafabet
↑ +5.1%
William Hill
↑ +3.4%
|
Steam Score:
38
C
Limited conviction
Allungamento modesto — considerare come monitoraggio della deriva piuttosto che steam. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Septemvri Sofia (12.9%, 5/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Silkeborg vs Lyngby BK Superliga danese · Fri 18:00 | Lyngby BK | 2.5 |
2.82
kickoff in 7h 29m |
↑ +12.8%
2.5
2.82
🐢 Slow drift over 93h 39m 2.88 → 2.45 → 2.82 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +15.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.8%
Dafabet
↑ +8.0%
BetVictor
↑ +7.8%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +7.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +7.7%
1xBet
↑ +7.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +5.6%
William Hill
↑ +4.8%
Betano
↑ +3.9%
|
Steam Score:
51
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Lyngby BK (12.8%, 10/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Nea Salamina vs Omonia Aradippou Prima Divisione cipriota · Fri 17:00 | Omonia Aradippou | 3.2 |
3.6
kickoff in 6h 29m |
↑ +12.5%
3.2
3.6
🐢 Slow drift over 75h 45m 4.17 → 3.10 → 3.60 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +25.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +19.2%
Betano
↑ +15.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.5%
Dafabet
↑ +10.8%
1xBet
↑ +9.5%
|
Steam Score:
38
C
Limited conviction
Allungamento modesto — considerare come monitoraggio della deriva piuttosto che steam. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
Top 25% move | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Omonia Aradippou (12.5%, 6/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| WA Tlemcen vs GC Mascara Ligue 2 Algeria · Fri 14:00 | WA Tlemcen | 2.9 |
3.25
kickoff in 3h 29m |
↑ +12.1%
2.9
3.25
🐢 Slow drift over 29h 50m 3.40 → 2.75 → 3.25 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.1%
1xBet
↑ +6.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +6.7%
|
Steam Score:
43
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +27/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on WA Tlemcen (12.1%, 4/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Ligat Ha'al · Fri 12:00 | Draw | 6.25 |
7.0
kickoff in 89m |
↑ +12.0%
6.25
7.0
🐢 Slow drift over 54h 16m 8.80 → 6.00 → 7.00 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +35.4%
BetVictor
↑ +15.4%
Dafabet
↑ +13.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.0%
William Hill
↑ +7.7%
1xBet
↑ +5.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +3.7%
Betano
↑ +3.2%
|
Steam Score:
51
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +26/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Draw (12.0%, 8/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra Liga Professionale Argentina · Fri 22:15 | Deportivo Riestra | 6.5 |
5.75
kickoff in 11h 44m |
↓ -11.5%
6.5
5.75
🐢 Slow drift over 35h 24m 6.50 → 4.60 → 5.75 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/10
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↓ -11.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -11.5%
William Hill
↓ -5.2%
SBO Sharp
↓ -3.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -3.3%
|
Steam Score:
56
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +25/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Deportivo Riestra (11.5%, 5/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Vitória vs Fluminense Serie A Brasiliana · Fri 23:00 | Vitória | 3.1 |
2.75
kickoff in 12h 29m |
↓ -11.3%
3.1
2.75
🐢 Slow drift over 151h 5m 3.25 → 2.52 → 2.75 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Betano
↓ -13.8%
Dafabet
↓ -12.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -11.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -8.5%
BetVictor
↓ -8.3%
1xBet
↓ -8.2%
William Hill
↓ -5.2%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -2.7%
|
Steam Score:
65
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +25/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Rivalutazione da parte degli scommettitori esperti | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Vitória (11.3%, 8/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor 1. Lig · Fri 17:00 | Antalyaspor | 3.9 |
4.33
kickoff in 6h 29m |
↑ +11.0%
3.9
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 57h 22m 4.70 → 3.74 → 4.33 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +25.3%
William Hill
↑ +13.9%
1xBet
↑ +11.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.0%
BetVictor
↑ +11.0%
Dafabet
↑ +10.5%
Betano
↑ +9.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +8.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +3.6%
|
Steam Score:
49
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Antalyaspor (11.0%, 9/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Resovia Rzeszów vs Górnik Łęczna II Liga - Est · Fri 17:00 | Górnik Łęczna | 1.85 |
2.05
kickoff in 6h 29m |
↑ +10.8%
1.85
2.05
🐢 Slow drift over 48h 15m 2.20 → 1.85 → 2.05 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +18.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +10.8%
Betano
↑ +8.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +5.8%
BetVictor
↑ +5.2%
|
Steam Score:
38
C
Limited conviction
Allungamento modesto — considerare come monitoraggio della deriva piuttosto che steam. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Górnik Łęczna (10.8%, 5/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Al Jazeera vs Al Ramtha Campionato Giordano · Fri 14:00 | Al Jazeera | 2.6 |
2.88
kickoff in 3h 29m |
↑ +10.8%
2.6
2.88
🐢 Slow drift over 41h 36m 3.30 → 2.53 → 2.88 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +25.5%
1xBet
↑ +20.2%
Dafabet
↑ +19.6%
BetVictor
↑ +16.7%
Betano
↑ +15.4%
Marathonbet
↑ +14.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +10.8%
|
Steam Score:
50
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Al Jazeera (10.8%, 7/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| FC Oss vs RKC Waalwijk Eerste Divisie · Fri 19:00 | FC Oss | 3.4 |
3.75
kickoff in 8h 29m |
↑ +10.3%
3.4
3.75
🐢 Slow drift over 89h 40m 3.95 → 3.21 → 3.75 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +12.9%
William Hill
↑ +10.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +10.3%
Dafabet
↑ +7.5%
1xBet
↑ +7.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +6.7%
SBO Sharp
↑ +5.0%
BetVictor
↑ +3.1%
|
Steam Score:
40
B
Moderate sharp signal
Deriva evidente — quote allungate con conferma multi-book (non steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +23/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
Accedi per vedere il verdetto completo sulle scommesse Accedi gratuitamente per sbloccare il verdetto finale sulle scommesse — quali mercati passano, dove potrebbe esistere +EV e avvisi di steam. |
— | Movimento di mercato | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on FC Oss (10.3%, 8/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
