Eskilsminne vs Tvååker Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Eskilsminne
Final Score
4 – 2
(HT 4-1)
Tvååker
Kick-off 17:00 Stadium Harlyckan

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Eskilsminne opened at -0.25 against Tvååker in the Ettan - Södra. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Tvååker from the opening line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.20
Eskilsminne -0.20

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.41 / 1.19
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Eskilsminne 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.20
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.20 AH points more toward Eskilsminne than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Eskilsminne 0
@ 1.86
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.20
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.76
Price Advantage
+5.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:30
Opening
-0.25
16:06
Last Pre-Match
0
16:59
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.81 / 2.43 0 1.77 / 1.89 0 +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.93 / 2.48 0 1.86 / 1.96 0 +0.25
Bet365 -0.25 1.95 / 2.50 0 1.72 / 2.08 0 +0.25
1xBet 0 1.52 / 2.30 0 1.77 / 1.89 0 0
BetVictor 0 1.60 / 2.15 0 1.77 / 1.91 0 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.40 9.20
-2.00 7.80 8.60
-1.75 5.40 5.95
-1.50 4.25 4.70
-1.25 3.90 4.30
-1.00 3.50 3.90
-0.75 2.69 2.92
-0.25 2.02 2.15
0 1.77 1.89
+0.25 1.56 1.67
+0.75 1.31 1.36
+1.00 1.18 1.22
+1.25 1.15 1.18
+1.50 1.12 1.15
+1.75 1.07 1.09

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.25 6.80
-1.50 4.00 5.25
-1.25 3.70 4.80
-1.00 3.30 4.40
-0.75 2.60 3.30
-0.50 2.25 2.68
-0.25 2.00 2.38
0 1.72 2.08
+0.25 1.55 1.80
+0.50 1.45 1.62
+0.75 1.32 1.48
+1.00 1.20 1.32
+1.25 1.18 1.26
+1.50 1.16 1.23
+1.75 1.10 1.16

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.05 2.22
0 1.77 1.91
+0.25 1.57 1.66

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.40 9.20
-2.00 7.80 8.60
-1.75 5.40 5.95
-1.50 4.25 4.70
-1.25 3.90 4.30
-1.00 3.50 3.90
-0.75 2.69 2.92
-0.25 2.00 2.15
0 1.77 1.89
+0.25 1.56 1.65
+0.75 1.31 1.36
+1.00 1.18 1.22
+1.25 1.15 1.18
+1.50 1.12 1.15
+1.75 1.07 1.09

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.81 2.99
-0.50 2.37 2.49
-0.25 2.13 2.23
0 1.86 1.96
+0.25 1.65 1.71
+0.50 1.51 1.55
+0.75 1.37 1.41
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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