Bad Ischl vs Gschwandt Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

May 22, 2026 - 13:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 41.8% Bad Ischl
No positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best odds (missing prices or insufficient book depth).
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 39.9% · No 60.1%
Value lean: BTTS No
1X2 Pass
Bad Ischl · Model 41.8%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 9.2%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Landesliga - Oberosterreich
  • Fixture: Bad Ischl vs Gschwandt
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-22 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Bad Ischl 1.45 — Gschwandt 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 32.1% · Over 2.5 67.9%); BTTS No (Yes 39.9% · No 60.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 39.9% · No 60.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.2%)

The decision block shows no default bet: no tracked line clears the headline minimum +EV threshold at the best prices we have (a leg can still show small +EV below that bar). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Best Bet + Reason

No bankroll-sized bet is implied here.

The cards may still show value leans (e.g. a preferred Under or a BTTS side) where prices are inefficient or incomplete — that is not the same as a positive-EV ticket at the configured threshold.

Re-check after material price moves; edges appear and disappear with liquidity.

FAQ

Why is there no “best bet” on this page?

The headline engine uses a minimum +EV threshold (e.g. 2%) for a default pick. A line can still show tiny +EV that fails that bar — we still call it no default bet so readers do not over-size thin edges.

When would a headline +EV return?

When odds move enough that implied probabilities drop relative to the same model snapshot, or when more book prices arrive so EV can be computed reliably — then re-run the pipeline.

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

Is the most likely correct score still relevant?

As context only: it is still a low absolute probability tail outcome (often in the single digits, sometimes low teens). It does not override the “no headline +EV” stance — treat score bets as fun-sized if you play them at all.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 23, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Landesliga - Oberosterreich Landesliga - OberosterreichStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 SK Vorwarts Steyr 27 18 4 5 58
2 Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 27 18 3 7 57
3 Bad Schallerbach 27 15 4 8 49
4 Union Perg 27 12 10 5 46
5 Friedburg / Pöndorf 27 12 8 7 44
6 Weißkirchen / Allhaming 27 12 6 9 42
7 Ostermiething 27 12 4 11 40
8 Union Edelweiß 27 12 6 10 42
9 St. Martin i.M. 27 10 8 9 38
10 Mondsee 27 10 6 11 36
11 Oedt 27 10 5 12 35
12 Union Vöcklamarkt 27 9 6 12 33
13 Bad Ischl 27 8 3 16 27
14 Pregarten 27 5 6 16 21
15 Gschwandt 27 5 5 17 20
16 Grün Weiß Micheldorf 27 4 6 17 18
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Friedburg / Pöndorf 27 63 48 +15 44
2 Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 27 57 40 +17 57
3 SK Vorwarts Steyr 27 56 21 +35 58
4 Ostermiething 27 54 51 +3 40
5 St. Martin i.M. 27 54 52 +2 38
6 Oedt 27 53 46 +7 35
7 Bad Schallerbach 27 51 30 +21 49
8 Union Perg 27 46 32 +14 46
9 Weißkirchen / Allhaming 27 45 39 +6 42
10 Mondsee 27 41 39 +2 36
11 Union Vöcklamarkt 27 37 41 -4 33
12 Bad Ischl 27 37 66 -29 27
13 Union Edelweiß 27 35 34 +1 42
14 Grün Weiß Micheldorf 27 25 54 -29 18
15 Gschwandt 27 23 65 -42 20
16 Pregarten 27 22 41 -19 21