St. Martin i.M. vs Oedt Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jun 13, 2026 - 16:00
1.64
1.51
40% 26% 34%

Market vs Fair Price

Fair estimate confidence: Medium

Outcome Fair Market Edge
St. Martin i.M. 39.62%
Draw 26.34%
Oedt 34.03%

Edge status:

Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.

Decision Lifecycle

Current stage: Waiting for closing line

  1. Forecast Generated
  2. Market Compared
  3. Model Validated
  4. Closing Recorded
  5. CLV Evaluated
Entry
Pending
Closing
Pending
CLV
Pending

Final betting verdict

No default bet at standard thresholds — use leans for context only.

  • No value on 1X2 (St. Martin i.M. vs. current odds)
  • Model lean (not a default bet): Over 2.5
  • Model lean (not a default bet): BTTS Yes
Low conviction (4/10) — prefer smaller stakes or skip.
Premium betting site 1xbet: New users can use the promo code 1x_3342271 to receive $100 cash.
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 39.7% St. Martin i.M.
No positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best odds.
Both Teams To Score lean
Yes 64.2% · No 35.8%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
1X2 pass
St. Martin i.M. · Model probability 39.7%
Correct Score Insights risk
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 10.6%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Landesliga - Oberosterreich
  • Fixture: St. Martin i.M. vs Oedt
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-13 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.7% · Draw 26.3% · Away 34.0%
  • xG (showing): St. Martin i.M. 1.64 — Oedt 1.51 (total xG ≈ 3.15)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 39.0% · Over 2.5 61.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 64.2% · No 35.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 64.2% · No 35.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Best Bet + Reason

No bankroll-sized bet is implied here.

Treat this page as a read-only diagnostic: totals/BTTS structure can be informative even when the honest answer is to wait.

Correct-score markets remain high-variance even when one scoreline leads the table.

FAQ

When would a headline +EV return?

When odds move enough that implied probabilities drop relative to the same model snapshot, or when more book prices arrive so EV can be computed reliably — then re-run the pipeline.

Why is there no “best bet” on this page?

The headline engine uses a minimum +EV threshold (e.g. 2%) for a default pick. A line can still show tiny +EV that fails that bar — we still call it no default bet so readers do not over-size thin edges.

Should I still read the 1X2 card?

Yes — it shows whether any winner price clears value. Here it often explains why there is no headline: probabilities can be clustered while prices already embed that uncertainty.

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

June 08, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Back to Predictions
Landesliga - Oberosterreich Landesliga - OberosterreichStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 SK Vorwarts Steyr 29 18 5 6 59
2 Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 28 18 3 7 57
3 Union Perg 29 14 10 5 52
4 Bad Schallerbach 29 15 5 9 50
5 Weißkirchen / Allhaming 29 13 7 9 46
6 Friedburg / Pöndorf 28 12 9 7 45
7 Ostermiething 29 13 4 12 43
8 Mondsee 29 12 6 11 42
9 Union Edelweiß 29 12 8 9 41
10 St. Martin i.M. 29 10 8 11 38
11 Union Vöcklamarkt 28 10 6 12 36
12 Oedt 28 10 6 12 36
13 Bad Ischl 29 9 3 17 30
14 Pregarten 28 5 6 17 21
15 Gschwandt 29 5 6 18 21
16 Grün Weiß Micheldorf 28 4 6 18 18
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Friedburg / Pöndorf 28 64 49 +15 45
2 Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 28 62 40 +22 57
3 SK Vorwarts Steyr 29 59 27 +32 59
4 Ostermiething 29 56 53 +3 43
5 St. Martin i.M. 29 56 59 -3 38
6 Oedt 28 54 47 +7 36
7 Union Perg 29 52 33 +19 52
8 Bad Schallerbach 29 51 31 +20 50
9 Weißkirchen / Allhaming 29 49 42 +7 46
10 Mondsee 29 47 41 +6 42
11 Bad Ischl 29 39 73 -34 30
12 Union Vöcklamarkt 28 38 41 -3 36
13 Union Edelweiß 29 37 34 +3 41
14 Gschwandt 29 26 69 -43 21
15 Grün Weiß Micheldorf 28 25 55 -30 18
16 Pregarten 28 22 43 -21 21