Statistics / Football / Iran. Azadegan League / Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Pars Jonoubi JAM

Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Pars Jonoubi JAM Statistics & Analysis

Sep 21, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.22
0 1.38
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Pars Jonoubi JAM Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 15, 2026 · 02:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8839627

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Shahin Bandar Ameri 0–0 Pars Jonoubi JAM
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Azadegan League
  • Fixture: Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Pars Jonoubi JAM
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-21 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): Shahin Bandar Ameri 1.22 — Pars Jonoubi JAM 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Azadegan League Azadegan League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Saipa 2 2 0 0 6
2 Be'sat Kermanshah 2 1 1 0 4
3 Fard Alborz 2 1 1 0 4
4 Naft Bandar Abbas 2 1 1 0 4
5 Naft Masjed Soleyman 2 1 0 1 3
6 Niroye Zamini 2 1 0 1 3
7 Ario Eslamshahr 2 1 0 1 3
8 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 2 0 2 0 2
9 Shahin Bandar Ameri 2 0 2 0 2
10 Mes Rafsanjan 2 0 2 0 2
11 Pars Jonoubi JAM 2 0 2 0 2
12 Novin Ahvaz 2 0 1 1 1
13 Mes Kerman 2 0 1 1 1
14 Naft Gachsaran 2 0 1 1 1
15 Mes Soongoun 2 0 1 1 1
16 Havadar 2 0 1 1 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Saipa 2 3 0 +3 6
2 Be'sat Kermanshah 2 3 0 +3 4
3 Naft Masjed Soleyman 2 3 1 +2 3
4 Fard Alborz 2 2 1 +1 4
5 Naft Bandar Abbas 2 2 1 +1 4
6 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 2 2 2 0 2
7 Novin Ahvaz 2 2 3 -1 1
8 Niroye Zamini 2 1 1 0 3
9 Shahin Bandar Ameri 2 1 1 0 2
10 Mes Kerman 2 1 2 -1 1
11 Ario Eslamshahr 2 1 3 -2 3
12 Mes Rafsanjan 2 0 0 0 2
13 Pars Jonoubi JAM 2 0 0 0 2
14 Naft Gachsaran 2 0 1 -1 1
15 Mes Soongoun 2 0 2 -2 1
16 Havadar 2 0 3 -3 1