Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 / Torina vs Escobedo

Torina vs Escobedo Statistics & Analysis

Torina Torina
Sep 05, 2026 - 16:30
1 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 85%
Escobedo Escobedo
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Torina Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6368400

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Torina 1–1 Escobedo
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
  • Fixture: Torina vs Escobedo
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-06 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Torina 1.3 — Escobedo 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bezana 3 3 0 0 9
2 Vimenor 3 3 0 0 9
3 Tropezón 3 3 0 0 9
4 Revilla 3 2 1 0 7
5 Cayón 3 2 0 1 6
6 Castro 3 1 2 0 5
7 Torina 2 1 1 0 4
8 Velarde 3 1 1 1 4
9 Laredo 2 1 0 1 3
10 Atlético Mineros 3 1 0 2 3
11 Sámano 2 0 1 1 1
12 Barquereño 2 0 1 1 1
13 Escobedo 2 0 1 1 1
14 Selaya 2 0 1 1 1
15 Naval Reinosa 3 0 1 2 1
16 Guarnizo 2 0 0 2 0
17 Atlético Albericia 2 0 0 2 0
18 Solares 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Revilla 3 8 2 +6 7
2 Bezana 3 8 3 +5 9
3 Vimenor 3 7 2 +5 9
4 Tropezón 3 7 2 +5 9
5 Torina 2 4 1 +3 4
6 Castro 3 4 2 +2 5
7 Cayón 3 3 1 +2 6
8 Laredo 2 3 2 +1 3
9 Sámano 2 3 4 -1 1
10 Barquereño 2 2 3 -1 1
11 Velarde 3 2 4 -2 4
12 Naval Reinosa 3 2 6 -4 1
13 Atlético Mineros 3 2 7 -5 3
14 Guarnizo 2 1 3 -2 0
15 Escobedo 2 1 4 -3 1
16 Atlético Albericia 2 1 4 -3 0
17 Solares 3 1 6 -5 0
18 Selaya 2 0 3 -3 1
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 Predictions